In a volatile session, Indian
equity benchmarks trimmed some of their initial gains but managed to end at
record closing high on Monday, on the back of largely positive trend in global
markets. Markets made optimistic start, as the country's index of industrial
production (IIP) grew 3.6 percent to 128.5 in the month of October with
recovery in manufacturing, consumer goods and power sectors. Some support also
came with Prime Minister Narendra Modi stating that economic indicators have
shown encouraging signs of recovery of the Indian economy post-pandemic. In
this time of pandemic, he said, the government has accorded highest priority to
saving lives of Indians and the way India has handled the crisis through
concerted effort has surprised the world. However, Indian equities erased all
gains to turn negative in afternoon deals, as the Wholesale Price Index (WPI)
based inflation rose to 1.55 percent in November, as against 1.48 percent in
October. WPI inflation in October 2020 was at an eight-month high as
manufactured products turned costlier. November 2019 WPI inflation was at 0.58
percent, due to increase in prices of food articles. Some anxiety came with
Former chief statistician Pronab Sen's statement that at the moment India's
current macroeconomic situation is very uncertain and the country's Gross
domestic product (GDP) could contract closer to 10 percent in the current
fiscal (FY21). He also said that although the overall macro management of the
economy by the government has not been very good but this particular slowdown
is really beyond its control. But, local gauges regained their positive
momentum in late afternoon session, taking support from Economic Affairs
Secretary Tarun Bajaj's statement that the government is cautiously optimistic
on the economic front and will continue to take measures to push growth.
Finally, the BSE Sensex rose 154.45 points or 0.34% to 46,253.46, while the CNX
Nifty was up by 44.30 points or 0.33% to 13,558.15.
The US markets ended mostly lower
on Monday as amid concerns about the impact of new lockdown measures as the
coronavirus death toll in the US reached 300,000. New York Governor Andrew
Cuomo and New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio have both warned that the city
could be headed for another full shutdown unless the second wave of coronavirus
infections is contained. The warnings about a new round of shutdowns come
despite the approval of the coronavirus vaccine developed by Pfizer and
BioNTech. The CDC signed off on the vaccine following the Emergency Use
Authorization issued by the FDA. Pfizer has commenced the first shipments of
the vaccine to distribution centers across the country. The vaccine news
contributed to the initial strength on markets along with continued optimism about
a new fiscal stimulus bill, with a private report detailing efforts to pass a
previously unveiled $908 billion bipartisan relief plan. It said the package
will be split into two proposals that could be voted on separately in order to
win approval. It said one bill would be a $748 billion measure including money
for small businesses, the jobless and COVID-19 vaccine distribution, while the
other would include more controversial measures such as liability protections
for business and aid for state and local governments.
Crude oil futures ended higher on
Monday amid hopes the rollout of a Covid-19 vaccine will help revive the
economy and result in increased energy demand. The United States has begun
giving Covid-19 vaccine shots and vaccinations were rolling out across the
country starting Monday, with hospitals prioritizing front-line healthcare
workers. This follows the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention giving its
nod for Pfizer-BioNTech's COVID-19 vaccine. However, the Organization of the
Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) lowering its energy demand forecast for
2020 and 2021 weighed on oil prices and limited their upside. Crude oil futures
for January gained $0.42 or 0.9 percent to settle at $46.99 a barrel on the New
York Mercantile Exchange. February Brent crude rose $0.28 or 0.56 percent to
settle at $50.25 a barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Rising for the second consecutive
day, Indian rupee ended higher against dollar on Monday due to fresh selling of
the American currency by banks and exporters. Sentiments got boost as the
country's index of industrial production (IIP) grew 3.6 per cent to 128.5 in
the month of October, according to the data released by the Ministry of
Statistics & Programme Implementation (MoSPI). However, upside remain
capped as the Wholesale Price Index (WPI) based inflation rose to 1.55 percent
in November, as against 1.48 percent in October. On the global front, dollar
fell at the open of European trade on Monday, with progress on COVID-19
vaccines lifting risk appetite, while the British pound rose more than 1% after
Britain and the European Union agreed on Sunday to carry on with Brexit
negotiations. Finally, the rupee ended at 73.55, 9 paise stronger from its
previous close of 73.64 on Friday.
The FIIs as per Monday's data
were net buyer in both equity and debt segment. In equity segment, the gross
buying was of Rs 11079.43 crore against gross selling of Rs 6042.01 crore,
while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 3037.22 crore with
gross sales of Rs 637.84 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross
buying was of Rs 27.66 crore against gross selling of Rs 25.54 crore.
The US markets ended mostly lower
on Monday as fears of additional Covid-19 restrictions offset the optimism
around a vaccine rollout. Asian markets are trading in red on Tuesday as
concerns over a coronavirus surge in multiple countries dulled optimism over
the vaccine rollout in the US. Indian markets ended higher on Monday on the
back of gains in banks, metals, pharma and FMCG stocks. Today, the markets are
likely to make negative start tracking weakness in global peers. There will be
some cautiousness as India's Covid-19 caseload now stands at 99.06 lakh and the
death toll has mounted to 1.43 lakh. However, some respite may come later in
the day with the government data showing that retail Inflation has eased
marginally to 6.93% in November due to considerable easing in vegetable prices.
Retail inflation had remained above 7 per cent for two month in a row. Some
support may come as rating agency CRISIL projected a slower contraction of 7.7%
for the Indian economy in the ongoing fiscal, compared to the 9% forecast in
September on the back of faster-than-expected recovery in the second quarter,
but called for more fiscal measures to sustain it. Market participants may take
note of report that India has released detailed guidelines for COVID-19 mass
vaccination drive that will begin soon. The central government is planning to
vaccinate nearly 30 crore people during the first phase of vaccination. Pfizer,
Serum Institute of India and Bharat Biotech have applied for market
authorisation for their vaccines. The vaccination drive will start once India
approves emergency use of COVID-19 vaccine. There will be some buzz in metal
stocks as rating agency Icra upgraded its outlook for the Indian steel sector
to stable on the back of improving demand and prices. It said the domestic
steel sector has witnessed a strong revival in second quarter of 2020-21.
Financial stocks will be under investor radar as the Supreme Court today
resumes hearing in the interest waiver case. There will be some reaction in NBFCs
stocks with a private report showing that Non-Banking Financial Companies
(NBFCs) are expecting higher credit loss as well as an increase in provision
coverage rates, mainly due to the impact of the coronavirus pandemic.
Meanwhile, Mrs Bectors Food Specialities IPO is scheduled to open for
subscription on Tuesday. The Rs 540-crore public issue will be sold in the
price band of Rs 286-288 apiece. The IPO would consist of a fresh issue of Rs
41 crore and an offer-for-sale (OFS) of Rs 500 crore by the existing PE
investors.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
13,558.15
|
13,487.90
|
13,612.95
|
BSE
Sensex
|
46,253.46
|
46,012.22
|
46,434.03
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Oil
& Natural Gas Corporation
|
750.22
|
101.50
|
98.45
|
103.55
|
NTPC
|
458.02
|
104.60
|
103.29
|
105.64
|
Coal
India
|
356.06
|
143.35
|
140.24
|
145.34
|
Indian
Oil Corporation
|
349.61
|
96.20
|
94.94
|
97.14
|
Tata
Motors
|
331.86
|
177.65
|
175.74
|
180.54
|
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