Indian equity benchmarks ended
lower for the fourth consecutive session on Tuesday, due to losses in IT,
Utilities and TECK stocks. After making a cautious start, key gauges traded
marginally higher as traders took support with Commerce and Industry Minister
Piyush Goyal's statement that the country's goods and services exports are
marching ahead to cross $750 billion in the current financial year and talks
for expanding rupee trade with certain countries are at an advanced stage.
However, markets soon slipped into red as traders got cautious after India's
CPI inflation in February remained above RBI's tolerance range indicating more
rate hikes in future. India's consumer price inflation (CPI)-based inflation
eased marginally to 6.44 per cent in February, compared to 6.52 per cent in
January. Besides, as per a private report, the Reserve Bank is likely to hike
benchmark lending rates by 25 basis points in its bi-monthly policy next month
to bring down inflation within the central bank's comfort zone. Some concern
also came as the National Stock Exchange's provisional data showed foreign
institutional investors (FII) sold shares worth Rs 1,546.86 crore on March 13.
But, markets tried to recoup losses in the middle amid easing wholesale
inflation. India's inflation based on wholesale price index (WPI) declined
further to 3.85% for the month of February 2023 against 4.73% recorded in January
2023, on account of fall in prices of crude petroleum & natural gas,
non-food articles, food products, minerals, computer, electronic & optical
products, chemicals & chemical products, electrical equipment and motor
vehicles, trailers & semitrailers. The wholesale inflation was 4.95% in
December 2022. Some relief came with the latest FICCI Manufacturing Survey
report stating that with growth expected to continue for the Indian
manufacturing sector in Jan-March 2022-23, there are signs that cost pressure
witnessed in the last many months seems to be softening a bit for the sector.
Though, markets failed to hold recovery and once again fell sharply in late
afternoon deals amid continued global uncertainty. Finally, the BSE Sensex fell
337.66 points or 0.58% to 57,900.19 and the CNX Nifty was down by 111.00 points
or 0.65% to 17,043.30.
The US markets ended higher, with
Nasdaq settling over two percent higher, as the assurance from the regulators
that there won't be a relapse of the financial crisis from 15 years ago helped
lift sentiment. Data showing a drop in U.S. consumer prices in the month of
February contributed significantly to the positive mood in the market. The
Labor Department said its consumer price index rose by 0.4 percent in February
after climbing by 0.5 percent in January. The advance by the index matched
expectations. Core consumer prices, which exclude food and energy prices,
increased by 0.5 percent in February after rising by 0.4 percent in the
previous month. Street had expected core prices to rise by 0.4 percent. The
report also showed the annual rate of consumer price growth slowed to 6.0
percent in February from 6.4 percent in January. The year-over-year growth,
which was in line with street estimates, marked the smallest 12-month increase
since September 2021. The annual rate of growth by core consumer prices edged
down to 5.5 percent in February from 5.6 percent in January. The slowdown in
year-over-year price growth may help offset recent concerns about the outlook
for interest rates ahead of next week's Federal Reserve meeting. in stock
specific developments, Meta Platforms shares surged more than 7 percent after
the company said it would cut 10,000 jobs in mass layoffs. Shares of First
Republic Bank soared nearly 27 percent, bouncing back after plunging by about
60 percent in the previous session. Bancorp climbed about 2.7 percent.
Crude oil futures ended sharply
lower on Tuesday, magnifying the previous day's slide, amid concerns a fresh
financial crisis following the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and
Signature Bank could significantly hurt oil demand. Despite the Biden
administration's assurance that there won't be a relapse of the financial
crisis from 15 years ago, worries of a wider contagion persist, hurting oil
prices. Meanwhile, Consumer prices in the U.S. increased in line with street
estimates in the month of February, according to a report released by the Labor
Department. The Labor Department said its consumer price index rose by 0.4
percent in February after climbing by 0.5 percent in January. The advance by
the index matched expectations. Benchmark crude oil futures for April delivery
fell $3.47 or 4.7 percent to $71.33 a barrel on the New York Mercantile
Exchange. Brent crude for May delivery dropped $3.32 or 4.1 percent to $77.45 a
barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian Rupee ended lower against
the US dollar on Tuesday amid negative sentiment in the domestic equity markets
and unabated foreign fund outflows. Traders got cautious after India's CPI
inflation in February remained above RBI's tolerance range indicating more rate
hikes in future. India's consumer price inflation (CPI)-based inflation eased
marginally to 6.44 per cent in February, compared to 6.52 per cent in January.
Markets participants overlooked reports that India's inflation based on
wholesale price index (WPI) declined further to 3.85% for the month of February
2023 against 4.73% recorded in January 2023. On the global front, dollar rose
in somewhat calmer trading on Tuesday, after tumbling on Monday following the
collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB), as investors waited for the release of
U.S. consumer inflation data later in the day. Finally, the rupee ended at
82.49 (Provisional), depreciate by 26 paise from its previous close of 82.23 on
Monday.
The FIIs as per Tuesday's data
were net buyers in both equity and debt segment. In equity segment, the gross
buying was of Rs 9561.45 crore against gross selling of Rs 6552.83 crore, while
in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 394.93 crore against gross
selling of Rs 78.71 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross buying was
of Rs 8.22 crore against gross selling of Rs 13.53 crore.
The US markets ended higher on
Tuesday as largely on-target inflation data and easing jitters over contagion
in the banking sector cooled expectations regarding the size of the rate hike
at the Federal Reserve's policy meeting next week. Asian markets are trading in
green on Wednesday tracking overnight gains on Wall Street. Indian markets fell
for a fourth consecutive session on Tuesday, though markets ended well off
their day's lows, taking cues from gains in European equities. Today, markets
are likely to turn bullish with positive start as global sentiments improve on
in-line US inflation report. Traders will be getting encouragement as Minister
of State for Finance Pankaj Chaudhary said the government is taking steps to
make India a $5 trillion economy earlier than the International Monetary Fund's
forecast year of 2026-27. The IMF's World Economic Outlook earlier said the
size of the Indian economy will increase from $3.2 trillion in 2021-22 to $3.5
trillion in 2022-23 and cross $5 trillion in 2026-27. Some support will come as
Anurag Jain, the secretary in the Department for Promotion of Industry and
Internal Trade (DPIIT), said that inclusion and equity are important for India
to transform into a developed nation, with technology aiding this growth.
Traders may take note of India's G20 Sherpa Amitabh Kant's statement that with
a third of the global economy expected to reel from recession in 2023, it is
imperative upon the G20 nations to push for inclusive, resilient, and sustainable
growth in their deliberations. However, there may be some cautiousness amid
foreign fund outflows. Foreign institutional investors (FII) sold shares worth
Rs 3,086.96 crore on March 14, the National Stock Exchange's provisional data
showed. There will be some buzz in tyre industry stocks as Automotive Tyre
Manufacturers' Association Chairman Satish Sharma said export of tyres from
India is expected to rise by 15 per cent in the ongoing fiscal. Banking stocks
will be in focus with report that a structural change in the liquidity
landscape brought about by much lower surplus cash and booming credit growth
has resulted in a surge in banks' reliance on short-term funding avenues in the
current financial year. Reserve Bank of India (RBI) data shows that in the current
financial year, so far, bank borrowings have averaged Rs 4.2 trillion, against
Rs 2.6 trillion in the previous financial year. Meanwhile, the government said
the country has exported wheat worth Rs 11,728.36 crore during the
April-January period of this fiscal year.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
17,043.30
|
16,945.39
|
17,182.94
|
BSE
Sensex
|
57,900.19
|
57,583.90
|
58,353.72
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Tata
Steel
|
485.85
|
106.55
|
105.65
|
108.00
|
Adani
Ports & Special Economic Zone
|
181.47
|
653.50
|
633.21
|
679.16
|
HDFC
Bank
|
165.93
|
1568.00
|
1557.00
|
1581.30
|
ICICI
Bank
|
154.57
|
832.50
|
822.35
|
838.55
|
State
Bank of India
|
147.51
|
526.00
|
519.74
|
532.54
|
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