In a volatile trade, Indian
equity benchmarks ended marginally lower on Monday, as investors awaited
inflation data, due later in the day, for clues on the central bank's interest
rate trajectory. Investors also awaited the last leg of corporate earnings for
domestic cues. Key gauges made cautious start and fluctuated between losses and
gains during the session, as traders were cautious with latest data released by
the central bank showed that the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI's) foreign
exchange reserves declined by $1.1 billion to $529.99 billion in the week ended
November 4. Sentiments remained downbeat as a private report stated that asset
management companies mobilised Rs 17,805 crore through 67 new fund offerings
(NFOs) in the September 2022 quarter, a 64 per cent decline from the year-ago
period, on expensive valuations and high volatility in equity markets. However,
losses remain capped as Reserve Bank Governor Shaktikanta Das exuded confidence
that India will continue to be the fastest growing major economy with a likely
growth rate of 7% in 2022-23 on the back of strong macroeconomic fundamentals
and financial sector stability. Some support also came as India's inflation
based on wholesale price index (WPI) eased further to 8.39% in the month of
October 2022 as against 10.70% recorded in September 2022, primarily
contributed by fall in the price of mineral oils, basic metals, fabricated
metal products, except machinery and equipment; textiles; other non-metallic
mineral products; minerals etc. Traders also found some solace with Finance
Minister Nirmala Sitharaman's statement that India has emerged as one of the
fastest-growing major economies in the world and is expected to be one of the
top three economic powers globally over the next 10-15 years. Finally, the BSE
Sensex fell 170.89 points or 0.28% to 61,624.15 and the CNX Nifty was down by 20.55
points or 0.11% to 18,329.15.
The US markets ended lower on
Monday, with Nasdaq settling cut of over one percent, as traders expressed some
uncertainty about the near-term outlook for the markets following last week's
rally. Traders were reluctant to make significant moves, with a lack of major
US economic data keeping some traders on the sidelines. Reports on producer
prices, retail sales, import and export prices, industrial production, housing
starts and existing home sales are likely to attract attention in the coming
days. On the sectoral front, housing stocks turned in some of the market's
worst performances on the day, with the Philadelphia Housing Sector Index
plunging by 2.9 percent after ending last Friday's trading at its best closing
level in almost three months. Substantial weakness was also visible among
commercial real estate stocks, as reflected by the 2.5 percent slump by the Dow
Jones US Real Estate Index. Banking stocks also showed a significant move to
the downside, dragging the KBW Bank Index down by 2.3 percent. The index ended
last Friday's trading at a two-month closing high. Brokerage, retail and
telecom stocks also saw notable weakness on the day, while pharmaceutical
stocks showed a strong move to the upside. Stock specific development, Shares
of Qurate Retail, the media company that owns home shopping networks QVC and
HSN, popped 7% after famed investor Michael Burry revealed a fresh bet on the
company.
Crude oil futures ended deeply in
red on Monday on concerns about the outlook for energy demand from China and on
a downward revision in demand growth forecast by the Organization of the
Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC). In its monthly report, the Organization
of the Petroleum Exporting Countries cut its forecast for global oil demand
growth this year by 100,000 barrels a day to 2.55 million barrels per day.
Further, a stronger dollar weighed as well on oil prices. Benchmark crude oil
futures for December delivery fell $3.09 or about 3.5 percent at $85.87 a
barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude for January delivery
dropped $3.25 or about 3.39 percent to settle at $92.74 (Provisional) a barrel
on London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian rupee ended considerably
lower against dollar on Monday, on account of sustained dollar demand from
importers and banks. Traders were worried as central bank showed that the
Reserve Bank of India's (RBI's) foreign exchange reserves declined by $1.1
billion to $529.99 billion in the week ended November 4. Investors overlooked
reports that India's inflation based on wholesale price index (WPI) eased
further to 8.39% in the month of October 2022 as against 10.70% recorded in
September 2022, primarily contributed by fall in the price of mineral oils,
basic metals, fabricated metal products, except machinery and equipment;
textiles; other non-metallic mineral products; minerals etc. On the global
front, sterling fell against the dollar on Monday as traders braced for the UK
government's fiscal statement on Thursday in a data-heavy week that could shed
light on the state of Britain's economy. Finally, the rupee ended at 81.26 (Provisional),
weaker by 48 paise from its previous close of 80.78 on Friday.
The FIIs as per Monday's data
were net buyers in both equity and debt segment. In equity segment, the gross
buying was of Rs 14667.00 crore against gross selling of Rs 7750.89 crore,
while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 424.14 crore against
gross selling of Rs 102.23 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross
buying was of Rs 11.18 crore against gross selling of Rs 19.16 crore.
The US markets ended lower on
Monday as investors reacted to hawkish comments from Fed Governor Christopher
Waller. Asian markets are trading mostly higher on Tuesday ahead of a slew of
economic data from China, and following the meeting between US President Joe
Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping. Indian markets ended volatile trade in
red on Monday dragged down by index heavyweights ICICI Bank, ITC and Reliance
Industries amid largely weak Asian markets. Today, the start of session is
likely to be in green after both the WPI-based and CPI retail inflation
registered a notable decline in October, coupled with positive cues from Asian
counterparts. Fall in oil prices overnight on China demand worries likely to
support domestic indices. Sentiments will get a boost as the government data
showed that retail inflation dropped to 6.77 per cent in October from 7.41 per
cent in the preceding month, mainly due to easing prices in the food basket.
Some support will come as Defence Minister Rajnath Singh said inflation in
India is less as compared to the US, the UK and other countries. He also
claimed that the country's economy is progressing rapidly under Prime Minister
Narendra Modi. Foreign fund inflows also likely to aid domestic sentiments.
Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) have net bought shares worth Rs 1,089.41
crore on November 14, as per provisional data available on the NSE. Traders may
take note of a World Bank report stating that India will need to invest $840
billion over the next 15 years to upgrade its urban infrastructure if it is to
effectively meet the needs of its fast-growing population in cities. Oil &
gas sector stocks will be in focus as Petroleum and Natural Gas Minister
Hardeep Singh Puri said the Centre is ready for bringing petrol and diesel
under the GST regime but it is unlikely that the states will agree to such a
move. There will be some reaction in auto component industry stocks as credit
ratings agency ICRA in a report said auto component suppliers are expected to
log an 8-10 per cent growth in revenue this fiscal driven by healthy domestic
original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and pent-up demand from the aftermarket
even as headwinds persist on the exports front. Edible oil industry stocks will
be in limelight as industry body SEA said India's edible oil import bill rose
34.18 per cent to Rs 1.57 lakh crore in the oil year ending October 2022, while
in volume terms it rose 6.85 per cent to 140.3 lakh tonne. Meanwhile, Fusion
Micro Finance is likely to get listed on stock exchanges today. The company had
launched an initial public offering (IPO) worth over Rs 1,100 crore in
November, received an oversubscription of 2.95 times on exchanges.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
18,329.15
|
18,293.89
|
18,381.94
|
BSE
Sensex
|
61,624.15
|
61,492.04
|
61,836.25
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Tata Steel
|
554.74
|
108.70
|
107.96
|
109.71
|
Hindalco Industries
|
301.35
|
454.60
|
439.55
|
464.15
|
Coal India
|
187.62
|
246.90
|
243.35
|
253.35
|
Tata Motors
|
179.96
|
433.50
|
425.44
|
439.64
|
ITC
|
176.39
|
347.45
|
343.71
|
354.06
|
HDFC's wholly-owned subsidiary -- HDFC Investments has entered into a Share Purchase agreement to sell 92,445 equity shares (around 4.01% stake) in Lentra AI.
Hindalco Industries has reported fall of 35.47% in its consolidated net profit at Rs 2,205 crore for Q2FY23 as compared to Rs 3,417 crore for Q2FY22.
Infosys' business process management arm -- Infosys BPM has launched the Center of AI and Automation in Poland, in collaboration with IBM, to bring digital excellence to enterprises globally.
Reliance Industries has been awarded the project to build India's first multimodal logistics park in Chennai, Tamil Nadu.