Indian equity benchmarks extended
their fall for the fourth consecutive day and ended marginally lower on
Thursday due to selling in IT and TECK shares amid weak global equities. Key
gauges made positive start as traders took some support with a private report
stated that Indian economy is projected to grow 7.1-7.6 per cent in the current
financial year despite shifting geopolitical realities across the world. Some
support also came with a private report stating that private equity investments
in proptech firms rose 35 per cent to $741 million last year as investors
sought to tap huge opportunities amid rising use of technology in the realty
sector. Traders also took a note of Commerce and Industry Minister Piyush
Goyal's statement that the new Australian government supports the trade pact
signed with India, and they are expected to soon approach their parliament for
approval of the agreement. However, Indian indices gave away their initial gains
and entered into red terrain in late morning deals, as exchange data showed
foreign institutional investors (FIIs) remained net sellers in the capital
market on Wednesday, offloading shares worth Rs 2,839.52 crore. Some concern
came with India Ratings and Research's report stated that Non-bank finance
companies (NBFCs) may rely more on banks for their funding requirements as
interest rates are hardening in the capital market. Also, India was ranked low
at 135th place in terms of gender parity, despite an improvement of five places
since last year on better performance in areas of economic participation and
opportunity. Traders overlooked report that India's inflation based on
wholesale price index (WPI) eased to 15.18% in the month of June 2022 as
against 15.88% in May. Month-over-Month decrease witnessed in WPI for
manufactured products but primary articles and Fuel & Power saw a marginal
rise. Finally, the BSE Sensex fell 98.00 points or 0.18% to 53,416.15 and the
CNX Nifty was down by 28.00 points or 0.18% to 15,938.65.
The US markets ended mostly lower
on Thursday as big bank earnings kicked off with disappointing results.
JPMorgan Chase shares sank 3.5% after the bank added to reserves for bad loans
and halted its share buybacks, signaling a more cautious economic outlook. As
profits dipped, It warned that the economy could take a hit from surging
inflation, geopolitical tensions and dwindling consumer confidence sometime
down the road. Morgan Stanley shares slipped about 0.4% on the back of a sharp
decline in investment banking revenue. Further, concerns about inflation and
higher interest rates also continued to weigh on the markets after the Labor
Department released a report showing US producer prices increased by more than
expected in the month of June. The Labor Department said its producer price
index for final demand jumped by 1.1 percent in June after climbing by an
upwardly revised 0.9 percent in May. Street had expected producer prices to
increase by 0.8 percent, matching the advance originally reported for the
previous month. The annual rate of producer price growth accelerated to 11.3
percent in June, reflecting the largest spike since a record 11.6 percent jump
in March. Street had expected the annual rate of producer price growth to slow
to 10.7 percent in June from 10.9 percent in May. Meanwhile, first-time claims
for U.S. unemployment benefits unexpectedly inched higher in the week ended
July 9th, according to a report released by the Labor Department. The report
showed initial jobless claims crept up to 244,000, an increase of 9,000 from
the previous week's unrevised level of 235,000. The uptick surprised street,
who had expected jobless claims to come in unchanged. On the sectoral front,
significant weakness remained visible among steel stocks, as reflected by the
4.2 percent nosedive by the NYSE Arca Steel Index. With the drop, the index
fell to a one-year closing low.
Crude oil futures ended lower on
Thursday amid fears of a possible recession due to rising interest rates. It is
widely expected that the Federal Reserve will hike interest rates by 75 basis
points or 100 basis points at the upcoming meeting later this month. Further,
fresh Covid-related curbs in several parts of China and the dollar's sharp
uptick also weighed on oil prices. Meanwhile, the Organization of the Petroleum
Exporting Countries (OPEC) said it expects global oil demand to rise at a
slower pace than 2022 in 2023 on account of high prices and risks such as
inflation. Benchmark crude oil futures for August delivery fell $0.52 or 0.5
percent to settle at $95.78 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent
crude for September delivery dropped $0. 47 or 0.5 percent to settle at $99.10
a barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Continuing previous session
downfall, rupee settled at a new record low against US currency on Thursday
after the US consumer price index rose to a multi-year high of 9.1 percent in
June that fuelled the speculation that the US Federal Reserve will raise
interest rates aggressively to tame soaring prices. Traders were also worried
as India's trade deficit ballooned to a record of $26.18 billion, according to
government data. The trade deficit stood at $9.60 billion in June 2021. Imports
expanded by 57.55 percent to $66.31 billion in June compared to the year-ago
month, the data showed, while India's merchandise exports in June grew by 23.52
percent to $40.13 billion. On the global front, sterling fell on Thursday as
another bout of risk aversion sent investors snapping up dollars and selling
currencies deemed riskier when the outlook is so uncertain. Finally, the rupee
ended at 79.99 (provisional), weaker by 18 paisa from its previous close of
79.81 on Wednesday.
The FIIs as per Thursday's data
were net sellers in both equity and debt segment. In equity segment, the gross
buying was of Rs 5096.78 crore against gross selling of Rs 7817.33 crore, while
in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 3024.70 crore against gross
selling of Rs 3575.86 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross buying
was of Rs 1.89 crore against gross selling of Rs 7.79 crore.
The US markets ended mostly lower
on Thursday as investors feared aggressive rate hikes down the road. Asian
markets are trading mostly in green on Friday amid mixed cues from Wall Street
overnight. Indian markets slipped into the red in a volatile session on
Thursday, as the heavyweight financial and IT pockets gave up initial gains in
the second half of the day. Today, markets are likely to make flat-to-positive
start following Asian peers. Traders will be taking encouragement with the RBI
report showing that bank credit grew by 13.29 per cent to Rs 123.81 lakh crore
and deposits by 9.77 per cent to Rs 169.61 lakh crore in the fortnight ended on
July 1. Some support will come as the government data showed that India's
merchandise exports in June grew by 23.52 per cent to $40.13 billion. Traders
may take note of the finance ministry's economic division in its monthly
economic report for June stating that with global prices set to soften due to
fears of a recession, the pressures caused by inflation in the Indian economy
may weaken as well. However, there may be some cautiousness with report that
India's current account deficit is expected to deteriorate in the current
fiscal on account of costlier imports and tepid merchandise exports. Traders
may be concerned as the Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy said consumer
sentiments continue to be sluggish with its index growing by 1.1% in June 2022.
Though better than the 0.8% growth in May, it has slowed down significantly
from 4-5% in January and February to 3% in March and April. Banking stocks will
be in focus as Fitch Ratings said mounting repayment pressure for some
borrowers, particularly micro, small and medium-sized enterprises, amid India's
interest rate hikes will test banks' loan underwriting quality. However, it
said asset-quality risks from higher rates should generally be moderate for
most banks. There will be some reaction in stocks related to advertising
industry with a private report that the Indian advertising market will remain
the fastest-growing in the world over the next two years. There will be some
earnings announcements too to keep the markets buzzing.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
15,938.65
|
15,840.95
|
16,053.60
|
BSE
Sensex
|
53,416.15
|
53,099.52
|
53,797.03
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Oil and Natural Gas Corporation
|
384.64
|
127.25
|
123.16
|
131.96
|
ITC
|
134.14
|
290.40
|
287.59
|
294.79
|
Bharti Airtel
|
113.79
|
642.90
|
630.36
|
653.81
|
Tata Motors
|
107.44
|
428.00
|
423.79
|
431.74
|
NTPC
|
97.75
|
148.95
|
147.54
|
149.84
|
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HDFC is all set to launch an issue of bonds on a private placement basis on July 15, 2022 to raise up to Rs 5,000 crore.
Tata Consumer Products has forayed into the honey and preserves category by extending its premium water brand Himalayan into the segment.
Bharti Airtel has received approval for allotment of 71,176,839 equity shares of the face value of Rs 5 each fully paid up, on preferential basis to Google International LLC (Google) at an issue price of Rs 734 per equity share.