Indian equity benchmarks recouped
most of their initial losses, but ended in the negative zone on Wednesday amid
dull global cues. Key gauges made gap-down opening and remained under immense
selling pressure during early deals, as traders were concerned as domestic
ratings agency Icra said India's current account deficit (CAD) will widen to 5
per cent of the GDP in the September quarter due to higher merchandise trade deficit.
The trade deficit has doubled to $28.7 billion for August due to a 36.8 per
cent expansion in imports and a 1.2 per cent decline in export earnings.
Domestic sentiments remained pessimistic, amid private report estimating that
India's consumer price index (CPI) firmed to 6.9% year-on-year in August, while
core inflation likely stood at 6%. However, key gauges recovered most of their
lost ground and came off day's lows in late afternoon deals, taking support
from Moody's Investors Service's statement that India's economic recovery is
unlikely to be derailed by rising challenges to the global economy, higher
inflation and tightening financial conditions, and affirmed a stable outlook
for the country's rating Baa3. Also, Moody's saw the Indian economy expanding
by 7.6 per cent in the current fiscal compared to 8.7 per cent growth in the
last financial year that ended on March 31. For 2023-24, it estimates a 6.3 per
cent GDP growth. Some support also came as Commerce and Industry Minister
Piyush Goyal's statement that India's goods and services exports have already
crossed $675 billion in the last fiscal year and the country is now aspiring to
take international trade to $2 trillion by 2030. Finally, the BSE Sensex fell
168.08 points or 0.28% to 59,028.91 and the CNX Nifty was down by 31.20 points
or 0.18% to 17,624.40.
The US markets ended higher on
Wednesday with Nasdaq settling higher over two percent as some traders looked
to pick up stocks at reduced levels following the recent weakness, which
dragged the major averages down to their lowest levels in over a month. While
other recent bargain hunting efforts have faltered over the course of the
trading day, traders may now feel that interest rate concerns have been priced
into the markets. Meanwhile, the rebound also came amid a pullback by treasury yields,
with the yield on the benchmark ten-year note giving back ground after reaching
a nearly three-month high on Tuesday. Markets saw further upside following the
release of the Federal Reserve's Beige Book, which said economic activity in
the US has been essentially unchanged since early July. The Beige Book, a
compilation of anecdotal evidence on economic conditions in each of the twelve
Fed districts, noted five districts reported slight to modest growth in
activity and five others reported slight to modest softening. With regard to
inflation, the Fed said prices remained highly elevated, with substantial price
increases reported across all districts, particularly for food, rent,
utilities, and hospitality services. However, the report noted nine districts
reported some degree of moderation in rate of price growth in recent months. A
separate report released by the Commerce Department showed the US trade deficit
narrowed significantly in the month of July. The Commerce Department said the
trade deficit shrank to $70.6 billion in July from a revised $80.9 billion in
June. Street had expected the trade deficit to narrow to $70.3 billion from the
$79.6 billion originally reported for the previous month.
Crude oil futures ended deeply in
red with cut of over five and half percent on Wednesday on demand worries.
Rising concerns about the outlook for energy demand from China due to
Covid-related lockdowns and expectations of interest rate hikes by central
banks weighed on oil prices. The Bank of Canada raised its benchmark rates by
75 basis points. The European Central Bank, which is scheduled to announce its
rate decision on Thursday, is widely expected to announce a sharp hike in rates
following eurozone inflation hitting a record 9.1% in August, going high above
the bank's 2% target. Benchmark crude oil futures for October delivery fell
$4.94 or about 5.7 percent to settle at $81.94 a barrel on the New York
Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude for November delivery dropped $4.83 or about
5.2 percent to settle at $88 a barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian rupee ended lower against
dollar on Wednesday, tracking a strong dollar in overseas markets and losses in
the domestic equities. Traders were worried as domestic ratings agency Icra
said India's current account deficit (CAD) will widen to 5 per cent of the GDP
in the September quarter due to higher merchandise trade deficit. The trade
deficit has doubled to $28.7 billion for August due to a 36.8 per cent
expansion in imports and a 1.2 per cent decline in export earnings. Meanwhile,
Commerce and Industry Minister Piyush Goyal stated that India's goods and
services exports have already crossed $675 billion in the last fiscal year and
the country is now aspiring to take international trade to $2 trillion by 2030.
On the global front, Sterling slipped against a rampaging dollar on Wednesday,
lingering near 2-1/2 year lows. Finally, the rupee ended at 79.95
(Provisional), weaker by 13 paisa from its previous close of 79.82 on Tuesday.
The FIIs as per Wednesday's data
were net buyers in both equity and debt segment. In equity segment, the gross
buying was of Rs 6998.55 crore against gross selling of Rs 5293.74 crore, while
in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 648.87 crore against gross
selling of Rs 152.04 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross buying
was of Rs 4.26 crore against gross selling of Rs 9.19 crore.
The US markets ended higher on
Wednesday climbed the most in roughly a month as bond yields eased, with
investors shrugging off hawkish remarks made by Federal Reserve officials.
Asian markets are trading mostly in green on Thursday following Wall Street's
solid rebound rally overnight in the best day since August 10 for all three
averages. Indian markets ended lower on Wednesday after losses in
rate-sensitive banking and auto shares amid weak global market trends as higher
interest rate and recession fears hit investors' sentiment. Today, the start of
session is likely to be optimistic tracking firm global cues. Traders will be
taking encouragement as International Monetary Fund's (IMF) Managing Director
Kristalina Georgieva said that despite global uncertainty and headwinds, India
continues to be a bright spot in the global economy. Some support will come as
Sanjiv Bajaj, President of industry body CII said India is in a much better
position to deal with the challenges related to growth and inflation. Buying by
foreign investors in domestic markets likely to aid sentiments. Foreign
institutional investors (FIIs) have net-bought shares worth Rs 758.37 crore on
September 7, as per provisional data available on the NSE. Meanwhile, Commerce
and industry minister Piyush Goyal has launched an initiative -- SETU
(Supporting Entrepreneurs in Transformation and Upskilling) -- to connect
startups in India to US-based investors. However, there may be some
cautiousness as a private report raised its estimate of India's current account
deficit (CAD) as a share of the gross domestic product for 2023, citing higher
commodity prices and chances of an export slowdown. There will be some buzz in
consumer durable industry stocks with Crisil's report that despite increasing
margin pressure, the consumer durables sector is likely to witness a
double-digit volume growth, pushing its revenue up by 15-18 per cent to Rs 1
lakh crore this fiscal. According to the report, a 10-13 per cent spike in
demand/volume, which will be driven by both urban and rural segments -- led
mostly by the AC and refrigerator segments, though rural demand will come into
play in the second half of the fiscal. Oil industry stocks will be in focus as
data from the Petroleum Planning and Analysis Cell (PPAC) of the Oil Ministry
showed India's fuel demand rose 16.3% in August compared with the same month
last year. It said consumption of fuel, a proxy for oil demand, totalled 17.81
million tonnes. There will be some reaction in aviation industry stocks as Icra
in its report stated that domestic airlines industry is expected to report a
net loss of around Rs 15,000-17,000 crore this fiscal on account of elevated
price of Aviation Turbine Fuel (ATF) and a weak rupee.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
17,624.40
|
17,522.21
|
17,688.66
|
BSE
Sensex
|
59,028.91
|
58,779.04
|
59,222.61
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Bharti Airtel
|
1,267.94
|
752.00
|
704.84
|
780.54
|
Tata Steel
|
439.45
|
107.60
|
106.84
|
108.64
|
Tata Motors
|
207.64
|
446.20
|
441.06
|
453.91
|
NTPC
|
194.15
|
167.25
|
165.89
|
169.39
|
Coal India
|
127.51
|
239.00
|
234.46
|
241.41
|
Infosys has inked a five-year agreement with Spirit AeroSystems, Inc.
Coal India's production increased by 44.6 MT as of September 4, eclipsing the previous best of 44.5 MT registered in FY16, which though was for the entire year.
State Bank of India has partnered with WAAREE.
M&M's subsidiary -- MASL has agreed to sell its entire stake aggregating 91.59% of the paid-up Equity Share Capital in MKPL, a subsidiary of MASL, to the founder and promoter of MKPL.