Indian equity
benchmarks began with gains on Friday but erased all gains as the day neared
the closing bell, on the back of a broad-based selling pressure. The benchmarks
staged a gap up opening mirroring gains in other Asian markets. Sentiments got
a boost with PHD Chamber of Commerce and Industry report showing that as
economic activities gather pace and investor sentiments revive, GDP growth is
likely to enter a double-digit growth trajectory and may grow at more than 11
per cent in the next financial year. Some support also came in with Commerce
Secretary Anup Wadhawan's statement that the country's exports are steadily
recovering and it is expected to record a healthy growth rate in March.
Sentiments remained upbeat as the Centre said the acceleration in delivering
COVID-19 vaccine shots has been achieved in collaboration with the private
sector which administered more than 23 per cent of the doses. Union Health
Secretary Rajesh Bhushan said 71.23 percent of coronavirus vaccine doses have
been administered in government hospitals, while 28.77 percent of these doses
have been contributed by private facilities. However, due to profit taking at
higher levels, benchmarks nosedived in afternoon trading. Sentiment turned
pessimistic with SBI report stating that India's combined federal and states'
budget gap in the current fiscal year will reach 12.7% on increased healthcare
spending and a collapse in revenue amid the pandemic. Some concern also came
with the private report that number of industrial investment proposals touched
a record low in 2020, the pandemic year. And in value terms they were at a
three year low as economic activity came to a standstill during the prolonged
lockdown in the quarter ended June. Investors remained on the sidelines ahead
of the industrial production data for January and CPI inflation data for
February that are slated to be released later in the day. Finally, the BSE Sensex fell 487.43 points or
0.95% to 50,792.08, while the CNX Nifty was down by 143.85 points or 0.95% to
15,030.95.
The US markets
ended mostly higher on Friday as traders expressed optimism about the economy
reopening after President Joe Biden directed states to make all adults eligible
for a coronavirus vaccine by May 1st. The vaccine news combined with the new
$1.9 trillion stimulus package led to hopes for a return to normalcy after a
year of the coronavirus pandemic. Adding to the positive sentiment, the
University of Michigan released a report showing US consumer sentiment improved
by much more than expected in the month of March. The University of Michigan
said its consumer sentiment index jumped to 83.0 in March after dipping to 76.8
in February. Street had expected the index to inch up to 78.5. With the much
bigger than expected increase, the consumer sentiment index reached its highest
level since hitting 89.1 in March of 2020. Meanwhile, the economic optimism
also led to a spike in treasury yields, with the ten-year yield surging above
1.6 percent to reach its highest levels in a year. The jump in yields weighed
on technology stocks, resulting in the pullback by the tech-heavy Nasdaq.
Commercial real estate, utilities and telecom stocks also moved notably higher,
while weakness among semiconductor and software stocks weighed on the
tech-heavy Nasdaq. Furthermore, the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decision
is likely to be in the spotlight next week, with traders looking for the
central bank to address the recent spike in bond yields. Traders are also
likely to keep an eye on reports on retail sales, industrial production,
housing starts, and regional manufacturing activity.
Crude oil futures ended lower on
Friday following the strong upward move seen in the previous session. The
choppy trading on the day came as traders remained optimistic about the outlook
for energy demand but seemed reluctant to continue pushing oil prices higher. A
jump by US treasury yields may have kept buying interest somewhat subdued, with
the yield on the benchmark ten-year note surging back above 1.6 percent to its
highest levels in over a year. The increase in yields came after President Joe
Biden directed states to make all adults eligible for a coronavirus vaccine by
May 1st. Crude oil futures for April slipped $0.41 or about 0.62 percent to
settle at $65.61 barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. May Brent crude
fell $0.24 or 0.35 percent to settle at $69.22 a barrel on London's
Intercontinental Exchange.
Rupee ended significantly higher
against dollar on fresh selling of dollar by bankers and exporters on Friday,
even as domestic equity market ended with significant losses. Traders were
energized as Commerce Secretary Anup Wadhawan stated that India's exports are
steadily recovering and it is expected to record a healthy growth rate in
March. He also said the country's merchandise exports were impacted on account
of the COVID pandemic. Adding more optimism, PHD Chamber of Commerce and
Industry in its latest report has showed that India's Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
growth is likely to enter a double-digit growth trajectory and may grow at more
than 11 per cent in the next financial year, as economic activities gather pace
and investor sentiments revive. On the global front, dollar rose on Friday,
recovering its losses from the day before, as a spike in Treasury yields early
in the European session triggered a risk-off move in global currency markets,
with riskier currencies taking a hit. Finally, the rupee ended at 72.79,
stronger by 12 paise from its previous close of 72.91 on Wednesday.
The FIIs as per Friday's data
were net buyer in equity segment, while net seller in debt segment. In equity
segment, the gross buying was of Rs 7169.19 crore against gross selling of Rs
6491.31 crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 549.45
crore with gross sales of Rs 1025.52 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the
gross buying was of Rs 11.52 crore against gross selling of Rs 28.72 crore.
The US markets ended mostly
higher on Friday as investors bought shares that should benefit from a strong
reopening of the US economy, an outlook signaled by rising yields in the bond
market. Asian markets are trading mostly in green on Monday as investors bet
U.S. economic growth will accelerate after the passing of a massive stimulus
package. Indian markets ended almost one percent lower Friday dragged by heavy
selling across the board. Today, the markets are likely to make optimistic
start following positive global cues. Traders will be taking encouragement with
Minister of State for Finance and Corporate Affairs Anurag Thakur stating that
there are green shoots visible in various sectors of the economy and the
country is already looking at a V-shaped recovery. Some support will come as
RBI data showed that bank credit grew 6.36 per cent to Rs 106.41 trillion,
while deposits increased by 11.41 per cent to Rs 146.25 trillion in the
fortnight ended January 15. However, disappointing macro-economic data may
dampen sentiments in the markets. The government data showed that India's
retail inflation rose to 5.03 per cent in February, mainly on account of higher
food prices. The consumer price index (CPI)-based inflation was 4.06 per cent
in January 2021 and was 6.58 per cent in February 2020. According to the data
released by the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI),
the Index of Industrial Production (IIP) contracted 1.6 per cent for January
2021. Besides, the WPI inflation is scheduled to be released later in the day.
There may be some cautiousness as foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) were net
sellers to the tune of Rs 7,013 crore so far this month in the Indian markets
on profit-booking as jitters in global bond markets spooked investors. As per
depositories data, FPIs pulled out Rs 531 crore from equities and Rs 6,482
crore from the debt segment between Mar 1-13. Also, India reported 26,514 fresh
Covid-19 cases on Friday pushing the overall tally to 11,385,158, according to
Worldometer. The death toll from the deadly infection jumped to 158,762. India
ranks 11th among worst-hit nations by active cases. Banking operations across
the country could be impacted as the United Forum of Bank Unions (UFBU) has
given a call for a nationwide strike to protest against the proposed
privatisation of two state-owned lenders. Auto stocks will be in focus as India
Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra) revised the outlook for the auto sector to
improving for financial year 2022 from negative, backed by likely revival
across segments, positive consumer sentiments amid macroeconomic tailwinds
after recovering from the COVID-19 pandemic. Meanwhile, Craftsman Automation
and Laxmi Organics Industries will launch their IPOs today. MTAR Technologies'
shares will get listed on the exchanges today.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
15,030.95
|
14,877.60
|
15,260.30
|
BSE
Sensex
|
50,792.08
|
50,279.72
|
51,563.13
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Tata
Motors
|
483.60
|
317.55
|
312.30
|
324.65
|
State
Bank of India
|
353.36
|
381.10
|
374.66
|
390.36
|
Indian
Oil Corporation
|
349.87
|
101.30
|
100.24
|
102.34
|
ITC
|
307.87
|
205.20
|
203.14
|
207.64
|
SBI
Life Insurance Company
|
289.67
|
914.20
|
900.70
|
932.00
|
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SBI is planning to conduct e-auctions of 12 bad accounts this month to recover dues of over Rs 506 crore under sale to asset reconstruction company mechanism.
Tata Motors has unveiled its newest range of intermediate and light commercial trucks, the Ultra Sleek T-Series, designed and engineered to suit contemporary demands of urban transportation.
Coal India's grade slippage during the third quarter of the financial year was down to 34 percent compared to 41 percent during the same period last year.