Indian equity benchmarks gave up
their early gains and ended lower by over half percent on Wednesday as
investors turned cautious ahead of the key US retail inflation data due later
tonight. Benchmark indices made
optimistic start and stayed in green in first half of trading session, as
traders took encouragement with the government data showed that India's factory
output measured by the Index of Industrial Production (IIP) posted a robust
growth of 19.6 per cent in May 2022, sharply higher from 7.1 per cent recorded
in the previous month. Also, India's retail inflation eased marginally to 7.01
per cent in June from 7.04 per cent in the previous month helped by softening
crude and edible oil prices. Traders took note of report that Finance minister
Nirmala Sitharaman has asserted that the pointed attack on inflation will need
to continue, and that she has been monitoring price pressure item by item, as
elevated inflation ultimately crimps growth. However, key gauges entered into
negative terrain in the afternoon session, as investor sentiments got hit a
with a private report that the country's current account deficit is likely to
touch $105 billion or 3 per cent of the GDP this fiscal, mainly due to continuously
widening trade deficit. Some concern also came after private report lowered its
India gross domestic product growth projection for 2023 by 70 basis points from
5.4% to 4.7% as economic recovery faces several headwinds. Adding to the pessimism, domestic rating
agency ICRA in its latest report has said that rising bond yields will force
banks to report Mark-To-Market (MTM) losses of up to Rs 13,000 crore on their
investment portfolios in the April-June quarter (Q1FY23). Finally, the BSE
Sensex fell 372.46 points or 0.69% to 53,514.15 and the CNX Nifty was down by
91.65 points or 0.57% to 15,966.65.
The US markets ended in red on
Wednesday, magnifying their recent session's losses as a Labor Department
report showing a bigger than expected increase in US consumer prices added to
concerns about the outlook for interest rates. The Labor Department said its
consumer price index shot up by 1.3 percent in June after jumping by 1.0
percent in May. Street had expected consumer prices to leap by 1.1 percent.
With the bigger than expected monthly surge, the annual rate of consumer price
growth accelerated to 9.1 percent in June, reflecting the biggest increase
since November 1981. Street had expected the annual rate of consumer price
growth to accelerate to 8.8 percent in June from 8.6 percent in May. Excluding
increases in prices for food and energy, core consumer prices advanced by 0.7
percent in June after climbing by 0.6 percent in May. Core prices were expected
to rise by another 0.6 percent. While the annual rate of core consumer price
growth slowed to 5.9 percent in June from 6.0 percent in May, the rate of
growth was expected to decelerate to 5.7 percent. The bigger than expected jump
in consumer prices has solidified expectations the Federal Reserve will raise
interest rates by 75 basis points later this month and increases the likelihood
of another 75 basis point rate hike in September. Traders continued to express
concerns the Fed's aggressive fight to contain elevated inflation will
inadvertently push the economy into a recession. On the sectoral front,
Considerable strength emerged among steel stocks, as reflected by the 1.5
percent gain posted by the NYSE Arca Steel Index. However, banking stocks
showed a significant move to the downside on the day, dragging the KBW Bank
Index down by 1.5 percent.
Crude oil futures ended higher on
Wednesday despite a sharp rise in US inflation, and data showing an increase in
US crude inventories last week. Data released by US Energy Information
Administration showed crude inventories rose by 3.254 million barrels in the
week ended July 8, against expectations for a drop of 154,000 barrels. Gasoline
stockpiles rose by 5.825 million barrels last week, while forecasts were for a
drop of 357,000 barrels. Meanwhile, distillate stockpiles increased 2.668
million barrels, against forecast for a rise of 1.591 million barrels.
Meanwhile, data from the US Labor Department showed that the consumer price
index shot up by 1.3% in June after jumping by 1% in May. Street had expected
consumer prices to leap by 1.1%. Benchmark crude oil futures for August
delivery gained $0.46 or 0.48 percent to settle at $96.3 a barrel on the New
York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude for September delivery added $0.08 or
0.08 percent to settle at $99.57 a barrel on London's Intercontinental
Exchange.
Indian rupee ended weaker against
dollar on Wednesday, on emergence of demand for the greenback from importers.
Traders were worried amid a private report that the country's current account
deficit is likely to touch $105 billion or 3 per cent of the GDP this fiscal,
mainly due to continuously widening trade deficit. Some concern also came after
private report lowered its India gross domestic product growth projection for
2023 by 70 basis points from 5.4% to 4.7% as economic recovery faces several
headwinds. However, downfall remain capped as government data showed that
India's factory output measured by the Index of Industrial Production (IIP)
posted a robust growth of 19.6 per cent in May 2022, sharply higher from 7.1
per cent recorded in the previous month. On the global front, euro edged
higher, hovering just above parity with the dollar on Wednesday while traders
focused on U.S. data due later in the session that is expected to show
inflation at a 40-year high. Finally, the rupee ended at 79.62 (provisional),
weaker by 3 paisa from its previous close of 79.59 on Tuesday.
The FIIs as per Wednesday's data
were net sellers in equity segment, while net buyers in debt segments. In
equity segment, the gross buying was of Rs 4664.52 crore against gross selling
of Rs 6121.81 crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs
290.41 crore against gross selling of Rs 211.39 crore. Besides, in the hybrid
segment, the gross buying was of Rs 1.53 crore against gross selling of Rs
18.15 crore.
The US markets ended lower on
Wednesday after investors digested hotter-than-expected US inflation data,
which fuelled fears that the Fed could raise key interest rates by as much as
100 basis points later this month. Asian market are trading mixed on Thursday
following a weak session on Wall Street overnight. Indian markets reversed
initial gains to finish lower for a third straight day on Wednesday, as caution
persisted across global markets ahead of a key inflation reading from the
world's largest economy. Today, markets are likely to make cautious start amid
lackluster global cues. Investors will closely monitor macro data - wholesale
inflation figures for the month of June. There will be some cautiousness as
India was ranked low at 135th place in terms of gender parity, despite an
improvement of five places since last year on better performance in areas of
economic participation and opportunity. On India, the WEF said its gender gap
score recorded its seventh-highest level in the last 16 years, but it continues
to rank among the worst performers on various parameters. Traders will be
concerned with continues FII selling. Foreign Institutional Investors (FII)
were net sellers once again on Wednesday. FIIs pulled out Rs 2,839 crore from
domestic markets. However, some support may come as a private report stated
that Indian economy is projected to grow 7.1-7.6 per cent in the current
financial year despite shifting geopolitical realities across the world. There
will be some reaction in edible oil industry stocks as industry body Solvent
Extractors Association (SEA) said India's palm oil imports rose marginally to
5,90,921 tonnes in June this year, but the shipment of RBD palmolein oil showed
a sharp increase. Auto stocks will be in focus as the latest data released by
the Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers (SIAM), Passenger vehicle
wholesales in India rose by 19 per cent year-on-year in June on the back of
improvement in semiconductor supplies. The data showed passenger vehicle (PV)
dispatches to dealers stood at 275,788 units last month against 231,633 units
in June 2021. Corporate earnings for June quarter 2022 (Q1FY23) will continue
to determine investor sentiments. ACC, L&T Infotech, Tata Elxsi will report
Q1 numbers on Thursday, July 14.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
15,966.65
|
15,897.86
|
16,087.71
|
BSE
Sensex
|
53,514.15
|
53,242.54
|
53,998.50
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Oil and Natural Gas Corporation
|
271.66
|
124.25
|
122.14
|
125.64
|
Hindalco Industries
|
136.90
|
348.30
|
344.24
|
352.14
|
NTPC
|
136.44
|
148.60
|
147.61
|
149.46
|
HCL Technologies
|
128.74
|
918.40
|
903.60
|
934.60
|
Bharti Airtel
|
120.30
|
646.70
|
635.14
|
664.14
|
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