Indian equity benchmarks ended
lower with losses of over half percent on Thursday, following heavy selling in
Capital Goods, Banking and Financial Services stocks due to inflation and
growth concerns. A weak rupee and rising crude prices also impacted the market
sentiment. Key gauges made a negative start and stayed in red for whole day, as
weak set of macro-economic data dampened sentiments. India's retail inflation
spiked to 7.41% in September, mainly due to costlier food items. For the ninth
month in a row, retail inflation has remained above the Reserve Bank of India's
tolerance level of 6%. Also, India's industrial growth, as per the Index of
Industrial Production (IIP), slid to an 18-month low of -0.8% in August from
2.2% in July. Some pessimism also came with rating agency Crisil's research
wing stating that India Inc is expected to report a three per cent year-on-year
decline in profits for the July-September period. It added that this fall in
profitability will be the fourth straight quarter of the decline in profits for
the listed companies. Sentiments remained weak in late afternoon deals, amid
SBI Research in its latest Ecowrap report said that the unseasonal rains in
different parts of India, particularly in cereal-producing states, could have a
significantly large impact on cereal and vegetable prices. It also said India's
retail inflation surged to 7.41 per cent in September, remaining above the
Reserve Bank of India's mandated range of 2-6 per cent for the third straight
quarter - nine straight months - largely due to a rise in food prices. Traders
took note of Global rating agency S&P said India is facing a mixture of
factors that may shake its sovereign credit metrics. Nevertheless, it conceded
that strong economic growth and external balance sheet are expected to offset
risks inherent in the growing external headwinds. But if the economy witnesses
a prolonged downturn in real and nominal GDP growth, material downward
pressure on the sovereign ratings could emerge, especially if large government
deficits are left unchecked. Besides, sustained foreign capital outflows also
weighed on investor sentiments. As per exchange data, foreign institutional
investors (FIIs) remained net sellers in the Indian capital market on Wednesday
as they sold shares worth Rs 542.36 crore. Finally, the BSE Sensex fell 390.58
points or 0.68% to 57,235.33 and the CNX Nifty was down by 109.25 points or
0.64% to 17,014.35.
The US markets ended sharply
higher on Thursday, with Dow Jones Industrial Average settling over 800 points,
as traders looked to pick up stocks at reduced levels following the early
weakness, which dragged the major averages down to their lowest intraday levels
since 2020. Traders have also felt concerns about inflation and higher interest
rates have already been priced into the markets following the recent downward
trend. However, the early sell-off on markets came following the release of the
Labor Department's highly anticipated report on consumer price inflation in the
month of September. The report showed consumer prices rose by more than
expected in September, leading to a spike in treasury yields and ongoing
concerns about the outlook for interest rates. The Labor Department said its
consumer price index rose by 0.4 percent in September after inching up by 0.1
percent in August. Street had expected consumer prices to edge up by 0.2
percent. Excluding food and energy prices, core consumer prices climbed by 0.6
percent for the second month compared to expectations for a 0.5 percent
advance. The report also showed the annual rate of growth by consumer prices
slowed to 8.2 percent in September from 8.3 percent in August, although the
annual rate of growth by core prices accelerated to a 40-year high of 6.6
percent from 6.3 percent. On the sectoral front, banking stocks helped lead the
rebound on Wall Street, resulting in a 5.2 percent spike by the KBW Bank Index.
The index rallied after hitting its lowest intraday level in almost two years
in early trading. A sharp increase by the price of crude oil also contributed
to significant strength among energy stocks, with crude for November delivery
jumping $1.84 to $89.11 a barrel.
Crude oil futures ended sharply
higher on Thursday as data showed a significant drop in distillate inventories
in the US in the week ended October 7th. Data from the Energy Information
Administration (EIA) showed that distillate stockpiles fell by 4.9 million
barrels to 106.1 million barrels last week versus expectations for a 2
million-barrel drop. However, EIA showed crude inventories in the US rose by
9.9 million barrels last week. Meanwhile, gasoline stocks were up by 2 million
barrels last week, compared to expectations for a 1.8 million barrel drop. Benchmark
crude oil futures for November delivery rose $1.84 or 2.1 percent at $89.11 a
barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude for December delivery
gained $2.30 or about 2.5 percent to settle at $94.75 (Provisional) a barrel on
London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian rupee ended marginally
weaker against dollar on Thursday, as investors were cautious ahead of US
inflation data. Domestic traders were cautious after retail inflation based on
Consumer Price Index (CPI) jumped to a five-month high of 7.41 percent in
September 2022 mainly due to costlier food items. It is for the ninth month in
a row that retail inflation has remained above the Reserve Bank of India's
upper tolerance level of 6 percent. Besides, India's industrial production
growth, measured in terms of the Index of Industrial Production (IIP), slipped
to an 18-month low, contracting by 0.8 per cent in August, mainly due to a
decline in output of the manufacturing and mining sectors. On the global front,
Sterling rose on Thursday in volatile trade as investors awaited the impending
deadline for the Bank of England to end an emergency bond-buying programme. Finally,
the rupee ended at 82.34 (Provisional), weaker by 1 paisa from its previous
close of 82.33 on Wednesday.
The FIIs as per Thursday's data
were net sellers in equity segment, while net buyers in debt segment. In equity
segment, the gross buying was of Rs 6256.39 crore against gross selling of Rs
6613.65 crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 1343.92
crore against gross selling of Rs 1230.14 crore. Besides, in the hybrid
segment, the gross buying was of Rs 0.67 crore against gross selling of Rs
21.83 crore.
The US markets ended
significantly higher on Thursday as investors brushed aside
higher-than-estimated headline inflation data of 8.2 per cent in September.
Asian markets are trading in green on Friday taking the lead from Wall Street
overnight as investors shook off a strong inflation report. Indian markets
declined over half a per cent on Thursday due to selling in financials, auto and
realty shares after five-month high inflation fanned rate hike fears. Today,
start of session is likely to be gap up mirroring firm global cues. Investors
will be looking ahead to the wholesale inflation data to be out later in the
day. Traders will be taking encouragement as Union Finance Minister Nirmala
Sitharaman said that India is setting the global benchmarks on the digital
front and that there is a sense of confidence in the country that it will be
able to face geopolitical and economic uncertainties and still perform. Some
support will come as S&P Global Ratings said growth in large Asia Pacific
economies like China, India and Indonesia will be less affected as their
economies are more domestically oriented. Meanwhile, the Central government
will soon launch 600 Pradhan Mantri Kisan Samriddhi Kendras, which will not
just retail fertilisers but offer one-stop solutions to farmers in the form of
crop advisories, soil- and seed-testing facilities, retailing seeds and
pesticides, and even custom hiring of agricultural equipment and machines.
However, traders may be concerned as foreign institutional investors (FIIs) net
sold shares worth Rs 1,636.43 crore on October 13, as per provisional data
available on the NSE. There may be some cautiousness as India failed to unseat
the UK and missed being the fifth-largest economy by $10 billion in 2021-22.
It'll have to wait another year before it gets that coveted spot in 2022-23,
overtaking the UK by $27 billion. The International Monetary Fund's (IMF's)
World Economic Outlook stated that by 2025-26 (FY26), the Indian economy would
equal Germany's to be the fourth-largest. It would become the third-largest by
2027-28 (FY28), when it is projected to grow bigger than Japan. Auto stocks
will be in focus as auto industry body Society of Indian Automobile
Manufacturers said riding on the back of strong festive season demand,
passenger vehicle wholesales in India increased 92 per cent to 3,07,389 units
last month, as compared to the same month last year. Passenger vehicle (PV)
dispatches from factories to dealerships in September 2021 stood at 1,60,212
units. There will be some reaction in infrastructure industry related stocks
with report that the national highway construction bucked the trend in this
fiscal year with 37 per cent year-on-year growth in September. The ministry of
road transport and highways (MoRTH) constructed 647 kilometres of highways in
the month, which is the second-highest that they've managed this fiscal year.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
17,014.35
|
16,943.41
|
17,098.81
|
BSE
Sensex
|
57,235.33
|
57,004.68
|
57,517.07
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Wipro
|
424.48
|
379.60
|
374.35
|
388.60
|
Tata Steel
|
346.68
|
100.20
|
98.74
|
101.74
|
Hindalco Industries
|
165.65
|
401.00
|
395.16
|
411.66
|
Oil & Natural Gas Corporation
|
133.20
|
130.00
|
127.81
|
132.01
|
Axis Bank
|
130.24
|
805.00
|
795.41
|
814.76
|
Tata Motors has entered into a PPA with Tata Power for a 7 MW captive solar power project at its Pantnagar plant in Uttarakhand.
State Bank of India has surpassed Rs 6 lakh crore in assets under management in residential home loans segment.
ITC's wholly owned subsidiary -- ITC Infotech India has incorporated wholly owned subsidiary in Brazil under the name of ITC Infotech Do Brasil.
Tech Mahindra has partnered with Foxconn-initiated MIH Consortium, an open EV alliance that promotes collaboration in the mobility industry.