Indian equity benchmarks ended on
a negative note in the volatile session on Thursday, amid fag-end selling.
After making a slightly positive start, markets soon turned volatile as traders
were cautious with provisional data from the National Stock Exchange showing
that foreign institutional investors offloaded shares worth Rs 84.55 crore on
November 8. However, markets erased initial losses and managed to keep their
heads above water in afternoon deals, as some support came with Commerce and
Industry Minister Piyush Goyal's statement that the government is looking at
easing certain restrictions for units in the special economic zones (SEZ) to
promote the sector's growth. SEZs in India are treated as foreign territories
for trade and customs duties, with restrictions on duty-free domestic sales.
But, buying proved short-lived as key gauges once again fell into red terrain
in late afternoon deals, as sentiments got hit amid a private report stating
that India's industrial growth likely cooled to 7.5 percent in September on
account of some weakening of momentum in activity. According to a report,
industrial growth - as per the Index of Industrial Production (IIP) - likely
fell in September for the first time in three months, with high-frequency data
indicative of a slowdown. Traders overlooked report that Moody's Investors
Service retained India's economic growth forecast for 2023 at 6.7 per cent and
said strong domestic demand will likely sustain the growth in the near term.
Traders took a note of the Central Board of Indirect Taxes and Customs (CBIC)
Chairman Sanjay Kumar Agarwal's statement that the growth in October Goods and
Services Tax (GST) collections, which is the second highest ever, is on account
of economic activity and not due to show cause notices to online gaming
companies. Finally, the BSE Sensex fell 143.41 points or 0.22% to 64,832.20 and
the CNX Nifty was down by 48.20 points or 0.25% to 19,395.30.
The US markets ended lower on
Thursday as treasury yields have jumped following the release of the results of
the Treasury Department's thirty-year bond auction. The Treasury Department
revealed this month's auction of $24 billion worth of thirty-year bonds attracted
below average demand. The thirty-year bond auction drew a high yield of 4.769
percent and a bid-to-cover ratio of 2.24, while the ten previous thirty-year
bond auctions had an average bid-to-cover ratio of 2.38. The bid-to-cover ratio
is a measure of demand that indicates the amount of bids for each dollar worth
of securities being sold. Treasury yields, which move opposite of their price,
shot up following the release of the results as bond prices slumped. On the
economic data front, first-time claims for U.S. unemployment claims edged down
from an upwardly revised level in the week ended November 4th, according to a
report released by the Labor Department on Thursday. The report said initial
jobless claims slipped to 217,000, a decrease of 3,000 from the previous week's
revised level of 220,000. Street had expected jobless claims to inch up to
218,000 from the 217,000 originally reported for the previous week. On the
sectoral front, Pharmaceutical stocks continue to see substantial weakness
after trending higher in recent session, dragging the NYSE Arca Pharmaceutical
Index down by 2.2 percent. Considerable weakness also remains visible among
biotechnology and healthcare stocks, with the NYSE Arca Biotechnology Index and
the Dow Jones U.S. Health Care Index falling by 2.1 percent and 1.9 percent,
respectively.
Crude oil futures ended higher on
Thursday on account of lingering concerns about the outlook for energy demand
amid global economic slowdown. Oil prices rose despite new data indicating
deflationary pressures in China, the world's biggest crude oil importer.
China's consumer price inflation fell 0.2% year-on-year in October while
factory-gate prices declined 2.6%, falling for a 13th month in a row and
raising concerns over domestic demand. Benchmark crude oil futures for December
delivery rose $0.41 or 0.5 percent to settle at $75.74 a barrel on the New York
Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude for January delivery gained $0.47 or 0.6
percent to settle at $80.01 a barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Rupee settled flat against dollar
on Thursday amid a negative trend in domestic equities and sustained foreign
fund outflows. Traders were cautious after private report stated that India's
industrial growth likely cooled to 7.5 percent in September on account of some
weakening of momentum in activity. According to a report, industrial growth -
as per the Index of Industrial Production (IIP) - likely fell in September for
the first time in three months, with high-frequency data indicative of a
slowdown. On the global front, the pound edged up against the euro on Thursday
after Bank of England (BoE) policymakers, including Chief Economist Huw Pill,
reiterated policy will need to remain restrictive for some time, while Russian
rouble strengthened past 92 to the dollar on Thursday, supported by exporters'
mandatory foreign currency sales even as oil prices remained at more than
three-month lows. Finally, the rupee ended flat (Provisional) with its previous
close of 83.30 on Wednesday.
The FIIs as per Thursday's data
were net sellers in equity segment, while they were net buyers in debt segment.
In equity segment, the gross buying was of Rs 6789.94 crore against gross selling
of Rs 7682.96 crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs
1423.71 crore with gross sales of Rs 248.29 crore. Besides, in the hybrid
segment, the gross buying was of Rs 12.62 crore against gross selling of Rs
10.75 crore.
The US markets ended lower on
Thursday as Treasury yields climbed after a disappointing auction of 30-year
bonds and comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. Asian markets are
trading in red on Friday retreating from small gains made in the previous
session amid a downbeat tone set by U.S. markets overnight. Indian markets
ended in red on Thursday tracking muted global cues amid uncertainty about the
trajectory of the U.S. economy. Today, markets likely to start trade for the
last day of Samvat 2079 on negative note mirroring weak global cues and a jump
in Treasury yields after Fed Chair Jerome Powell indicated the Fed will make
future monetary policy decisions meeting by meeting based on the totality of
incoming data and the implications for the outlook for economic activity and
inflation. Investors may react to the RBI governor Shaktikanta Das' statement
that retail inflation remains vulnerable to recurring and overlapping food
price shocks. Persistent foreign fund outflows likely to dent sentiments.
Provisional data from the National Stock Exchange showed that foreign
institutional investors offloaded shares worth Rs 1,712.33 crore on November 9.
However, some respite may come later in the day as Moody's Investors Service
retained India's economic growth forecast for 2023 at 6.7 per cent and said
strong domestic demand will likely sustain the growth in the near term. With
exports remaining weak against an unfavourable global economic backdrop,
Moody's in its Global Macroeconomic Outlook 2024-25 said sustained domestic
demand growth is propelling India's economy. Some support may also come as a
private report said the pace of India's consumer price inflation likely eased
further to a four-month low of 4.80% in October, closer to the Reserve Bank of
India's 4% medium-term target. Banking stocks will be in focus as Fitch Ratings
said Indian Banks' Viability Ratings (VR) will continue to benefit from
improved operating conditions and performance in the near term. It expects
Issuer Default Ratings (IDRs) to remain stable across banks as they are driven
by its expectation of extraordinary support from the Indian sovereign
(BBB-/Stable), should there be a need. Investors will keep eye on Q2FY24
result. LIC, M&M, ONGC, Coal India, Hindustan Aeronautics, Hindalco, SAIL,
Ipca Labs, Biocon, Tata Chemicals, and Hudco are among the notable companies
scheduled to report September quarter results today. ESAF Small Finance Bank shares
will debut on the stock exchanges on Friday at an issue price of Rs 60.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
19,395.30
|
19,361.14
|
19,446.69
|
BSE
Sensex
|
64,832.20
|
64,718.46
|
64,996.26
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Tata
Steel
|
229.79
|
119.65
|
118.84
|
120.49
|
Coal
India
|
155.03
|
323.90
|
318.24
|
327.04
|
NTPC
|
139.87
|
237.70
|
235.90
|
239.60
|
Power
Grid
|
137.78
|
210.00
|
207.24
|
211.64
|
State
Bank of India
|
124.34
|
577.60
|
575.45
|
580.80
|
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