Indian equity benchmarks finished
a volatile session with minor cuts on Monday as investors remained cautious
ahead of the RBI's policy decision later this week. Indian markets made a gap
down opening, as traders were concerned as continuing its heavy selling spree
for the eighth consecutive month, foreign investors pulled out nearly Rs 40,000
crore from the Indian equity market in May on fears of an aggressive rate hike
by US Federal Reserve that dented investor sentiments. Adding more pessimism,
the Union Health Ministry data showed that India logged 4,270 new coronavirus
infections taking the tally of COVID-19 cases to 4,31,76,817, while the daily
positivity rate was recorded above one per cent after 34 days. However, key
gauges trimmed all of their losses to enter into green for a brief period in
late afternoon deals, following a positive start in Europe. Traders took some support
from RBI data showed that the country's foreign exchange reserves increased by
$3.854 billion to $601.363 billion in the week ended May 27. Some support also
came with private report stated that hiring activity in India increased by 40
per cent year-on-year in May 2022 led by strong growth in the sectors like
travel, hospitality, retail, real estate and banking and financial services.
But, markets failed to hold gains and ended marginally lower amid reports that
with inflation showing no signs of abatement, the Reserve Bank is likely to
increase the benchmark lending rate in quick succession in its forthcoming
monetary policy review, a hint for which has already been given by Governor
Shaktikanta Das. Traders took note of report that Prime Minister Narendra Modi
stressed the need to make India's banks and currency an important part of the
international trade and supply chain. He also exhorted financial institutions
to continuously encourage good financial and corporate governance practices.
Finally, the BSE Sensex fell 93.91 points or 0.17% to 55,675.32 and the CNX
Nifty was down by 14.75 points or 0.09% to 16,569.55.
The US markets ended slightly
higher on Monday. Investor sentiment got a boost after Beijing rolled back some
Covid-related restrictions. A private report stated that Chinese regulators are
wrapping up their investigations into ride-hailing giant Didi - potentially
signaling that the country's crackdown on its tech sector may be coming to an
end. The developments in China could encourage investors about the prospects
for the US and European economies as well. However, investors have been
grappling with fears that the central bank could raise interest rates too fast
and too much, causing a recession. Recent statements from the policy-setting
Federal Reserve members indicate that 50 basis point - or a half-percentage-point
- rate increases are likely at the June and July meetings. Investors will be
focused on the consumer price index reading for May, which is slated for
release on Friday. The key inflation gauge is expected to be just slightly
cooler than April, which could be interpreted by some as a confirmation that
inflation has peaked. Market participants also await a European Central Bank
(ECB) policy meeting on Thursday for confirmation whether the central bank will
raise rates at the July 21 policy meeting. Meanwhile, the 10-year Treasury
yield hit its highest level in nearly a month as investors sold bonds. Though
the move appeared to knock stocks off their highs, it did not cause a major
decline in equities like similar moves did earlier this year.
Crude oil futures ended
marginally lower on Monday after pulling back from early gains that saw prices
trade above $120 a barrel after Saudi Arabia raised crude prices. Saudi Arabia
raised the official selling price (OSP) of its Arab light crude to northwest
Europe, the Mediterranean and Asia. The move comes after a decision last week
by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, a
group known as OPEC+, to boost output by 648,000 barrels a day in July and
August failed to put a lid on rising crude prices. The increased target was
spread across all OPEC+ members. However, many members have little room to ramp
up output, including Russia, which faces Western sanctions. Benchmark crude oil
futures for July delivery lower 37 cents or 0.3 percent to settle at $118.50 a
barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude for August delivery
declined 21 cents or 0.2 percent to settle at $119.51 a barrel on London's
Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian rupee ended unchanged as
compared to its previous close as investors remained cautious ahead of the
RBI's policy decision later this week. The RBI's rate-setting panel MPC began
its three-day deliberation amid expectations of another round of hike in
benchmark interest rates to contain inflation that continues to remain above
the central bank's upper tolerance level. Some concern also came as the Union
Health Ministry data showed that India logged 4,270 new coronavirus infections
taking the tally of COVID-19 cases to 4,31,76,817, while the daily positivity
rate was recorded above one per cent after 34 days. The weak trade in the local
equity market also adversely impacted local forex trade. On the global front,
the yen was on the back foot on Monday and the dollar held firm against most
peers ahead of a busy policy-focused week in which inflation is in the
spotlight with a major European Central Bank meeting and U.S. consumer price
data scheduled. Finally, the rupee ended unchanged from its previous close of
77.66 on Friday.
The FIIs as per Monday's data
were net sellers in equity segment, while net buyers in debt segment. In equity
segment, the gross buying was of Rs 5819.41 crore against gross selling of Rs
9514.28 crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 134.11
crore with gross sales of Rs 76.26 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the
gross buying was of Rs 6.13 crore against gross selling of Rs 3.16 crore.
The US markets ended higher on
Monday at the back of China relaxing some tough Covid-19 measures, even as
inflation and interest rate hikes continue to worry investors. Asian markets
are trading mostly in red on Tuesday despite the broadly positive cues from
Wall Street overnight. Indian markets finished a volatile session in the red on
Monday - a second straight day of fall - as losses in IT stocks offset gains in
metal stocks and a fag-end rebound in select financial shares. Today, markets are
likely to extend their bearish trend with negative start tracking losses in
Asian peers. Investors will also await directional cues from central bank
meetings and U.S. inflation data due later in the week. There will be some
cautiousness with ratings and research firm Acuite Ratings & Research's
report that the expectation of the expansion of the current account deficit is
not just driven by elevated global commodity prices, but is also linked to the
unlocking of the economy reviving pent-up demand and improved vaccination cover
aiding an organic recovery in the economy. Besides, Foreign Institutional
Investors (FII) continued to be net sellers of domestic stocks on Monday. FIIs
pulled out Rs 2,397 crore from domestic stocks. However, some respite may come
as Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman said the economic growth will continue
to be supported by fiscal spending along with an investment push, imparting
momentum to the economy based on the idea of growth at macro level complemented
by all-inclusive welfare at micro level. There will be some buzz in the auto
stocks after dealers' body FADA saw growth in retail sales of passenger
vehicles were in May, but a de-growth was witnessed in sales of two-wheelers
and commercial vehicles as they remained below pre-Covid levels of May 2019.
Besides, the finance ministry has released the third monthly instalment of
revenue deficit grant of Rs 7,183 crore to 14 states. Power stocks will be in
focus with a private report that power shortages are likely to continue in the
short to medium term on rising demand in the peak season and the persisting
supply-demand mismatch. There will be some reaction in infrastructure industry
stocks as Union Road Transport and Highways Minister Nitin Gadkari said his
target is to construct 60 kilometres of highway per day. India's national
highway construction slowed to 28.64 km a day in 2021-22 due to COVID-19
pandemic related disruptions and a longer-than-usual monsoon in some parts of
the country. Defence stocks are also likely to see action after the Ministry of
Defence approved procurement of military equipment from domestic industries.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
16,569.55
|
16,472.41
|
16,638.81
|
BSE
Sensex
|
55,675.32
|
55,369.94
|
55,906.48
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Oil & Natural Gas corporation of India
|
303.27
|
153.90
|
152.46
|
155.66
|
Coal India
|
220.20
|
194.60
|
192.94
|
196.54
|
NTPC
|
184.85
|
155.35
|
153.75
|
157.80
|
Tata Motors
|
118.96
|
433.45
|
427.39
|
436.74
|
ITC
|
109.25
|
274.45
|
270.84
|
276.94
|
Coal India has registered a decline in May as compared to the year-ago month in the coal dispatch to captive power plants and sectors like cement.
Tata Motors has bagged an order for supply of 10,000 XPRES-T EV units from BluSmart Electric Mobility.
Sun Pharmaceutical Industries is planning to increase its field force in the domestic market by 10% in the current fiscal to drive twin objectives of brand focus and geographical expansion.
ITC has reaffirmed its commitment towards a Greener Earth through its bold Sustainability 2.0 agenda.