Indian equity benchmarks wiped
off morning gains to end sharply lower on Monday, amid concerns over rising
cases of Omicron virus in Europe and surging inflation across the world. The
benchmarks staged a gap up opening, as traders took encouragement with the
government data showing that India's industrial production rose 3.2 per cent in
October 2021. As per the Index of Industrial Production (IIP) data by the
National Statistical Office (NSO), the manufacturing sector's output grew 2 per
cent in October. Buying further crept in as the finance ministry said India's
economic recovery is expected to strengthen in the remaining quarters of the
current fiscal year with the investment cycle kicking off, and projected 7%
annual growth until the end of the decade. Adding to the optimism, Union
minister Amit Shah said policies were framed after hours of brainstorming and
studying all the aspects in order to bring back pre-pandemic levels of economic
growth. He also said the policies which became hurdles in bringing industry,
affected Make In India or obstructed 'Atmanirbhar Bharat' were changed during
the coronavirus period. However, key indices succumbed to selling pressure in
second half of trading session on account of profit booking. Domestic markets
impacted as Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Governor Shaktikanta Das has cautioned
depositors to be careful while chasing high returns as it comes with greater
risk. Observing that depositors themselves also need to be very discerning, he said
it is important to keep in mind that higher returns or higher interest rates
are usually associated with higher risks. Traders also showed cautiousness with
the reports that the government is unlikely to announce capital infusion for
public sector banks (PSBs) in the upcoming Budget. Traders remained on
sidelines ahead of the consumer price index (CPI) data to be released later in
the day. Finally, the BSE Sensex fell 503.25 points or 0.86% to 58,283.42 and
the CNX Nifty was down by 143.05 points or 0.82% to 17,368.25.
The US markets settled lower on
Monday as traders cashed in on some of the strength seen in the markets last
week. Further, weakness also prevailed in the markets as investors remained
cautious about how the omicron variant will affect the economy and what the
Federal Reserve will announce Wednesday. The Fed is expected to discuss
accelerating the pace of tapering its asset purchase program, with reports
suggesting the central bank could double the rate to $30 billion per month.
Meanwhile, the new variant has pushed some government officials to reinstate
health restrictions to slow the spread. As of Sunday, the US was approaching
800,000 coronavirus-related deaths. UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson confirmed
that at least one patient infected with the omicron variant has died in the
country. On the sectoral front, oil service stocks saw substantial weakness on
the day, resulting in a 4.6 percent nosedive by the Philadelphia Oil Service
Index. The sell-off by oil service stocks came amid a decrease by the price of
crude oil, as crude for January delivery fell $0.38 to $71.29 a barrel.
Considerable weakness was also visible among airline stocks, with the NYSE Arca
Airline Index tumbling by 3.2 percent. Semiconductor stocks also showed a
significant move to the downside, dragging the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index
down by 2.6 percent. Banking and computer hardware stocks also moved notably
lower, while strength emerged among biotechnology, pharmaceutical and utilities
stocks.
Crude oil futures ended lower on
Monday on account of concerns about the outlook for energy demand amid worries
about the impact of the Omicron variant of the coronavirus on global economic
recovery. The Omicron coronavirus variant has been detected in more than 60
countries so far. Oxford University said vaccines showed to induce lower levels
of protection against Omicron. Meanwhile, traders also looked ahead to the
Federal Reserve's monetary policy announcement, due on Wednesday. The Bank of
Japan, the European Central Bank and the Bank of England will also announce
their respective monetary policies this week. Benchmark crude oil futures for
January delivery fell $0.38 or about 0.5 percent to settle at $71.29 a barrel
on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude for February delivery declined
$0.73 or 1 percent to settle at $74.42 a barrel on London's Intercontinental
Exchange.
Indian rupee ended flat on Monday
due to mild dollar demand from banks and importers. Traders took some support
as India's industrial production rose 3.2 per cent in October 2021. As per the
Index of Industrial Production (IIP) data by the National Statistical Office
(NSO), the manufacturing sector's output grew 2 per cent in October. However,
upside remained capped as Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Governor Shaktikanta Das
has cautioned depositors to be careful while chasing high returns as it comes
with greater risk. Observing that depositors themselves also need to be very
discerning, he said it is important to keep in mind that higher returns or
higher interest rates are usually associated with higher risks. On the global
front, dollar edged higher on Monday ahead of a slew of central bank meetings
this week including the U.S. Federal Reserve, with investors eyeing how quickly
it will unwind bond-buying and looking for clues on when it will start to raise
rates in 2022. Finally, the rupee ended unchanged (Provisional) from its
previous close of 75.78 on Friday.
The FIIs as per Monday's data
were net sellers in both equity and debt segments. In equity segment, the gross
buying was of Rs 5628.86 crore against gross selling of Rs 6552.22 crore, while
in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 127.86 crore with gross sales
of Rs 893.66 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross buying was of Rs 25.31
crore against gross selling of Rs 24.23 crore.
The US markets ended lower on
Monday as traders cashed in on some of the strength seen in the markets last
week. Asian markets are trading mostly in red on Tuesday following Wall
Street's pullback from record highs. Indian markets closed sharply lower
Monday, pulled by financial and FMCG stocks. Today, markets are likely to start
session in red following weakness in global markets. The World Health
Organisation (WHO) warned that Omicron, which now has been reported in more
than 60 countries, poses a very high global risk, with some evidence that it
evades vaccine protection. The state health department said Maharashtra on
Monday reported two new patients infected with the new Omicron variant of
SARS-CoV-2. Traders will be concerned as the data released by the Ministry of
Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI) showed that the country's
retail inflation rate, which is measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI),
rose to 4.91 percent during the month of November 2021. The inflation has
increased sequentially, as it was recorded at 4.48 percent in October 2021.
Year-on-year, however, a dip has been registered as the rate of inflation in
November 2020 was 6.93 percent. The uptick on sequential basis was led by an
increase in food prices, particularly vegetables. Now, investors will be eyeing
the WPI data to be out later in the day. Also, there will be some cautiousness
as a private report showed that foreign direct investment (FDI) into India in
the July-September quarter of 2021-22 fell a sharp 42% on year at $13.5 billion
from $23.4 billion a year ago. However, some respite may come later in the day
as estimates by Export-import Bank of India showed that India's merchandise
exports are expected to grow by 51 per cent to about $303.98 billion in nine
months ending December 2021 over the same period in 2020. Traders may take note
of report that NITI Aayog CEO Amitabh Kant said undeterred by the repeal of
farm laws, the government will continue to push for greater reforms across
sectors. Meanwhile, Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman has said the cabinet
committee on privatisation is yet to take a decision with regard to divesting
two public sector banks. Banking stocks will be in focus as United Forum of
Bank Unions alleged that public sector banks have lost nearly Rs 2.85 lakh
crore on account of loan dues of 13 corporates even as the banks are used to
bail out ailing financial institutions such as Yes Bank and IL&FS. Data
Patterns (India) IPO will open for subscription today. The public issue
compromises a fresh issue of Rs 240 crore and an offer for sale of 59.52 lakh
shares in the price band of Rs 555 - 585 per share. Shares of Anand Rathi
Wealth Limited, the wealth management arm of Anand Rathi Financial Services,
will be listed on NSE and BSE today.
Support and Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE
(Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE Nifty
|
17,368.25
|
17,269.64
|
17,553.19
|
BSE Sensex
|
58,283.42
|
57,949.69
|
58,910.26
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
ITC
|
220.54
|
234.70
|
232.99
|
237.59
|
Tata
Motors
|
219.21
|
496.00
|
491.34
|
503.54
|
ICICI
Bank
|
168.55
|
754.85
|
748.34
|
765.54
|
Power
Grid Corporation of India
|
162.36
|
204.60
|
202.31
|
208.26
|
State
Bank of India
|
140.47
|
488.50
|
483.09
|
497.19
|
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