Indian equity benchmarks extended
losses for second consecutive day on Friday in line with sell off in global
markets. Markets opened with deep cuts and remained in negative territory for
whole day as market participants remained on sidelines ahead of the industrial
growth or Index of Industrial Production (IIP) data to be out later in the day.
Traders also remained cautious with private report stating that retail
inflation in India likely eased a bit last month but stayed above the Reserve
Bank of India's upper threshold for a second straight month, keeping the
central bank on course for further policy tightening. Some concern also came
with the National Stock Exchange's provisional data showing that Foreign
Institutional Investors (FIIs) emerged as net sellers in the capital market on
Thursday as they sold shares worth Rs 561.78 crore. Sentiments remained
dampened in late afternoon deals amid reports that stock investors wealth
eroded by more than Rs 2.67 lakh crore in early trade on Friday, March 10, as
the markets witnessed a sell-off amid weak global trends. Traders overlooked
Union Minister for State for Commerce and Industry Anupriya Patel's statement
that India's merchandise and services exports combined in the current financial
year ending March will be close to $760-770 billion. The country's merchandise
and services exports stood at $672 billion in the last fiscal. Traders also paid no heed towards Australian
Prime Minister Anthony Albanese's statement that the Economic Cooperation and
Trade Agreement (ECTA) signed between India and Australia is a transformative
agreement, which will unlock the next level of potential in trade and
investment. Finally, the BSE Sensex fell 671.15 points or 1.12% to 59,135.13
and the CNX Nifty was down by 176.70 points or 1.00% to 17,412.90.
The US markets ended lower on
Friday, extending their previous session's losses, as tech-focused lender
Silicon Valley Bank shut down following losses in its bond portfolio, prompting
the biggest bank failure since the global financial crisis and sending
shockwaves through the banking sector. Regulators took control of Silicon
Valley Bank on Friday, after shares tumbled Thursday and the bank struggled on
Friday to find another company to buy it. Regional bank stocks tumbled in the
wake of Silicon Valley Bank's demise, with the SPDR S&P Regional Banking
ETF lost nearly 4.4%. For the week, the regional bank fund lost about 16%, its
worst week since March 2020 as the pandemic hit. On the economic data front, a
closely watched report released by the Labor Department showed employment in
the U.S. jumped by much more than expected in the month of February. The Labor
Department said non-farm payroll employment shot up by 311,000 jobs in February
after spiking by a revised 504,000 jobs in January. Street had expected
employment to increase by 205,000 jobs compared to the surge of 517,000 jobs
originally reported for the previous month. The stronger than expected job
growth reflected notable increases in employment in the leisure and
hospitality, retail, government, and healthcare sectors. Meanwhile, decreases
in employment in the information and transportation and warehousing sectors
limited the upside. Despite the stronger than expected job growth, the report
said the unemployment rate rose to 3.6 percent in February from 3.4 percent in
January. The unemployment rate was expected to be unchanged.
Crude oil futures settled higher
on Friday as the dollar turned weak after data showed an uptick in U.S.
unemployment rate in the month of February. Data from the Labor Department
showed that the unemployment rate rose to 3.6% in February from 3.4% in
January. The unemployment rate was expected to be unchanged. However, both
benchmarks fell more than 3% on the week on U.S. interest rate hike jitters.
Expectations of further rate hikes in the world's largest economy and in Europe
have clouded the global growth outlook and driven both crude benchmarks down
this week. Benchmark crude oil futures for April delivery rose $0.96 or 1.3
percent to $76.68 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude for
May delivery gained $1.19 or 1.5 percent to $82.78 a barrel on London's
Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian rupee settled higher
against dollar on last trading day of the week. Traders got support with Union
Minister for State for Commerce and Industry Anupriya Patel's statement that
India's merchandise and services exports combined in the current financial year
ending March will be close to $760-770 billion. The country's merchandise and
services exports stood at $672 billion in the last fiscal. On the global front,
sterling rose on Friday after Britain's economy was shown to have grown by more
than expected in January, further allaying fears of a recession. Dollar index
was steady on Friday, a rare spot of calm in volatile global markets ahead of
key U.S. payrolls data later in the day, while the yen weakened after the Bank
of Japan kept stimulus settings steady. Finally, the rupee ended at 82.02
(Provisional), stronger by 4 paise from its previous close of 82.06 on
Thursday.
The FIIs as per Friday's data
were net sellers in both equity and debt segments. In equity segment, the gross
buying was of Rs 7624.27 crore against gross selling of Rs 8077.72 crore, while
in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 67.42 crore against gross
selling of Rs 1237.66 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross buying
was of Rs 6.51 crore against gross selling of Rs 3.17 crore.
The US markets ended lower on
Friday after regulators sought to backstop all depositers in Silicon Valley
Bank after customers withdrew over $42 billion worth of deposits. Asian markets
are trading mixed on Monday tracking losses on Wall Street Friday overnight.
Indian markets ended lower on Friday tracking losses in global markets with
financial, oil gas led the headline indices lower, while Power and FMCG shares
ended in the green. Today, markets are likely to get cautious start amid grim
global cues, following Silicon Valley Bank crisis. Investors may remain on
sidelines ahead of Consumer Price Index (CPI) data to be out later in the day.
Foreign fund outflows likely to dent domestic sentiments. Foreign institutional
investors (FII) net sold shares worth Rs 2,061.47 crore on 10 March, according
to the provisional data available on the NSE. However, some respite may come
later in the day as the government data showed that India's industrial
production growth perked up slightly to 5.2 per cent in January from 4.7 per
cent in December 2022, mainly due to good performance of the power, mining and
manufacturing sectors. Sentiments may get a boost as the Central Board of
Direct Taxes (CBDT) said net direct tax collection so far this fiscal grew 17
per cent to reach Rs 13.73 lakh crore, which is 83 per cent of the revised
target for the full financial year. The growth in direct tax mop-up, which
comprises personal income tax and corporate taxes, was driven by PIT
collections. Some support may come as RBI Monetary Policy Committee (MPC)
member Ashima Goyal said Inflation is expected to come down over the year, and
asserted that the government's supply-side action coordinated with a flexible
inflation-targeting regime has kept the rate of price rise lower than that in
other countries. Traders may take note of the Reserve Bank of India's statement
that India's foreign exchange reserves rose by $1.46 billion to $562.4 billion
as of March 3, arresting the four successive weeks of fall. There will be some
buzz in the insurance industry stocks with report that the government may have
to infuse more capital in the three public sector general insurance companies
to improve their financial health. Banking stocks will be in focus as RBI
showed that credit growth in the banking system has moderated further, growing
at 15.5 per cent year-on-year (YoY) in the fortnight ended February 24, to Rs
134.50 trillion. There will be some reaction in chemical industry stocks with a
private report that India is likely to account for more than a fifth of
incremental global consumption for chemicals over the next two decades as
domestic demand is projected to rise to $1,000 billion by 2040. Auto stocks
will be in limelight as SIAM said that exports of two-wheelers, passenger
vehicles and three-wheelers from India declined by 35 per cent in February
mainly due to the weakening of currencies against the US dollar in destination
countries, especially in the African continent.
Support and Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and
BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
17,412.90
|
17,341.00
|
17,468.15
|
BSE
Sensex
|
59,135.13
|
58,925.91
|
59,303.40
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Tata Steel
|
477.00
|
108.15
|
107.05
|
108.80
|
ICICI Bank
|
172.73
|
842.15
|
837.15
|
846.25
|
HDFC Bank
|
136.94
|
1588.10
|
1577.49
|
1606.24
|
NTPC
|
124.00
|
180.95
|
178.84
|
182.04
|
Adani Ports And Special Economic Zone
|
121.39
|
699.00
|
685.85
|
706.95
|
Reliance Industries' wholly owned subsidiary -- Reliance Polyester has completed acquisition of polyester business of Shubhalakshmi Polyesters and Shubhlaxmi Polytex.
Axis Bank has entered into partnership with ITC to offer the bank's lending products and services to farmers who are a part of ITC's agriculture eco-system.
Wipro has been selected by Menzies Aviation, the world's largest aviation services company, to transform its air cargo management services.
M&M is reportedly to sell 4.6 percent stake in automotive component supplier Mahindra CIE Automotive at a floor price of Rs 355 per share, via a block deal.