Indian equity
benchmarks ended Friday's volatile session on a flat note mainly dragged by
losses in Telecom, Metal and FMCG stocks. Markets made positive start and
traded with marginal gains, as traders took some support with Moody's Investors
Service in its latest report stated that India's economic recovery reduces the
risk of a sharp deterioration in public sector banks' (PSBs) asset quality.
But, it said the capital would remain insufficient to support credit growth and
absorb unexpected shocks. Buying further crept in as leading trade bodies are
expecting that the outbound shipments will rise in the coming months as the
uncertainty in global markets began to subside. Domestic sentiments remained
positive as the government approved applications from several medical devices
manufacturers under the Production Linked Incentive (PLI) scheme for the
promotion of domestic manufacturing. However, key gauges erased all the gains
to turn negative in late afternoon session, tracking weak cues from global
markets. Traders also remained on sidelines ahead of the release of Index of
Industrial Production (IIP) data for December and Consumer Price Index (CPI)
data for January later in the day. Traders were cautious even after Union
Minister of State for Finance Anurag Thakur has said that the budget shows hope
to build a new India and will lead the nation on the path of becoming an
economic and manufacturing powerhouse. Traders took note of Commerce and
Industry Minister Piyush Goyal's statement that the government has constituted
a committee comprising members from public and private sectors to look into
issues like promoting localisation and boosting manufacturing. Finally, the BSE
Sensex rose 12.78 points or 0.02% to 51,544.30, while the CNX Nifty was down by
10.00 points or 0.07% to 15,163.30.
The US markets closed in green on
Friday amid optimism about more fiscal stimulus and an easing of the
coronavirus crisis. Also, investors looked toward signs that Washington is moving
ahead with a spending bill. Markets showed a lackluster performance for much of
the trading day but moved to the upside late in the session. The late buying
helped markets to scaled new record closing highs. Profit taking contributed to
modest weakness early in the trading session, although selling pressure
remained subdued. Meanwhile, traders largely shrugged off a preliminary report
from the University of Michigan showing an unexpected deterioration in US
consumer sentiment in the month of February. The University of Michigan said
its consumer sentiment index fell to 76.2 in February after edging down to 79.0
in January. The drop came as a surprise to market participants, who had
expected the index to inch up to 80.8. With the unexpected decrease, the consumer
sentiment index slid to its lowest level since hitting 74.1 in August of 2020.
Traders have recently looked at weak economic data as a positive for the
markets amid the assumption that it will put pressure on lawmakers to provide
more stimulus.
Crude oil futures settled higher
on Friday, rebounding from early losses, as tensions in the Middle East raised
the possibility of disruptions in crude supplies. Early cautiousness was due to
a report from OPEC that lowered the demand forecast and the International
Energy Agency's remarks indicating that the re-balancing of the global oil
markets remains fragile. OPEC said in its February Oil Market Report that oil
demand will likely rise by 5.8 million barrels per day this year, down by
around 100,000 bpd from last month's projection due to extended lockdowns and
the re-introduction of partial lockdowns in a number of countries. Meanwhile, a
report from Baker Hughes said the number of active US rigs drilling for oil
increased by 7 to 306 this week. With this, the rig count has risen for 11
straight weeks. The total rig count was up by 5 at 397. Crude oil futures for
March gained $1.23 or 2.1 percent to settle at $59.47 barrel on the New York
Mercantile Exchange. April Brent crude rose $1.29 or 2.1 percent to settle at
$62.43 a barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian rupee ended significantly
higher against dollar on Friday, on persistent selling of the American currency
by exporters. Sentiments were upbeat with Union Minister of State for Finance
Anurag Thakur's statement that the Union budget 2021-22 shows hope to build a
new India and will lead the nation on the path of becoming an economic and
manufacturing powerhouse. Meanwhile, exporters urged the government to provide
support measures in the next foreign trade policy (FTP), being formulated by
the commerce ministry, to boost the country's outbound shipments. On the global
front, pound slipped below $1.38 against the dollar but was steady against the
euro on Friday, after data showed Britain's economy suffered a record slump in
2020, but grew in the final quarter. Finally, the rupee ended at 72.75, 12
paise stronger from its previous close of 72.87 on Thursday.
The FIIs as per Friday's data
were net buyer in equity segment while net seller in debt segment. In equity
segment, the gross buying was of Rs 5689.85 crore against gross selling of Rs
4666.22 crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 202.00
crore with gross sales of Rs 338.95 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the
gross buying was of Rs 8.05 crore against gross selling of Rs 19.84 crore.
The US markets settled higher on
Friday amid anticipation of new fiscal aid from Washington to help the US
economy recover. Asian markets are trading in green on Monday as successful
coronavirus vaccine rollouts globally raise hopes of a rapid economic recovery
amid new fiscal aid from Washington. Indian markets ended flat on Friday after
rising in early deals as FMCG, energy, pharma and metal stocks declined. Today,
the markets are likely to get gap-up opening of new week on firm global cues.
Positive macro-economic data may aid the sentiments in markets. The Index of
Industrial Production (IIP) grew by 1 per cent in December on a year-on-year
(Y-o-Y) basis compared with a 2 per cent decline in the previous month, the
data released by the National Statistical Office showed. On the other hand, the
consumer price index (CPI)-based inflation rate fell for the third consecutive
month to 4.06 per cent in January as food inflation, pulled down by deflation
in vegetables, drastically declined. Traders will be getting encouragement as
PHDCCI said expectations that the country's GDP would record growth in the
third and fourth quarters of 2020-21 are getting stronger on account of various
reforms undertaken by the government in the last ten months. Some support will
also come as Chief Economic AdviserK V Subramanian said the reform measures
announced in the Budget 2021-22 will play a big role in India becoming a $5
trillion economy and beyond. Besides, continuing their buying trend, foreign
portfolio investors (FPIs) have pumped in a net Rs 22,038 crore into the Indian
markets in February so far amid positive sentiments around the Union Budget.
Traders may take note of Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman's statement that
the government, undeterred by the COVID-19 pandemic, has been pursuing reforms
for achieving sustained long-term growth in a bid to make India one of the top
economies of the world in the coming decades. There will be some buzz in
insurance industry stocks with report that the Finance Ministry will infuse Rs
3,000 crore capital into state-owned general insurance companies during the
current quarter in a bid to improve their financial health. Metal stocks will
be in focus as doing away with restrictive conditions for use of steel in
highways construction, the government announced that all kinds of steel will be
allowed for highways provided these meet the quality parameters. Meanwhile,
China, Hong Kong, Taiwan stock markets were closed for Lunar New Year holidays.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
15,163.30
|
15,081.70
|
15,244.20
|
BSE
Sensex
|
51,544.30
|
51,268.42
|
51,812.38
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
ITC
|
1,105.68
|
217.45
|
213.59
|
223.54
|
Tata
Motors
|
640.93
|
325.40
|
320.94
|
330.19
|
State
Bank of India
|
535.89
|
393.15
|
386.01
|
399.81
|
Adani
Ports and Special Economic Zone
|
249.53
|
616.60
|
594.59
|
630.14
|
NTPC
|
216.61
|
95.95
|
94.54
|
97.64
|
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