Indian equity benchmarks
witnessed bearish trend on Thursday with frontline gauges ending below their
crucial 60,000 (Sensex) and 17,900 (Nifty) levels amid broad-based selling pressure
as traders remain concerned over sustained foreign fund outflow. Foreign
institutional investors (FIIs) were net sellers in the capital market, as they
offloaded shares worth Rs 469.50 crore on November 10, 2021. Sentiments
remained weak since morning with key gauges making a negative start as traders
remained on sidelines looking forward to the last leg of quarterly numbers from
India Inc for further cues. Traders shrugged off Finance Ministry's latest
economic report stating that India's economic recovery has continued to trend
upwards even as global economic recovery remains hamstrung. Markets extended
losses on report that India's widening current account deficit (CAD), driven by
the massive spike in commodity prices led by crude oil, is set to put pressure
on the fragile recovery, warns a brokerage report that has revised upwards its
CAD forecast to USD 45 billion or 1.4 percent of GDP by March. Traders also
remained anxious after RBI's governor Shaktikanta Das said monetary policy
normalisation or unwinding is not as simple as rolling back a carpet but a much
more complex and long-term process. Shaktikanta Das exuded confidence in the
economy clipping at the projected 9.5 per cent growth this fiscal, stating that
growth impulses and the fast-moving economic indicators are strong. Traders
overlooked a finance ministry report said that armed with necessary macro and
micro growth drivers, India is on its way to becoming the fastest growing major
economy in the world. Also, market participants overlooked report that India's
GDP will rise by $406 billion by 2050 and more than 43 million jobs will be
created, as the Asia's third-largest economy leaps towards a net-zero target.
Finally, the BSE Sensex declined 433.13 points or 0.72% to 59,919.69 and the CNX
Nifty was down by 143.60 points or 0.80% to 17,873.60.
The US markets ended mostly
higher on Thursday as some traders looked to pick up stocks at somewhat reduced
levels after the drop seen on Tuesday and Wednesday dragged the major averages
down well off Monday's record closing highs. However, overall trading activity
remained somewhat subdued, as some traders stuck to the sidelines amid the
Veterans Day holiday. Lingering concerns about inflation also limited buying
interest after Wednesday's Labor Department report showing consumer prices rose
at their fastest annual rate in over thirty years in October. On the sectoral
front, steel stocks showed a substantial move back to the upside on the day,
with the NSYE Arca Steel Index surging up by 3.8 percent after ending the previous
session at its lowest closing level in over seven months. Significant strength
was also visible among gold stocks, as reflected by the 2.6 percent jump by the
NYSE Arca Gold Bugs Index. The index ended the session at a nearly five-month
closing high. Semiconductor, natural gas and computer hardware also regained
ground after coming under pressure during trading on Wednesday.
Crude oil futures ended higher on
Thursday as traders weighed global energy demand and supply prospects. A report
from Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) that said the
group's crude oil production rose by 217,000 barrels per day (bpd) to 27.453
million bpd in October, but still fell short of the cartel's share of the
400,000-bpd total output hike of the OPEC+ group, helped lift crude oil prices.
However, the latest data showing an increase in US crude stockpiles in the week
ended November 5th and a downward revision in global oil demand forecast by the
OPEC weighed on oil prices. Oil prices were also hurt by concerns that rising
US inflation could prompt Washington to release more strategic crude stock
piles to drive down prices. Benchmark crude oil futures for December delivery
gained $0.25 or 0.3 percent to settle at $81.59 a barrel on the New York
Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude for January delivery rose $0.18 or 0.22
percent to settle at $82.82 a barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian rupee ended weaker against
the US dollar on Thursday, on increased demand for the greenback from importers
and banks. Sentiments were downbeat as inflation in the US hit a 30-year high,
raising concerns of an earlier-than-expected hike in interest rates in the
world's largest economy. Also, continuous foreign fund outflows subdued
traders' sentiments. Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) were stood as net
sellers in the capital market, as they offloaded shares worth Rs 469.50 crore
on Wednesday. They have sold equities worth Rs 5,515 crore so far this month. On
the global front, dollar rose to 16-month highs against the euro and other
currencies on Thursday, and the yen fell back towards multi-year lows, after
the hottest U.S. inflation reading in a generation encouraged bets on interest
rate hikes. Finally, the rupee ended 74.51, weaker by 17 paise from its
previous close of 74.34 on Wednesday.
The FIIs as per Thursday's data
were net sellers in equity segment, while net buyers in debt segment. In equity
segment, the gross buying was of Rs 6304.69 crore against gross selling of Rs 9247.08
crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 1399.96 crore
with gross sales of Rs 173.00 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross
buying was of Rs 9.40 crore against gross selling of Rs 6.98 crore.
The US markets ended mostly
higher on Thursday as some traders looked to pick up stocks at somewhat reduced
levels after the drop seen on Tuesday and Wednesday. Asian markets are trading
in green on Friday following the mostly positive cues overnight from Wall
Street, as traders are bargain hunting after the recent losses. Indian markets
suffered sharp losses on Thursday, falling for the third day in a row, amid
weakness across global markets as investors worried over surging inflation.
Today, the start of session is likely to be optimistic tracking gains in global
peers. Investors will be eyeing the industrial and manufacturing production
data along with inflation numbers for the further direction. Traders will be
taking encouragement as Niti Aayog Vice-Chairman Rajiv Kumar said Indian
economy is expected to grow by more than 10 per cent in the current fiscal
supported by a record kharif crop and bright rabi prospects. According to
Kumar, significant increase in exports will also boost economic growth and
employment generation. Traders may take note of report that Commerce and
Industry Minister Piyush Goyal said India is looking at reciprocal and
equitable access to foreign markets through free trade agreements, which the
country is negotiating with its trading partners. India is, at present,
negotiating free trade agreements (FTAs) with countries like UAE, the UK, and
Australia. However, there may be some
cautiousness as Fitch Solutions cautioned that policymaking could become
slightly more challenging in the months ahead in India due to higher
inflationary pressures, stronger growth, and still-wide fiscal deficits. It
added Inflation, growth and fiscal deficit make life slightly more difficult
for policymakers, resulting in possible policy trade-offs. Traders may be
concerned with a private report that India's widening current account deficit
(CAD), driven by the massive spike in commodity prices led by crude oil, is set
to put pressure on the fragile recovery. Meanwhile, markets regulator Sebi has
amended rules to introduce silver exchange traded funds, a move that will
expand the options available for investing in commodities through stock
exchanges. There will be some reaction in power stocks with ICRA's report that
the power generation performance of the ICRA-monitored wind power portfolio of
3.2 gigawatt (GW) was adversely impacted during the financial year 2020-21
(FY21) primarily because of lower wind speeds.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE Nifty
|
17,873.60
|
17,790.75
|
17,963.90
|
BSE Sensex
|
59,919.69
|
59,619.55
|
60,256.54
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Tata
Motors
|
292.56
|
504.50
|
497.34
|
515.34
|
Mahindra
& Mahindra
|
230.86
|
509.90
|
503.71
|
519.46
|
State
Bank of India
|
141.58
|
153.65
|
152.19
|
155.99
|
Bharti
Airtel
|
136.63
|
1300.00
|
1,284.06
|
1,320.21
|
Hindalco
Industries
|
126.99
|
133.75
|
132.36
|
135.36
|
Kotak Mahindra Bank has completed the acquisition of a nearly 10 per cent stake in KFin Technologies for around Rs 310 crore.
Power Grid Corporation of India's board has approved investments proposals worth around Rs 552 crore.
NTPC has planned to start commercial operation of Unit-1 (660 MW) of Barh Super Thermal Power Station Stage-I (3x660 MW) with effect from November 12, 2021.
Maruti Suzuki India is gearing up to bolster its presence in the fast-growing SUV segment and has commenced development work on new models to expand its current range.