Indian equity markets resumed
northward journey after two days of subdued move and gained over half a percent
on Wednesday, supported by upbeat global cues. After the positive start, the
markets gradually inched higher as the day progressed after the Reserve Bank of
India's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) decided to increase the repo rate by 25
basis points to 6.5%. The central bank pegged the GDP growth for FY24 at 6.4
per cent, and lowered the inflation forecast to 5.3 per cent. For FY23, the
inflation estimate has been lowered to 6.5 per cent versus 6.7 per cent
earlier. Some support also came as Niti Aayog member Arvind Virmani,
appreciating Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman for continuing fiscal
consolidation in the Budget for 2023-24, said it would help in reducing the
cost of capital for Indian companies. He also said the large increase in
capital expenditures by 33 per cent to Rs 10 lakh crore for infrastructure
development will accelerate India's economic growth. Sentiments remained
up-beat in late afternoon deals, taking support from RBI Deputy Governor MK
Jain's statement that domestic banks' exposure to the Adani Group is not very
significant, and the system is strong and large enough to not get impacted by
a single case. Traders took a note of Reserve Bank Governor Shaktikanta's
statement that the Current Account Deficit (CAD), a key indicator of the
external sector, is expected to moderate in second half of 2022-23 (H2FY23)
from 3.3 per cent of GDP in April-September mainly due to moderation in
imports. He noted that CAD had widened to 3.3 per cent of GDP in first half of
2022-23 from 0.2 per cent in the comparable period of 2021-22 on the back of a
sharp increase in the merchandise trade deficit. Meanwhile, provisional data
available on the NSE showed that foreign institutional investors (FII) sold
shares worth Rs 2,559.96 crore on February 7. Finally, the BSE Sensex rose
377.75 points or 0.63% to 60,663.79 and the CNX Nifty was up by 150.20 points
or 0.85% to 17,871.70.
The US markets ended lower on
Wednesday as some traders looked to cash in Tuesday's gains, which came amid a
positive reaction to comments by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. Powell
acknowledged recent indications of easing inflation but noted that the
disinflationary process has a long way to go and cautioned further interest
rate hikes could be needed. The positive sentiment generated in reaction to
Powell's comments was partly offset by remarks by New York Fed President John
Williams, who said interest rates may need to be kept at an elevated level for
a few years to bring down inflation. Overall trading activity was somewhat
subdued, however, with a relatively light economic calendar keeping some
traders on the sidelines. Reports on initial jobless claims and consumer
sentiment are likely to attract attention in the coming days, with the consumer
sentiment report including readings on inflation expectations. On the sectoral
front, Semiconductor stocks turned in some of the market's worst performances
on the day, resulting in a 2.2 percent slump by the Philadelphia Semiconductor
Index. Considerable weakness was also visible among interest rate-sensitive
utilities stocks, as reflected by the 1.7 percent drop by the Dow Jones Utility
Average. The average fell to its lowest closing level in almost three months.
Housing stocks also showed a significant move to the downside, dragging the
Philadelphia Housing Sector Index down by 1.6 percent.
Crude oil futures ended higher on
Wednesday, magnifying their previous session's rally, amid hopes of higher
demand from China. Oil prices rose despite data showing an increase in U.S.
crude inventories last week. Data from U.S. Energy Information Administration
(EIA) showed crude inventories in the U.S. rose by 2.423 million barrels in the
week ended February 1, in line with expectations. The EIA data also showed gasoline
inventories increased 5 million barrels last week, about four times the
expected surge. Meanwhile, distillate stockpiles rose by 2.932 million barrels
as against expectations for an increase of 0.097 million barrels. Benchmark
crude oil futures for March delivery rose $1.33 or 1.7 percent at $78.47 a
barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude for April delivery
surged $1.40 or 1.7 percent at $85.09 (Provisional) a barrel on London's
Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian Rupee ended higher against
the US dollar on Wednesday after the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) hiked the repo
rate by 25 basis points. A rally in the domestic equity markets also supported
the rupee. Sentiments were upbeat after Reserve Bank projected India's economic
growth at 6.4 per cent for 2023-24, broadly in line with the estimate of the
Economic Survey tabled in Parliament last week. Besides, the Reserve Bank
projected retail inflation to ease to 5.3 per cent in next fiscal from 6.5 per
cent this year on assumptions of lower imported inflation, even though core
inflation remains sticky. On the global front, rouble weakened on Wednesday,
sliding to a one-month low against the dollar as market demand for foreign
currency overpowered government sales, while stocks headed lower on proposals
for a one-time windfall tax on big businesses. Finally, the rupee ended at
82.51 (Provisional), stronger by 19 paise from its previous close of 82.70 on
Tuesday.
The FIIs as per Wednesday's data
were net sellers in both equity and debt segment. In equity segment, the gross
buying was of Rs 7286.08 crore against gross selling of Rs 9492.90 crore, while
in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 1499.57 crore against gross
selling of Rs 2323.59 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross buying
was of Rs 6.15 crore against gross selling of Rs 3.52 crore.
The US markets ended lower on
Wednesday paring most of the previous session's strong gains, with tech-focused
shares leading the way lower. Asian markets are trading mixed on Thursday as
investors assessed further risks of more rate hikes to come. Indian markets
ended higher on Wednesday, but off day's highs, as the RBI announced a smaller
25-basis points rate hike and said that domestic banks' exposure to the Adani
Group is not very significant. Today, markets are likely to get cautious start
amid mixed global cues. Also, there may be some volatility in the markets amid
weekly F&O expiry later in the day. Continued selling by foreign investors
likely to dampen sentiments in the domestic markets. As per provisional data
available on the NSE, foreign institutional investors (FII) sold shares worth
Rs 736.82 crore on February 8. There will be some cautiousness with a private
report that after delivering the seventh hawkish policy on Wednesday the
central bank may pause after delivering a likely 25 basis points increase in
the April review. However, some support may come as B B Swain, Secretary to the
Union Ministry for Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs), stating that
the Centre has acknowledged MSMEs' contribution to the country's economic
growth, and the Budget 2023-24 has given a boost to the fund-starved sector
with higher credit flow and by simplifying compliances. Meanwhile, SEBI has
notified rules asking all market intermediaries and companies to make
regulatory payments to it by way of direct credit into the bank account through
digital payment systems. There will be some buzz in the railways stocks with
report that the Railways has earned more than Rs 600 crore through convenience
fee, which it retains from passengers on the cancellation of a ticket, so far
in 2022-23. Coal industry stocks will be in focus with report that demand for
coal is estimated to reach 1,087 million tonne in the ongoing financial year.
As against the increased coal demand, domestic production of the fossil fuel
has also increased. There will be some reaction in oil & gas industry
stocks with report that India's fuel demand slipped in January after hitting a
nine-month peak in December, hit by lower mobility due to cold weather in parts
of the country and a slowdown in industrial activity. There are many companies
including Hindalco Industries, Hindustan Petroleum Corporation, Life Insurance
Corporation of India, Lupin, Zomato, Adani Total Gas, Aurobindo Pharma, Bajaj
Consumer Care, Greaves Cotton, Hindustan Aeronautics, Indian Railway Catering
and Tourism Corporation, Jet Airways, Page Industries, Suzlon Energy, United
Breweries, Ujjivan Financial Services, and Voltas to report their quarterly
earning later in the day.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
17,871.70
|
17,777.66
|
17,932.21
|
BSE
Sensex
|
60,663.79
|
60,395.10
|
60,862.28
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Tata Steel
|
665.24
|
111.60
|
110.21
|
112.86
|
Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone
|
311.12
|
603.00
|
575.66
|
617.66
|
Adani Enterprises
|
191.73
|
2220.00
|
1966.51
|
2347.81
|
State Bank of India
|
155.03
|
550.75
|
546.00
|
555.00
|
HDFC Life
|
105.72
|
508.30
|
491.10
|
517.90
|
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