Indian equity benchmarks
witnessed a choppy ride in intra-day trades but selective buying in late trades
helped benchmark indices to end higher for fourth session in a row on
Wednesday. Markets made a cautious start in tandem with weak global cues and
foreign fund outflows. Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) offloaded
equities worth Rs 1,725.11 crore on Tuesday, according to exchange data.
Traders also remained wary as S&P Global Ratings Economist (Asia Pacific)
Vishrut Rana stated that inflation in India is likely to remain elevated in the
near terms but government policies will prevent it from rising further. In
July, the consumer price index based retail inflation spiked to 15-month high
of 7.44 per cent in July, with specific food commodities mainly driving the
increase. Markets extended losses in afternoon deals, as sentiments remained
down-beat with Switzerland-based Financial Stability Board (FSB) warning that
higher interest rates alongside a slowing growth outlook, could impair the
capacity of borrowers to service historically high levels of debt. However,
markets erased all of their losses in final minutes of trade to end higher, as
traders found solace with private report that Reserve Bank Governor Shaktikanta
Das said that the central bank is firmly focused on bringing down inflation to
4 per cent, adding that monetary policy must be forward-looking. The RBI
remains prepared to undertake policy responses to deal with supply shocks which
have become more frequent with profound implications. Some support came with Union
Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman stating that there has been a threefold
increase in income tax filing in each bracket, an indication of significant
improvement in the formalisation of the economy. Finally, the BSE Sensex rose
100.26 points or 0.15% to 65,880.52 and the CNX Nifty was up by 36.15 points or
0.18% to 19,611.05.
The US markets ended in red on
Wednesday amid ongoing concerns about the outlook for the global economy
following the recent release of disappointing data from overseas. A recent
surge in oil prices added to the negative sentiment amid worries higher oil
prices could keep inflation at elevated levels. The price of crude oil has
reached its highest levels since last November after Saudi Arabia and Russia
extended supply cuts until the end of the year. Besides, markets saw further
downside following the release of a report from the Institute for Supply
Management (PMI) showing an unexpected acceleration in the pace of U.S. service
sector growth in the month of August. The ISM said its services PMI rose to
54.5 in August from 52.7 in July, with a reading above 50 indicating growth in
the sector. The increase surprised participants, who had expected the index to
edge down to 52.5. The data added to recent concerns about the outlook for
interest rates, as the report also showed an acceleration in the pace of price
growth. The prices index rose to 58.9 in August from 56.8 in July. Meanwhile,
the Commerce Department released a report showing the U.S. trade deficit
widened in the month of July. The report said the trade deficit increased to
$65.0 billion in July from a revised $63.7 billion in June. Street had expected
the trade deficit to rise to $65.8 billion from the $65.5 billion originally
reported for the previous month. The wider trade deficit came as the value of
imports climbed by 1.7 percent to $316.7 billion, while the value of exports
rose by 1.6 percent to $251.7 billion.
Crude oil futures magnified
recent gains and ended higher on Wednesday. Oil prices continued to benefit
from Russia and Saudi Arabia's decision to extend their voluntary additional
production cuts till the end of the year. Further, expectations of a drop in
U.S. crude inventory last week contributed as well to the uptick in oil prices.
Benchmark crude oil futures for October delivery rose $0.85 or 1 percent to
settle at $87.54 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude for
November delivery surged $0.56 or 0.6 percent to settle at $90.60 a barrel on
London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian rupee ended lower against
dollar on Wednesday, on increased demand for the greenback from importers and
banks. This is the fifth consecutive session when the rupee was traded lower
against dollar. Sentiments remained fragile as S&P Global Ratings Economist
(Asia Pacific) Vishrut Rana stated that inflation in India is likely to remain
elevated in the near terms but government policies will prevent it from rising
further. In July, the consumer price index based retail inflation spiked to
15-month high of 7.44 per cent in July, with specific food commodities mainly
driving the increase. Besides, elevated crude oil prices and strength of the
American currency weighed on investor sentiments. On the global front, dollar
held close to a six-month peak as jitters over China and global growth weighed
on risk appetite, while the yen strengthened as Japan's top currency diplomat
sent a warning about the currency after it earlier dropped to a 10-month low. Finally,
the rupee ended at 83.13 (Provisional), weaker by 9 paise from its previous
close of 83.04 on Tuesday.
The FIIs as per Wednesday's data
were net sellers in both equity and debt segments. In equity segment, the gross
buying was of Rs 8574.56 crore against gross selling of Rs 9886.13 crore, while
in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 266.89 crore with gross sales
of Rs 1065.62 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross buying was of Rs
22.12 crore against gross selling of Rs 19.81 crore.
The US markets ended lower on
Wednesday as rising oil prices revived inflation fears and Boston Fed President
Susan Collins warned that more policy tightening could be warranted. Asian
markets are trading mostly in red on Thursday ahead of China's trade figures,
due out later in the day. Indian markets extended their winning run into the
fourth straight trading session and ended higher on Wednesday, thanks to the
late buying in index heavyweights - HDFC Bank, Bharti Airtel and ITC. Today,
start of the session is likely to be cautious amid weak global cues. However,
some support may come as Chairman, CII national committee on EXIM, Sanjay
Budhia, said negotiating trade pacts with certain G20 countries and
diversifying exports to regions like Brazil and Mexico could help India boost
outbound shipments and manufacturing in the years to come. He said that tapping
into opportunities in G20 countries is crucial for India's economic growth and
global influence. Traders may take note of Reserve Bank of India Governor
Shaktikanta Das' statement that the Unified Payments Interface (UPI) has played
a phenomenal role in the FinTech revolution in India. He added Indian fintech
industry projected to generate around $200 billion in revenue by 2030. Besides,
Nigeria is seeking historic partnerships with Indian businesses to expand its
investments in the country, especially at a time when Nigeria is experiencing
rapid economic growth. There will be some buzz in renewable energy sector
stocks as the Union Cabinet approved a scheme for providing viability gap
funding (VGF) for developing battery storage of 4 gigawatt (Gw) by 2030-31. The
VGF for the battery energy storage system (BESS) will have an initial outlay of
Rs 9,400 crore and this will include a budgetary grant of Rs 3,700 crore. The
scheme is aimed at supporting the energy storage needs of the renewable energy
sector, especially solar and wind. Tyre stocks will be in focus as Crisil said
production volume of Indian tyre makers is set to rise 6-8% on-year to a new
high of 2.7 million tonne in fiscal 2024, driven mainly by higher replacement
demand, and steady demand from commercial vehicles (CVs) and passenger vehicles
(PVs). There will be some reaction in petrochemicals industry related stocks as
rating agency Icra revised the outlook on the petrochemicals and basic
chemicals industries to negative from stable due to weak demand and global
supply glut. It said outlook on specialty chemicals remains stable, with
profitability expected to moderate in FY2024, but not trigger an outlook change
at this stage, added that the petrochemical and basic chemicals industries are
likely to face pressure on operating rates and profitability. Tea industry
stocks will be in limelight as Tea Board data showed that tea exports during
January to June declined 0.81 per cent to 96.49 million kg as against 97.28
million kg in the corresponding period a year ago.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
19,611.05
|
19,522.89
|
19,667.84
|
BSE
Sensex
|
65,880.52
|
65,588.65
|
66,071.75
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Jio Financial Services
|
2254.13
|
253.75
|
246.60
|
260.35
|
Tata Steel
|
360.59
|
129.45
|
127.64
|
131.84
|
ICICI Bank
|
308.02
|
960.05
|
950.74
|
969.44
|
HDFC Bank
|
281.60
|
1599.00
|
1582.60
|
1607.70
|
State Bank of India
|
206.10
|
570.95
|
567.89
|
574.14
|
Tata Steel and global technology leader ABB have signed a MoU and will work together to co-create innovative models and technologies to help reduce the carbon footprint of steel production.
State Bank of India has entered into an agreement with the Andhra Pradesh Food Processing Society to upgrade and support the establishment of at least 7,500 micro food processing units in the state.
Tech Mahindra has launched Ops amplifAIer solution.
Tata Motors has supplied 400 state-of-the art Starbus EV buses to the Delhi Transport Corporation, via its subsidiary TML CV Mobility Solutions, as a part of its larger order to supply, maintain and operate 1,500 low-floor, air-conditioned electric buses for a period 12-years.