Indian equity benchmarks ended on
positive note after a highly volatile session on Friday led by gains in index
majors NTPC, Tata Steel and Power Grid Corporation. Key indices opened
marginally in red, as traders remained on sidelines ahead of IIP (Index of
Industrial Production) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation numbers to be
released after market hours on Friday. However, key gauges soon erased losses
to trade in green, as traders found some solace with a private report that
India will be the fastest growing major economy this year and the next despite
headwinds from rising inflation, widening trade deficit and a declining rupee.
It added that the 7 per cent decline in rupee value against the US dollar this
year was not worrisome, and the government and RBI are confident of managing
the situation. Some support also came as
S&P Global Ratings said the Indian economy can handle some erosion of its
foreign exchange reserves as its external position is very strong. Benchmarks
managed to keep their head above water in afternoon deals, as largely positive
trend in global equities and foreign capital inflows also supported the
domestic equity markets. According to exchange data, foreign institutional
investors (FIIs) were net buyers in the Indian capital market as they purchased
shares worth Rs 2,298.08 crore on Thursday. Some optimism also came as State
Bank of India in a report said India's inflation trajectory going forward is
expected to be benign with headline retail inflation potentially printing at
less than 5 per cent in March 2023. It added that CPI (consumer price index)
numbers for March 23 could be even lower than 5 per cent, if July CPI numbers
are closer to 6.5-6.6 per cent, a likely possibility. Traders took note of
commerce and industry ministry's statement that India and the UK aim to
conclude the free trade agreement by the end of October this year. Finally, the
BSE Sensex rose 130.18 points or 0.22% to 59,462.78 and the CNX Nifty was up by
39.15 points or 0.22% to 17,698.15.
The US markets ended higher on
Monday despite weak industrial output, retail sales and fixed-asset investment
data out of China. Data showing weak business activity in New York hurt as
well. New York manufacturing activity has unexpectedly seen a substantial
contraction in the month of August, according to a report released by the
Federal Reserve Bank of New York. The New York Fed said its general business
conditions index plummeted to a negative 31.3 in August from a positive 11.1 in
July, with a negative reading indicating a contraction in regional
manufacturing activity. Street had expected the index to show a much more
modest decrease to a positive 8.5. The unexpected contraction in regional
manufacturing activity came as the new orders plunged to a negative 29.6 in
August from a positive 6.2 in July, while the shipments index dove to a
negative 24.1 from a positive 25.3. The report showed the number of employees
index also fell to 7.4 in August from 18.0 in July, although a positive reading
still indicates job growth. Meanwhile, a report released by the National
Association of Home Builders unexpectedly showed a continued deterioration in
US homebuilder confidence in the month of August. The report showed the
NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index dropped to 49 in August from 55 in July.
Street had expected the index to come in unchanged. With the unexpected
decrease, the housing market index fell below the key break-even measure of 50
for the first time since May 2020. However, stock specific development, Snap
rallied more than 5 percent, buoyed by an announcement from the company that
its subscription services Snapchat+ had surpassed 1 million paid users.
Extending their previous session's
losses, crude oil futures ended deeply in red on Monday on account of worries
about energy demand after data showed a much slower than expected pace of
growth of the Chinese economy in July. Data from the National Bureau of
Statistics showed industrial production in China was up 3.8% percent on year in
July, the National Bureau of Statistics said - shy of expectations for an
increase of 4.6% and down from 3.9% in June. Besides, the lowering of oil
demand forecast for 2022 by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting
Countries (OPEC) last week also weighed on prices. Benchmark crude oil futures
for September delivery fell $2.68 or about 2.9 percent to settle at $89.41 a
barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude for October delivery
lost $3.05 or 3.1 percent to settle at $95.10 a barrel on London's
Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian rupee turned lower on
Friday, due to sustained dollar demand from banks and importers amid higher
dollar overseas. Traders took note of report that India and the UK will
continue to work intensively to conclude the majority of talks on a
comprehensive and balanced Free Trade Agreement (FTA) by end of October 2022.
In a joint statement on the ongoing FTA negotiations, the Department for
International Trade (DIT) said the fifth round involved a detailed draft treaty
text discussion over 85 separate sessions and 15 policy areas. The latest round
concluded, with the next due to be held in the UK later this month. Also,
traders remained on sidelines ahead of the industrial growth data for June and
retail inflation figures for July to be out later in the day. On the global
front, dollar rose on Friday but was still set for a weekly decline as traders
looked for signs of US inflation peaking. Finally, the rupee ended at 79.74
(Provisional), weaker by 12 paisa from its previous close of 79.62 on Thursday.
The FIIs as per Friday's data
were net buyers in both equity and debt segment. In equity segment, the gross
buying was of Rs 9023.30 crore against gross selling of Rs 6774.45 crore, while
in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 816.89 crore against gross
selling of Rs 659.08 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross buying
was of Rs 2.28 crore against gross selling of Rs 8.54 crore.
The US markets ended higher on
Monday amid investors look ahead to several updates from retailers this week.
Asian markets are mostly trading higher on Tuesday following the broadly
positive cues from global markets overnight.
Indian equity benchmarks ended higher on Friday as traders got support
amid reports that start-ups have been the buzzword in India for the last
several years. Today, markets are likely to make positive start on account of
falling crude oil prices amid strong cues from global markets. Traders may get
encouragement on report that during the April-July period, the central
government achieved more than a third of the direct tax collection for this
financial year as personal tax collection exceeded corporation tax mop-up amid
tightened enforcement and compliance measures. Overall direct tax collections,
net of refunds, including corporation and personal income tax, grew by 40 per
cent in the first four months of FY23 to Rs 5 trillion, which is nearly 35 per
cent of the target of Rs 14.2 trillion for the whole fiscal year. Meanwhile, a private report stated that the
finance ministry is proposing to soon review the exemption-free new tax regime
with a view to making it more attractive for individual income taxpayers. The
government aims to establish a system where there are no exemptions and the
complex old tax regime with exemptions and deductions is terminated. Traders
may take note on report that former RBI Governor D Subbarao said India may
become a USD five trillion economy by 2028-29 only if the GDP grows at nine per
cent per annum consistently for the next five years. Aviation industry stocks
will be action as Civil Aviation Minister Jyotiraditya Scindia said that the
dip in the air turbine fuel (ATF) price and the continuation of this trend will
benefit the aviation sector. He said the fall in the ATF rates will have a good
impact on airlines under pressure. There will be some buzz in FMCG stocks on
report that inflationary pressure on some raw material inputs for the FMCG
industry is abating but the manufacturers expect its impact on price and
margins to continue in the current quarter.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
17,698.15
|
17,622.45
|
17,749.25
|
BSE
Sensex
|
59,462.78
|
59,204.50
|
59,629.57
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Tata Steel
|
959.42
|
112.80
|
110.10
|
114.20
|
Oil & Natural Gas Corporation
|
408.76
|
139.50
|
135.44
|
141.64
|
NTPC
|
179.98
|
159.00
|
154.74
|
161.14
|
Tata Motors
|
134.82
|
476.70
|
470.65
|
482.10
|
State Bank of India
|
121.54
|
531.00
|
526.84
|
533.49
|
Tata Motors has joined hand with State Bank of India to offer Electronic Dealer Finance solution to its authorized passenger EV dealers.
Maruti Suzuki India has launched the S-CNG variant of its iconic sporty hatchback Swift.
Titan Company has launched Titan Smart Labs in Hyderabad, a dedicated engineering centre to create innovative and diversified products to meet evolving consumer demands.
Hero MotoCorp and Harley-Davidson have commenced retail sales of the highly anticipated Nightster motorcycle in India.