Indian equity
benchmarks made a strong comeback to recover the previous day's losses on
Wednesday and ended with gains of around two percent, amid broad-based gains,
led by Realty, Metal and Basic Materials stocks. After a gap up opening,
indices showed strength throughout the session, as traders took encouragement
with the Ministry of Finance's statement that the Indian economy is well
prepared to handle any capital outflows caused by external shocks. In its
Monthly Economic Review report released the finance ministry's Department of
Economic Affairs said India has adequate foreign exchange reserves to absorb
the risks posed by the uncertain geopolitical environment. Some support also
came as Minister of State for Finance Bhagwat Karad stating that banks have
effected an aggregate recovery of Rs 7.34 lakh crore, in non-performing assets
and written-off loan accounts, including those reported as fraud during the
past six financial years and the first six months of the current financial year
(FY22). Key indices extended gains in the last hour of trade, as sentiments
were further supported by the cool-off in the oil prices, and the progress on
the peace talk between Russia and Ukraine conflict. Some optimism also came
with Automotive Component Manufacturers Association of India's (ACMA's)
President Sunjay J Kapur stated that the approval granted by the government to
75 auto component manufacturers for incentives under the production-linked
incentive (PLI) scheme will act as a catalyst in the transformational journey
from a conventional industry to a mobility industry. Traders took note of
report that the government said it is keeping a close watch on evolving
geopolitical developments and would make calibrated interventions to keep fuel
prices under control to safeguard the interest of the common man. Meanwhile,
Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman has said that Rs 53,661 crore of Goods and
Services Tax (GST) compensation for the current fiscal (FY22) is yet to be
released to the states. This include Rs 11,563 crore to be released to
Maharashtra, Rs 6,954 crore to Uttar Pradesh, Rs 6,733 crore to Tamil Nadu, Rs 5,461
crore to Delhi and Rs 4,292 crore to West Bengal. Finally, the BSE Sensex rose
1039.80 points or 1.86% to 56,816.65 and the CNX Nifty was up by 312.35 points
or 1.87% to 16,975.35.
The US markets ended higher on
Wednesday after the Fed announced its widely expected decision to raise
interest rates for the first time since December of 2018 in an effort to combat
inflation at 40-year highs. The Fed said
it has decided to raise the target range for the federal funds rate by 25 basis
points to 0.25 to 0.5 percent. The central bank also predicted ongoing rate
hikes will be appropriate, with the Fed's latest projections pointing to an
interest rate of 1.9 percent by the end of the year.Additionally, the Fed said
it expects to begin reducing its holdings of Treasury securities and agency
debt and agency mortgage-backed securities at a coming meeting. The Fed said
with appropriate firming in the stance of monetary policy, the Committee
expects inflation to return to its 2 percent objective and the labor market to
remain strong. The decision to raise rates by 25 basis points was nearly
unanimous, although St. Louis Fed President James Bullard preferred a 50 basis
point increase. Meanwhile, optimism about a potential diplomatic solution to
the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict also generated additional buying interest.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said that the positions in the
negotiations were beginning to sound more realistic, while Russian Foreign
Minister Sergey Lavrov said there was some hope of reaching a compromise.
Crude oil futures ended lower on
Wednesday, magnifying their previous session's losses, after data showed a
surprise surge in US crude inventories. Data released by US Energy Information
Administration (EIA) showed crude oil inventories in the US rose by 4.345
million barrels last week, as against expectations for a draw of 1.375 million
barrels. The EIA data also showed that distillate stock piles increased by
0.332 million barrels in the week, compared to expectations for a drop of 1.826
million barrels, while gasoline inventories dropped by 3.616 million barrels,
more than twice the expected decline of 1.579 million barrels. Benchmark crude
oil futures for April delivery fell $1.40 or 1.5 percent to settle at $95.04 a
barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude for May delivery
dropped $1.74 or 1.7 percent to settle at $94.70 a barrel on London's
Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian rupee ended stronger
against dollar on Wednesday due to fresh selling of the American currency by
banks and exporters and healthy equity markets. Sentiments were supported by a
retreat in commodity prices and hopes for a possible diplomatic solution to end
the war in Ukraine. Ukrainian President said that the positions of Ukraine and
Russia at peace talks were sounding more realistic but more time was needed.
Meanwhile, investors also awaited a widely anticipated rate decision by the
U.S. Federal Reserve later in the day amid the Russia-Ukraine crisis. The U.S.
central bank likely to raise its key short-term rate by 0.25 percentage points,
marking the first increase since 2018. On the global front, euro jumped on
Wednesday and was set for its third consecutive daily gains versus the dollar
after Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said peace talks with Ukraine were
not easy but there was hope for compromise. Finally, the rupee ended at 76.20
(Provisional), stronger by 42 paise from its previous close of 76.62 on
Tuesday.
The FIIs as per Wednesday's data
were net sellers in both equity and debt segment. In equity segment, the gross
buying was of Rs 10314.13 crore against gross selling of Rs 11418.90 crore,
while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 444.23 crore against
gross selling of Rs 638.40 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross
buying was of Rs 12.80 crore against gross selling of Rs 12.44 crore.
The US markets ended higher on
Wednesday as investors shrugged off initial jitters following the U.S. Federal
Reserve's interest rate increase and its signal that more hikes would be needed
to fight inflation, ending the pandemic-era's easy monetary policy. Asian
markets are trading in green on Thursday joining a rally on Wall Street
overnight. Indian markets made a comeback on Wednesday after a day's breather.
Gains across sectors pushed the headline indices higher, with financial, IT and
oil & gas shares being the biggest movers. Today, markets are likely to
continue their northward journey with yet another gap-up opening as global
markets rally after US Fed's first interest rate hike in three years was
announced late night on Wednesday. Traders will be taking encouragement with a
private report stating that private equity and venture capital investments for
the month of February 2022 were about $5.8 billion, 2.3 times the value recorded
in February 2021 ($2.5 billion) and 24 per cent higher than investments in
January 2022 ($4.6 billion). Some support will come as the income tax
department said income tax refunds worth over Rs 1.92 lakh crore have been
issued to more than 2.24 crore taxpayers so far this fiscal. Traders may take
note of report that apex exporters' body FIEO has approached the government to
roll out a freight subsidy scheme for micro, small and medium enterprises
(MSMEs), at least temporarily, to blunt the impact of a spike in shipping costs
in the wake of the Russia-Ukraine crisis. Meanwhile, the bilateral trade in
goods is projected to increase from the current $60 billion to $100 billion
annually within five years of the implementation of the India-UAE free trade
agreement. However, there may be some cautiousness as S&P Global Ratings
said large oil importers like India and Thailand will be the most affected
among Asia-Pacific countries by the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war. There will be
some buzz in power stocks as Power Minister R K Singh said electricity demand
can beat all previous records and cross the 200 GW mark in March itself in view
of soaring temperatures. Infrastructure industry stocks will be in limelight
with report that after having dropped to a five-year low in December, the pace
of national highway construction increased from 20.17 kilometres (km) a day to
24.08 km. There will be some reaction in aviation industry stocks with report
that Jet fuel prices were hiked by over 18 per cent - the steepest ever increase
- to all-time high levels after international oil price surged to a multi-year
high. The increase - sixth straight this year - led to prices soaring past the
Rs 1-lakh-per-kilolitre mark for the first time ever.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
16,975.35
|
16,879.50
|
17,029.55
|
BSE
Sensex
|
56,816.65
|
56,516.97
|
56,988.60
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Tata Motors
|
271.91
|
424.00
|
420.29
|
428.14
|
Oil & Natural Gas Corporation
|
255.45
|
167.20
|
163.41
|
169.41
|
ITC
|
216.29
|
242.40
|
240.00
|
243.90
|
State Bank of India
|
162.11
|
491.95
|
489.46
|
494.36
|
ICICI Bank
|
146.21
|
706.60
|
701.44
|
711.59
|
ICICI Bank has entered into partnership with Emirates Skywards, the award-winning loyalty programme of Emirates and flydubai, to launch a range of co-branded credit cards.
ITC has acquired 1,040 Compulsorily Convertible Preference Shares of Rs 10 each of Mother Sparsh Baby Care in the second tranche.
Maruti Suzuki India has rolled-out a new Customer Convenience Package for its customers.
Eicher Motors' motorcycle arm -- Royal Enfield has launched its new bike model Scram 411 with introductory prices starting at Rs 2.03 lakh (ex-showroom Chennai).