Indian equity
benchmarks languished in the red throughout the day and ended around a percent
lower on Thursday as weak global cues and nervousness ahead of the Reserve Bank
of India's monetary policy outcome tomorrow kept investors on the sidelines.
Traders remained cautious with a private report stated that the yield on the
10-year government bond inched up to nearly 7 per cent ahead of the Reserve
Bank of India's (RBI) monetary policy review scheduled for Friday on fears that
the central bank may raise the inflation forecast. Some concern also came with
another private report stating that India's central bank will likely raise its
inflation outlook this week to reflect costlier oil, but leave borrowing costs
steady and tap other policy tools it's used before to support an economy facing
new risks to recovery. Adding to the pessimism, Union Road Transport and
Highways Secretary Giridhar Aramane said that India's national highway
construction slowed to 28.64 km a day in 2021-22 due to COVID-19 pandemic
related disruptions and a longer-than-usual monsoon in some parts of the
country. Domestic equities fell sharply in late afternoon deals, despite a
working paper by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) stating that extreme
poverty in India was as low as 0.8% in 2019 and the country managed to keep it
at that level in 2020 despite the unprecedented Covid-19 outbreak, by resorting
to food transfers through the Pradhan Mantri Garib Kalyan Yojana (PMGKY).
Traders overlooked the government data showed exports of agricultural products
from India crossed the $50 billion mark for the first time during the financial
year 2021-22 on the back of healthy growth in the exports of sugar, rice, wheat
and other cereals. Finally, the BSE
Sensex fell 575.46 points or 0.97% to 59,034.95 and the CNX Nifty was down by
168.10 points or 0.94% to 17,639.55.
The US markets ended in green on
Thursday amid investors reassessed the Federal Reserve's latest plans to
tighten monetary policy and combat rising inflation. Defensive names like
consumer staples and health-care companies led Thursday's market comeback as
investors continued their search for stocks with stable earnings and dividends.
Costco rallied nearly 4%, while Pfizer popped 4.3%. Walmart, Merck, UnitedHealth
Group and Procter & Gamble also notched gains for the day. Besides,
Investors continued to monitor the Ukraine-Russia war, as Ukraine asks NATO for
more weapons and the EU and US weigh a ban on Russian coal. Meanwhile, the US
Senate passed a bill banning Russian oil and gas imports. On the economic data
front, first-time claims for US unemployment benefits saw a modest decrease in
the week ended April 2nd, according to a report released by the Labor
Department. The report showed initial jobless claims dipped to 166,000, a
decrease of 5,000 from the previous week's revised level of 171,000. Street had
expected jobless claims to edge down to 200,000 from the 202,000 originally
reported for the previous week. The Labor Department said the less volatile
four-week moving average also slipped to 170,000, a decrease of 8,000 from the
previous week's revised average of 178,000.
Crude oil futures ended
marginally lower on Thursday on concerns about excess supply in the market
following the decision of the International Energy Agency to release oil from
its reserve. Further, concerns about the outlook for energy demand due to the
virus outbreak in Shanghai and the resultant fresh lockdown measures weighed as
well on oil prices. However, downside remained capped after the United States
issued another round of sanctions on Russia. Benchmark crude oil futures for
May delivery lost $0.20 or 0.2 percent to settle at $96.03 a barrel on the New
York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude for June delivery dropped $0.55 or 0.54
percent to settle at $100.52 a barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian rupee ended lower against
dollar on Thursday as hawkish stance of the US Federal Reserve affected
investor sentiments in emerging markets. Sentiments were fragile with private
report stating that the yield on the 10-year government bond inched up to
nearly 7 per cent ahead of the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) monetary policy
review scheduled for Friday on fears that the central bank may raise the
inflation forecast. Heavy sell-off in Indian equity markets also weighed on
sentiments. On the global front, dollar was heading towards a two-year high
against a basket of major currencies on Thursday after meeting minutes showed
the Federal Reserve preparing to move aggressively to fight inflation, while
commodity-linked currencies fell further. Finally, the rupee ended at 76.03
(Provisional), weaker by 19 paise from its previous close of 75.84 on
Wednesday.
The FIIs as per Thursday's data
were net sellers in equity segment, while net buyers in debt segment. In equity
segment, the gross buying was of Rs 6593.77 crore against gross selling of Rs
8006.68 crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 1372.34
crore with gross sales of Rs 115.83 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the
gross buying was of Rs 19.91 crore against gross selling of Rs 12.79 crore.
The US markets ended higher on
Thursday with Pfizer and Tesla fueling a late-session rally while investors
eyed the war in Ukraine and a potentially more aggressive Federal Reserve.
Asian markets are trading mostly in red on Friday extending a selling-off this
week fuelled by concerns about the Federal Reserve's plans to aggressively
tighten monetary policy to fight inflation. Indian markets ended lower for the
third straight session on Thursday, with benchmark indices falling a percent
each amid selling across the sectors barring pharma. Today, markets are likely
to make cautious start ahead of the RBI's crucial monetary policy announcement
and amid mixed global cues. The market will keenly watch the Reserve Bank of
India's (RBI) inflation and growth projections in the wake of the continued
increase in oil and commodity prices. There is expectation that the central
bank to keep the key rates unchanged. Traders will be concerned as the finance
ministry said the current elevated level of international crude price, should
it persist for a long time, may come in the way of India achieving a real
economic growth rate of 8%-plus in FY23 and pose upside risks to inflation as
well. However, some support will come as former RBI Governor Bimal Jalan said
the Indian economy is in good shape as the country's GDP growth rate and
foreign exchange reserve are high. Notwithstanding economic uncertainties
triggered by the Russia-Ukraine war that is also impacting the global supply
chain, Jalan said it is not going to affect India's economic performance.
Traders may take note of a private report that with the e-way bills generated
for inter-state trade in goods under the goods and services tax (GST) regime
touching a record in March, the monthly GST collections will likely hit an
all-time high of around Rs 1.5 trillion in April (March transactions).
Meanwhile, the finance ministry said the union government is exploring all
viable options to procure crude oil at affordable rates. There will be some
buzz in the telecom stocks as in a move to boost financial inclusion, telecom
regulator Trai has scrapped the charges levied on USSD messages, which are
mostly availed by feature phone users, for transactions related to mobile
banking and payment services. Insurance industry stocks will be in focus as the
insurance regulator, IRDA, wants removal of the minimum entry capital
requirement of Rs 100 crore for setting up an insurance business in a bid to
facilitate the entry of multiple players such as standalone micro insurers and
niche players. There will be some reaction power sector stocks with the finance
ministry's statement that 10 states were given the permission to borrow an
additional Rs 28,204 crore in FY22 for undertaking power sector reforms.
Support and Resistance:
NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
17,639.55
|
17,579.66
|
17,743.46
|
BSE
Sensex
|
59,034.95
|
58,839.90
|
59,367.47
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
NTPC
|
377.38
|
153.50
|
151.14
|
156.94
|
Oil & Natural Gas Corporation
|
245.50
|
169.00
|
166.86
|
172.46
|
Coal India
|
217.12
|
191.85
|
188.81
|
195.96
|
HDFC Bank
|
203.90
|
1,521.00
|
1,509.35
|
1,537.00
|
Tata Motors
|
199.50
|
450.25
|
446.14
|
456.74
|
Coal India has supplied coal to Non-Power sector to the tune of 3.32 lakh tonne per day in FY 2021-22.
HDFC Bank is planning to raise funds by issuing perpetual debt instruments, tier II capital bonds and long-term bonds up to a total amount of Rs 50,000 crore over the period of next 12 months.
Larsen & Toubro's construction arm has secured orders for its various Businesses.
Tata Motors has bagged an order of 1300 commercial vehicles from VRL Logistics to expand VRL Logistics' commercial vehicle fleet portfolio in the country.