Indian equity benchmarks settled
at fresh record closing high levels on Monday, marking the fifth straight day
of gains as the BJP's victory in assembly polls in three states boosted
investor sentiment. Key gauges opened with a huge gap up and strengthened
further as the day progressed as traders took encouragement with the finance ministry
stating that GST collections jumped 15 per cent to nearly Rs 1.68 lakh crore in
November on increased domestic activity and festive season buying. Some support
came in with report that after turning net sellers in the past two months, FPIs
again made a comeback in the Indian stock markets in November and pumped in Rs
9,000 crore amid fall in US treasury bond yields and the resilience of the
domestic market. Some optimism also came with the latest data by the Reserve
Bank of India (RBI) showing that India's foreign exchange reserves increased by
$2.54 billion to $597.94 billion for the week ending November 24. Markets
extended their gains in late afternoon session and closed around the highs for
the day, as sentiments remained up-beat with Union Minister for Commerce &
Industry Piyush Goyal's statement that India's focus on infrastructure is
empowering the economy and giving it a fillip. He said massive investments both
from the government and from the private sector, directed towards infrastructure
are boosting the infrastructural capabilities of the country. Additional
support came amid reports that the Reserve Bank is likely to maintain the
status quo on the short-term interest rate in its monetary policy review later
this week, with inflation staying in comfort zone and economic growth moving at
an accelerated pace. Finally, the BSE Sensex rose 1383.93 points or 2.05% to
68,865.12 and the CNX Nifty was up by 418.90 points or 2.07% to 20,686.80.
The US markets ended in red on
Monday as some traders looked to cash in on the recent strength in the markets.
Further, a rebound by treasury yields have also contributed to the weakness on
markets, as the yield on the benchmark ten-year note bounced off its lowest
levels in three months. Meanwhile, traders looked ahead to the release of the
Labor Department's closely watched monthly jobs report on Friday. Street
currently expect employment to increase by 180,000 jobs in November after
rising by 150,000 jobs in October, while the unemployment rate is expected to
hold at 3.9 percent. on the sectoral front, gold stocks showed a substantial
move to the downside on the day, with the NYSE Arca Gold Bugs Index plunging by
2.5 percent after ending last Friday's trading at a four-month closing high. The
sell-off by gold stocks came as the price of gold for February delivery plunged
$47.50 to $2,042.20 an ounce after reaching a high above $2,100 an ounce
earlier in the day. Software, computer hardware and semiconductor stocks also
saw considerable weakness, contributing to the pullback by the tech-heavy
Nasdaq. On the economic data front, the Commerce Department released a report
this morning showing factory orders pulled back by much more than expected in
the month of October. The report said factory orders plunged by 3.6 percent in
October after jumping by a downwardly revised 2.3 percent in September. Street
had expected factory orders to tumble by 2.6 percent compared to the 2.8
percent surge originally reported for the previous month.
Crude oil futures ended lower on
Monday, extending their previous session's losses, on concerns over slowing
demand, as well as some skepticism that the OPEC+ output cuts will hold, and
the fact that U.S. production continued to break new records. Further, the
dollar's rise also weighed on oil prices. Benchmark crude oil futures for
January delivery fell $1.03 or about 1.4 percent to settle at $73.04 a barrel
on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude for February delivery shed
$0.85 or about 1.07 percent to settle at $78.03 a barrel on London's
Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian rupee ended lower on
Monday despite a positive trend in domestic equities. Traders ignored report
that finance ministry said GST collections jumped 15 per cent to nearly Rs 1.68
lakh crore in November on increased domestic activity and festive season
buying. Goods and Services Tax (GST) mop-up was over Rs 1.45 lakh crore in
November 2022. Besides, Reserve Bank of India (RBI) showed that India's foreign
exchange reserves increased by $2.54 billion to $597.94 billion for the week
ending November 24. On the global front, dollar ticked higher on Monday,
regaining some ground after falling for three straight weeks on bets that the
Federal Reserve will soon be cutting interest rates. Finally, the rupee ended
at 83.38 (Provisional), weaker by 5 paise from its previous close of 83.33 on
Friday.
The FIIs as per Monday's data
were net buyers in both equity and debt segments. In equity segment, the gross
buying was of Rs 15581.66 crore against gross selling of Rs 9864.19 crore,
while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 1612.12 crore with
gross sales of Rs 519.78 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross
buying was of Rs 9.86 crore against gross selling of Rs 9.79 crore.
The US markets ended lower on
Monday as investors turned cautious ahead of employment data due this week that
could alter expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates early
next year. Asian markets are trading mostly in red on Tuesday as investors
assessed inflation data from South Korea and Tokyo in Japan. Indian markets
ended at fresh record highs on Monday as investors welcomed the Bharatiya
Janata Party's decisive electoral victories in the states of Madhya Pradesh,
Rajasthan and Chhattisgarh. Today, markets likely to continue gaining momentum
with flat-to-positive start amid foreign fund inflows. Provisional data from
the National Stock Exchange showed that foreign institutional investors bought
shares worth Rs 2,073.21 crore on December 4. Investors will be eyeing Services
PMI data for the month of November to be out later in the day for more
directional cues. Sentiments will get a boost as Minister of State for Finance
Pankaj Chaudhary said India will become a $5 trillion economy early in the Amrit
Kaal on the path to achieve the goal of becoming an advanced economy by 2047.
He added the $5 trillion milestone will be crossed with the help of a strong
rupee which will result from macroeconomic stability. Some support will come as
Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman said the GST collection has been showing an
upward trend on an annual basis since its rollout on July 1, 2017, and the
average gross monthly mop-up in the current fiscal so far is Rs 1.66 lakh
crore. She said the GST collection crossed Rs 1.50 lakh crore mark in every
month of the current fiscal and had touched a record high of Rs 1.87 lakh crore
in April 2023. However, there may be some cautiousness as a report by State
Bank of India (SBI) noted that the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is unlikely to
cut the benchmark repo rate which is at 6.5 per cent now before Q2FY25 under
any circumstances. It added the central bank will maintain status quo in the
upcoming monetary policy, which will be announced on December 8. Traders may
take note of a private report that bank loans to non-banking finance companies
(NBFCs) increased 22.1 per cent year-on-year in October, and their exposure to
the sector was Rs 14.8 trillion in October 2023. Real estate industry stocks
will be in focus with a private report that real estate pre-sales in India are
estimated to grow by 30 per cent year-on-year (Y-o-Y) in 2023-24 (FY24), driven
by sustenance sales as launches were subdued for most companies. There will be
some reaction in metal stocks as Icra stated that the primary steel industry is
likely to experience a challenging environment during the second half of FY24
amid increased input cost and weakening steel prices. It noted that the overall
industry's operating profit margins in H2 FY2024 are expected to be lower
compared to H1 FY2024, largely driven by weaker profitability from the blast
furnace operators.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
20,686.80
|
20,562.15
|
20,757.05
|
BSE
Sensex
|
68,865.12
|
68,453.66
|
69,097.41
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Tata
Steel
|
412.31
|
131.00
|
130.15
|
132.10
|
ICICI
Bank
|
331.31
|
991.00
|
969.99
|
1003.44
|
ONGC
|
286.15
|
202.45
|
197.04
|
206.89
|
Power
Grid
|
279.14
|
213.00
|
211.76
|
214.16
|
State
Bank of India
|
260.78
|
595.90
|
588.30
|
599.75
|
- Tata Steel has completed the
merger of S & T Mining Company with itself.
- ICICI Bank has integrated its
RuPay Credit Cards with UPI transactions, enhancing the payment convenience for
its customers.
- Adani Ports and Special Economic
Zone has recorded strong cargo volumes of around 36 MMT, a robust 42%
year-on-year increase in November 2023.
- HG Infra Engineering has received
the LoA from NTPC for the project of Rate contract for transportation of Pond
Ash from NTPC Ramagundam to NHAI road construction projects.