Indian equity benchmarks ended
higher for a second session in a row on Monday on the back of gains in
Utilities, Power and Oil & Gas stocks following strong global trends.
Markets made an optimistic start and extended gains as the day progressed, as
traders took encouragement with Commerce and Industry Minister Piyush Goyal's
statement that the country's goods and services exports are expected to cross
$750 billion this fiscal despite the global economic uncertainties. In 2021-22,
the country's goods and services exports touched an all-time high of $422
billion and $254 billion respectively, taking the total shipments to $676
billion. Some support also came with Union minister of state for micro, small
and medium enterprises (MSMEs) -- Bhanu Pratap Singh Verma's statement that the
central government will increase the number of technology centres to provide
tools, trained personnel and consultancy to MSMEs for stimulating growth of
industries. Verma highlighted the crucial role played by the sector during the
COVID-19 crisis. However, in the second half, markets trimmed some of the
intraday gains, as traders got anxious after the Reserve Bank of India said
India's foreign exchange reserves dropped $325 million to $560.942 billion as
of February 24, making it the fourth consecutive week of decline in the kitty.
Some cautiousness also came as External Affairs Minister S Jaishankar conveyed
to his Chinese counterpart Qin Gang at a meeting that the state of India-China
relations is abnormal as their talks focused on addressing the challenges in
bilateral ties, especially that of peace and tranquility in the border areas.
But, markets managed to end the session higher, as some optimism remained among
traders with a report from the National Statistical Office (NSO) showing that
the annual per capita (net national income) at current prices is estimated at
Rs 1,72,000 in 2022-23, up from Rs 86,647 in 2014-15, suggesting an increase of
about 99 per cent. Some support also came as Joint Secretary in the Department
for Promotion of Industry and Internal Trade (DPIIT) Sanjiv Singh stated that
the government is working to bring a national retail trade policy for brick and
mortar retail traders, in order to promote ease of doing business. He added
that the policy would also help in providing better infrastructure and more
credit to traders. Finally, the BSE Sensex rose 415.49 points or 0.69% to
60,224.46 and the CNX Nifty was up by 117.10 points or 0.67% to 17,711.45.
The US markets settled in red on
Tuesday after comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell suggested that
rates may need to go higher for longer, fueling fears of a potentially larger
hike at the central bank's next policy meeting. The comments indicated that the
Fed may consider a larger rate hike than last month's 25 basis point increase
at its next policy meeting on March 21-22. Powell also said the Fed would be
prepared to reaccelerate the pace of rate hikes if the totality of incoming
data were to indicate that faster tightening is warranted. Additionally, the
Fed chief reiterated the central bank will likely need to maintain a restrictive
stance of monetary policy for some time in order to restore price stability. The
Fed's next monetary policy meeting is scheduled for March 21-22, with CME
Group's FedWatch Tool currently indicating a 70.5 percent chance of 50 basis
point rate increase and a 29.5 percent chance of 25 basis point rate hike. On
the sectoral front, gold stocks turned in some of the worst performances on the
day, dragging the NYSE Arca Gold Bugs Index down by 4.0 percent to a nearly
four-month closing low. The sell-off by gold stocks came amid a steep drop by
the price of the precious metal, with gold for April delivery plunging $34.60
to $1,820 an ounce. Substantial weakness was also visible among banking stocks,
as reflected by the 3.9 percent nosedive by the KBW Bank Index. The index
tumbled to its lowest closing level in well over a month.
Crude oil futures ended deeply in
red on Tuesday amid renewed uncertainty about energy demand after weak economic
data from China. Further, oil prices fell after Fed Chair Powell said interest
rates will likely remain high in order to fight inflation. Citing stubbornly
elevated inflation and stronger than expected economic data, Powell said during
his semiannual monetary policy testimony before the Senate Banking Committee
that ultimate level of interest rates is likely to be higher than previously
anticipated. Benchmark crude oil futures for April delivery fell $2.88 or 3.6
percent to $77.58 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude for
May delivery dropped $2.89 or 3.4 percent to $83.29 a barrel on London's
Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian rupee ended higher against
dollar on Monday, as a positive trend in domestic equities and fresh foreign
fund inflows boosted investors' sentiments. The National Stock Exchange's
provisional data showed that foreign institutional investors (FII) bought
shares worth Rs 246.24 crore on March 3. Besides, Commerce and Industry
Minister Piyush Goyal said India's goods and services exports are expected to
cross $750 billion this fiscal despite the global economic uncertainties. On
the global front, U.S. dollar eased on Monday as investors awaited testimony
from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ahead of the February jobs report at
the end of the week that will likely influence how much more the U.S. central
bank will raise interest rates. Finally, the rupee ended at 81.92
(Provisional), stronger by 5 paise from its previous close of 81.97 on Friday.
The FIIs as per Monday's data
were net buyers in equity segment, while net sellers in debt segment. In equity
segment, the gross buying was of Rs 6963.99 crore against gross selling of Rs
6727.15 crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 317.60
crore against gross selling of Rs 1324.29 crore. Besides, in the hybrid
segment, the gross buying was of Rs 1279.84 crore against gross selling of Rs
17.16 crore.
The US markets ended sharply
lower on Tuesday after the US Fed Chief remained firm on monetary policy
tightening course until core inflation is down to its 2 per cent target. Asian
markets are trading mostly in red on Wednesday as traders anticipated a larger
rate hike at the next policy meeting. Indian markets ended higher on Monday as
softening US 10-year Treasury bond yield, and China's modest economic growth
target eased concerns about inflation and rate hikes. Markets were closed on
Tuesday on account of Holi. Today, domestic indices are likely to get negative
start mirroring the moves across global markets. The US Fed Chief said he
anticipates higher rates to be higher than previously predicted. However,
foreign fund inflows likely to aid domestic sentiments. The National Stock
Exchange's provisional data showed foreign institutional investors (FII) bought
shares worth Rs 721.37 crore on March 6. Some support may come as Finance
Ministry data showed that there has been a rise of 133 per cent in collection
of major cess and surcharges levied by the Central government on various
products during the five-year period between 2017-18 and 2022-23, as it went up
from Rs 2,18,553 crore in 2017-18 to Rs 5,10,549 crore in 2022-23. Traders may
take note of Moody's Analytics' statement that India's domestic economy, rather
than trade, is its primary engine of growth and the slowdown in economic
activity late last year will only be temporary. Besides, the seventh round of
India-UK free trade agreement (FTA) talks concluded following technical
discussions across 11 policy areas over 43 separate sessions between
negotiators from both sides here last month. Meanwhile, Markets watchdog Sebi
came out with a framework for the adoption of cloud services by stock
exchanges, clearing corporations and other regulated entities. There will be
some buzz in the aviation industry stocks as rating agency Icra revised the
outlook for the country's aviation sector to stable from negative, citing
fast-paced recovery in the domestic air passenger traffic. Sugar stocks will be
in focus with a report that India has a cushion to export additional 1 million
tonnes of sugar this year if the domestic output reaches the estimated 33.6 million
tonnes. There will be some reaction in select auto stocks as the Federation of
Automobile Dealers Associations (FADA) data showed that Maruti Suzuki India and
Hyundai Motor India saw a dip in their market share in February, while Tata
Motors, Mahindra and Kia India witnessed a year on year increase last month.
Power industry stocks will be in limelight as rating agency ICRA said India's
thermal plant load factor (PLF) improved to 64 percent in FY2023 from 58.9
percent in FY2022, driven by a strong recovery in electricity demand growth in
the country.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
17,711.45
|
17,655.61
|
17,783.61
|
BSE
Sensex
|
60,224.46
|
59,987.24
|
60,480.07
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Tata Steel
|
1068.68
|
105.85
|
104.70
|
107.30
|
Adani Ports And Special Economic Zone
|
374.35
|
688.00
|
671.81
|
713.46
|
Adani Enterprises
|
271.80
|
1982.00
|
1846.34
|
2126.34
|
State Bank of India
|
161.62
|
561.80
|
557.90
|
566.80
|
Oil & Natural Gas Corporation
|
144.92
|
158.20
|
154.60
|
160.75
|
Bajaj Finserv's unlisted insurance subsidiary -- Bajaj Allianz General Insurance Company has reported Gross Direct Premium underwritten of Rs 934.76 crore in the month of February 2023.
HCL Technologies is eyeing to double semiconductor services business in 3-4 years following capabilities that it will develop around electronic chip plants to be set by its group firm.
Tech Mahindra is planning to invest up to Rs 700 crore in the newly carved out division of products and platforms in the next two years.
Hero MotoCorp has launched the Super Splendor XTEC.