Indian equity benchmarks closed
in the deep red with losses of over two percent on Wednesday, dragged down by
Banking, Metal and Basic Materials stocks. Markets made a gap down opening and
continued to drift lower throughout the day, tracking negative cues from global
peers as tensions in the Middle East and dimming hopes of a Fed rate cut hit
investor sentiment. Traders got cautious as the Reserve Bank of India (RBI)
alerted high-street banks to get ready for an emerging multi-currency world
amid measures to internationalise the rupee. Traders took note of report that
ratings agency Fitch has affirmed BBB- rating for India, with the outlook
stated as stable. Traders paid no heed towards Crisil's report stating that
corporates' revenues are likely to have grown 8-10 per cent in the 2023
December quarter on an annual basis. As per Crisil Ratings, the operating
profits have likely expanded 100-150 basis points on-year in the three months
ended December 2023, giving the corporates an overall operating margin of 19-20
per cent in the first nine months of 2023-24 fiscal. Traders also overlooked
Union minister Hardeep Singh Puri's statement that India can become a $5
trillion economy much before 2028 and said the country's energy transition
needs to be done in an orderly manner to safeguard the interests of its large
population. Market participants also ignored the Reserve Bank of India (RBI)
governor, Shaktikanta Das, stating that retail inflation is slowly moderating
and is steadily moving towards the target of 4 per cent. Finally, the BSE
Sensex fell 1628.01 points or 2.23% to 71,500.76 and the CNX Nifty was down by
460.35 points or 2.09% to 21,571.95.
The US markets ended lower on
Wednesday. The weakness on markets partly reflected ongoing uncertainty about
the outlook for interest rates amid recent concerns the Federal Reserve won't
lower rates as early as previously anticipated. Adding to worries the Fed will
hold off on cutting rates, the Commerce Department released a report showing
U.S. retail sales increased by more than expected in the month of December. The
report said retail sales climbed by 0.6 percent in December after rising by 0.3
percent in November. Street had expected retail sales to advance by 0.4
percent. Excluding a jump in sales by motor vehicle and parts dealers, retail
sales rose by 0.4 percent in December after inching up by 0.2 percent in
November. Ex-auto sales were expected to edge up by another 0.2 percent. A
separate report released by the Federal Reserve showed an unexpected uptick in
U.S. industrial production in the month of December. The Fed said industrial
production inched up by 0.1 percent in December, while revised data showed
production was unchanged in November. Street had expected industrial production
to come in unchanged compared to the 0.2 percent increase originally reported
for the previous month. On the sectoral front, airline stocks turned in some of
the market's worst performances on the day, resulting in a 3.2 percent nosedive
by the NYSE Arca Airline Index. The index fell to its lowest closing level in
well over a month. Shares of Spirit Airlines (SAVE) plummeted after a federal
judge blocked JetBlue's (JBLU) proposed $3.8 billion acquisition of the
discount airline.
Crude oil futures ended higher on
Wednesday despite weak fourth-quarter GDP data from China. China reported a
5.2% increase in fourth-quarter GDP, lower than the expected 5.3% rise.
Meanwhile, OPEC reiterated that demand will rise by 2.2 million barrels per day
this year, over 2023. OPEC expects oil demand to rise by 1.8 million barrels
per day next year. Besides, the OPEC group produced 26.7 million barrels of
crude oil per day in December, up from 26.628 million barrels of crude oil per
day a month earlier. Benchmark crude oil futures for February delivery added 16
cents or 0.22 percent to settle at $72.56 a barrel on the New York Mercantile
Exchange. However, Brent crude for March delivery fell 41 cents or 0.52 percent
to settle at $ 77.88 a barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian rupee ended lower on
Wednesday amid massive selling in domestic equity markets and a strong
greenback overseas. Traders got cautious as the Reserve Bank of India (RBI)
alerted high-street banks to get ready for an emerging multi-currency world
amid measures to internationalise the rupee. Investors paid no heed towards
Crisil's report stating that corporates' revenues are likely to have grown 8-10
per cent in the 2023 December quarter on an annual basis. As per Crisil
Ratings, the operating profits have likely expanded 100-150 basis points
on-year in the three months ended December 2023, giving the corporates an
overall operating margin of 19-20 per cent in the first nine months of 2023-24
fiscal. On the global front, dollar hit a one-month high against a basket of
its peers on Wednesday as the safe haven gained on the hit to sentiment from
soft Chinese data and global rate setters arguing against imminent cuts. Finally,
the rupee ended at 83.13 (Provisional), weaker by 1 paisa from its previous
close of 83.12 on Tuesday.
The FIIs as per Wednesday's data
were net buyers in both equity and debt segments. In equity segment, the gross
buying was of Rs 12670.07 crore against gross selling of Rs 11488.34 crore,
while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 2783.34 crore with
gross sales of Rs 417.58 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross
buying was of Rs 53.46 crore against gross selling of Rs 31.83 crore.
The US markets ended lower on
Wednesday as bond yields climbed on bets the Federal Reserve will be in no rush
to cut rates as the economy shows signs of strength. Asian markets are trading
mostly in green on Thursday despite the broadly negative cues from global
markets overnight. Indian markets witnessed bloodbath and settled with over 2%
cut on Tuesday due to weak global sentiment coupled with bear hammering of HDFC
Bank. Today, markets are likely to extend previous session's sell-off with
negative start tracking overnight losses on Wall Street. Besides, the weekly
F&O expiry may add to further volatility in the markets. Foreign fund
outflows likely to dent sentiments. Provisional data from the NSE showed that
foreign institutional investors (FIIs) sold shares worth Rs 10,578.13 crore on
January 17. Traders may take note of Governor Shaktikanta Das' statement that
consumer price index-based inflation, the main yardstick for the Reserve Bank
of India's policy making, is likely to average 4.5 per cent in the next
financial year and gross domestic product (GDP) growth is likely to stay above
7 per cent. Besides, the commerce department and the finance ministry have
discussed maintaining credit flow to Indian exporters grappling with higher
trade costs due to the crisis in the Red Sea. Fertiliser industry stocks will
be in focus as Mansukh Mandaviya, fertiliser minister said government's
fertiliser subsidy bill is likely to decline 30-34% to Rs 1.7-1.8 lakh crore
this fiscal due to a reduction in global prices and lower imports of urea.
There will be some reaction in select aviation industry stocks as the
Directorate General of Civil Aviation (DGCA) imposed a penalty of Rs 30 lakh
each on SpiceJet and Air India, whereas, the Bureau of Civil Aviation Security
(BCAS) slapped a fine of Rs 1.2 crore on IndiGo Airlines. Medical device
industry stocks will be in limelight with report that India's dependence on
medical devices shipped from abroad grew significantly between November 2022
and October 2023 with imports jumping by 21 per cent to Rs 61,262.84 crore.
According to the data from the Department of Commerce, the top suppliers of
medical devices were the US, Germany and the Netherlands. Hospital industry
stocks will be in focus as rating agency ICRA projected a stable outlook for
the Indian hospital industry in its report on the industry trends and outlook
for the financial year 2024. The projection indicated a rise in capacity
building and occupancy, translating into a year-on-year (Y-o-Y) revenue growth
to the tune of 12 to 14 per cent in FY24 for its sample set of companies as
opposed to 17 per cent in FY23. Meanwhile, HDFC Bank will be in focus as HDFC
Bank ADRs fell 9% overnight in the US to close at the lowest level since July
2022. With this, its ADRs have plunged 15% in just two sessions. Moreover,
investors will be eyeing the Q3 earnings from many companies for more
directional cues.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
21,571.95
|
21,464.44
|
21,765.49
|
BSE
Sensex
|
71,500.76
|
71,125.10
|
72,180.60
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
HDFC
Bank
|
850.73
|
1542.15
|
1514.76
|
1583.16
|
Tata
Steel
|
589.83
|
131.80
|
130.21
|
134.56
|
ICICI
Bank
|
419.15
|
979.50
|
968.24
|
999.29
|
State
Bank of India
|
300.16
|
626.45
|
620.70
|
634.50
|
ONGC
|
260.11
|
232.80
|
229.91
|
236.46
|
- UltraTech Cement has incorporated
a Wholly-owned Subsidiary viz. Letein Valley Cement to carry on the business of
mining of limestone and other raw materials; manufacture and sale of cement.
- Larsen & Toubro's
construction arm -- L&T construction has secured orders in India & Oman
for its Buildings & Factories Business.
- HCL Technologies has entered into
a collaboration with Cisco for cloud-native solutions.
- Sun Pharmaceutical Industries has
signed an agreement with Bayer to market and distribute a second brand of
Finerenone in India.