Indian equity benchmarks
concluded Monday's trading session in negative territory as investors engaged
in profit-booking activities ahead of the scheduled release of Consumer Price
Index (CPI) inflation data later in the day. Markets started the week on a
feeble note and traded under pressure for whole day as traders were cautious
with a private report stating that Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPIs) selling
spree continued as they dumped Indian equity worth over Rs 5,800 crore this
month so far on rising interest rates and geopolitical tensions in the Middle
East. This came after such investors withdrew Rs 24,548 crore in October and Rs
14,767 crore in September, data with the depositories showed. Selling further
crept in as the data released by the National Statistical Office (NSO) showed
that growth in the Index of Industrial Production (IIP) cooled to a three-month
low of 5.8 per cent in September from 10.3 per cent in August, on the back of
moderation across all sub-sectors and use-based categories. Sentiments remained
dampened as Fitch Ratings stated the geopolitical uncertainty from the conflict
in Middle East could upend countries' inflation and growth calculations,
leading to a higher than expected inflation for India as well. It stated higher
oil prices would lead to higher-than-expected inflation rates in 2024, followed
by corrections in 2025. Turkiye sees the highest percentage point rise in
forecast inflation, followed by India and Poland. However, the India and
Poland's relative increases would be much large. Traders paid no heed towards
the Central Board of Direct Taxes (CBDT) stating that gross direct tax
collection increased by 17.59 per cent year-on-year (Y-o-Y) to Rs 12.37
trillion in the period from April 1 to November 9. Direct tax collection (net
of refunds) stood at Rs 10.6 trillion, 21.82 per cent higher than the net
collection for the comparable period last year. Refunds amounting to Rs 1.77
trillion have been issued during the period. Traders also overlooked Union
Minister for Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs) Narayan Rane's
statement that the MSME sector has achieved a significant milestone by
generating over 15 crore employment opportunities. Finally, the BSE Sensex fell
325.58 points or 0.50% to 64,933.87 and the CNX Nifty was down by 82.00 points
or 0.42% to 19,443.55.
The US markets ended sharply
higher on Tuesday, with Nasdaq settling over 300 points. The rally on markets
came following the release of the Labor Department's highly anticipated report
on consumer price inflation in the month of October. The Labor Department said
its consumer price index was unchanged in October after climbing by 0.4 percent
in September. Street had expected consumer prices to inch up by 0.1 percent.
Excluding food and energy prices, core consumer prices edged up by 0.2 percent
in October after rising by 0.3 percent in September. Core prices were expected
to rise by another 0.3 percent. The report also said the annual rate of
consumer price growth slowed to 3.2 percent in October from 3.7 percent in
September. Street had expected the pace of growth to decelerate to 3.3 percent.
Core consumer prices were up by 4.0 percent compared to the same month a year
ago, reflecting the smallest year-over-year increase since September 2021. The
annual rate of core consumer price growth was expected to come in unchanged
from 4.1 percent in the previous month. Besides, treasury yields moved sharply
lower following the release of the report, adding to the buying interest on
markets. On the economic data front, Airline stocks moved sharply higher over
the course of the trading session, with the NYSE Arca Airline Index soaring by
6.7 percent to its best closing level in a month. Substantial strength was also
visible among housing stocks, as reflected by the 5.5 percent spike by the
Philadelphia Housing Sector Index. The index jumped to a three-month closing
high. Interest rate-sensitive commercial real estate stocks also saw
considerable strength, resulting in a 5.4 percent surge by the Dow Jones U.S.
Real Estate Index.
Crude oil futures ended flat on
Tuesday as traders reacted to a report from the International Energy Agency
(IEA) that oil markets would not be as tight as expected this quarter. The IEA
said in its latest monthly report that that it anticipates a supply shortfall
during the fourth quarter. But it will be roughly 30% smaller than previously
projected, at about 900,000 barrels a day. Further, weak euro area GDP data and
lingering concerns about global economic slowdown weighed on oil prices. Benchmark
crude oil futures for December delivery settled flat at $78.26 a barrel on the
New York Mercantile Exchange. However, Brent crude for January delivery fell
$0.05 to settle at $82.47 (Provisional) a barrel on London's Intercontinental
Exchange.
Indian rupee ended lower on
Monday tracking a negative trend in domestic equities. Persistent foreign fund
outflows also weighed on the local unit. Traders were worried as India's Index
of Industrial Production (IIP) decelerated to 5.8 per cent in September 2023
from a 14-month high of 10.3 per cent in August 2023, in line with slowdown in
manufacturing activity. Industrial production had grown by 3.3 per cent in
September 2022. Though on an annual basis, the output of manufacturing and
mining sectors showed an improvement. On the global front, the dollar climbed
to its highest levels in over a year against the Japanese yen on Monday,
supported by a scaling back of expectations for U.S. Federal Reserve interest
rate cuts next year. Finally, the rupee ended at 83.32 (Provisional), weaker by
4 paise from its previous close of 83.28 on Friday.
The FIIs as per Monday's data
were net buyers in both equity and debt segments. In equity segment, the gross
buying was of Rs 12417.44 crore against gross selling of Rs 7089.36 crore,
while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 3228.54 crore with
gross sales of Rs 73.97 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross buying
was of Rs 5.46 crore against gross selling of Rs 10.96 crore.
The US markets ended higher on
Tuesday as tamer than expected inflation data bolstered the view that the Fed
was probably done with rate hikes. Asian markets are trading in green on
Wednesday tracking overnight gains on Wall Street. Indian markets ended lower
with cut of around half a percent on Monday as investors booked profits a day
after clocking robust gains on the first session of Samvat 2080. Stock markets
were closed on Tuesday for Diwali Balipratipada. Today, markets are likely to
get gap-up opening following latest inflation readings in India and the US. In
the US, consumer prices remained flat in October versus expectations of a gain
of 0.1 per cent MoM. On an annual basis, the CPI climbed 3.2 per cent after
rising 3.7 per cent in September. Besides, domestic retail inflation eased to a
five-month low of 4.87 per in October from 5.02 per cent in September. India's
wholesale price inflation remained in the negative territory for the seventh
month in a row in October at (-) 0.52 per cent on easing prices of food items.
Some support will come with a private report that the Indian economy likely
grew 6.7% in the July-September quarter. Traders may take note of report that
Union Commerce Minister Piyush Goyal has revealed that the central government
is poised to introduce a comprehensive e-commerce policy and rules. Meanwhile,
Chief negotiators of India and the UK are expected to soon hold next round of
talks for the proposed free trade agreement to iron out differences on issues
such as automobiles, medical devices, and movement of professionals, an
official said. The UK team may come here for the 14th round of negotiations so
that the talks can be concluded at the earliest. Metal stocks will be in focus
as steel secretary Nagendra Nath Sinha said the steel industry plays a critical
role in the country's growth trajectory. Sinha emphasised on the government's
commitment to fostering a conducive environment for the steel sector while
speaking during the inauguration of the steel ministry's pavilion at the India
International Trade Fair. There will be some reaction in infrastructure sector
stocks with report that as many as 417 infrastructure projects, each entailing
an investment of Rs 150 crore or more, have been hit by cost overruns of more
than Rs 4.77 lakh crore in September this year. Meanwhile, ASK Automotive is
likely to make market debut today. The issue price is fixed at Rs 282.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
19,443.55
|
19,407.40
|
19,487.05
|
BSE
Sensex
|
64,933.87
|
64,799.16
|
65,122.76
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Coal
India
|
421.79
|
349.25
|
336.36
|
356.06
|
NTPC
|
187.93
|
245.70
|
242.46
|
249.76
|
Tata
Steel
|
179.52
|
120.80
|
120.05
|
121.40
|
ICICI
Bank
|
114.70
|
934.10
|
930.44
|
939.34
|
Power
Grid
|
113.52
|
212.10
|
210.16
|
214.56
|
- Coal India has reported 12.73%
rise in its consolidated net profit at Rs 6813.50 crore for Q2FY24 as compared
to Rs 6043.99 crore for the same quarter in the previous year.
- Kotak Mahindra Bank has launched
Cardless EMI (Equated Monthly Instalments) Payments on Amazon Pay, to provide
its pre-approved customers easy access to instant consumer finance.
- ONGC is planning to start oil
production from its much-delayed flagship deepsea project (Cluster-2 project in
KG-DWN-98/2 block) in Krishna Godavari basin in Bay of Bengal this month,
helping reverse years of decline in output.
- Reliance Industries has raised Rs
20,000 crore in the largest bond issue by a non-financial Indian firm, paying
7.79 per cent interest rate.