Indian equity benchmarks
continued their downward trend for the third consecutive session on Thursday in
tandem with a bearish trend in global markets. Markets made a negative start
and continued to drift lower throughout the day as traders got anxious with
exchange data showing that foreign institutional investors (FIIs) offloaded
equities worth Rs 1,877.84 crore on Wednesday. Sentiments remained down-beat
even as data released by S&P Global showed that India's services activity
spiked sharply to 62.3 in July from a Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) of 58.5
in June. At 62.3, the July services PMI is the highest print in over 13 years.
The last time it was higher was in June 2010. It has also stayed above the key
level of 50 that separates expansion in activity from a contraction for 24
months in a row. Markets extended fall in afternoon deals, amid a private
report stating that with inflation inching up, the Reserve Bank of India is
likely to maintain the status quo on key interest rates. The six-member
Monetary Policy Committee, headed by RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das, will hold
the meeting from August 8 to 10. However, key indices managed to cut some
losses in final hour of trade, taking support from private report that upgraded
India's status to overweight as it believes that the country's reform and
macro-stability agenda supports a strong capex and profit outlook. An
overweight rating means that it expects India's economy to perform better in
the future. The upgrade in the backdrop of US losing AAA status and economic
slowdown in China. Meanwhile, the Goods and Services Tax (GST) Council has
decided to implement a 28 per cent tax on electronic gaming, casinos, and horse
racing, but this would be applied on the initial amount paid upon entry, and
not on the total value of each bet placed. The proposed amendments are likely
to be introduced from October 1, with a comprehensive review to be conducted
six months after implementation. Finally, the BSE Sensex fell 542.10 points or
0.82% to 65,240.68 and the CNX Nifty was down by 144.90 points or 0.74% to
19,381.65.
The US markets ended lower on
Thursday. The weakness on markets partly reflected continued concerns about
U.S. debt after credit rating agency Fitch Ratings unexpectedly downgraded the
United States' credit rating on Tuesday. Cautiousness prevailed in the markets
as a report released by the Labor Department showed a modest increase in
first-time claims for U.S. unemployment benefits in the week ended July 29th.
The Labor Department said initial jobless claims crept up to 227,000, an
increase of 6,000 from the previous week's unrevised level of 221,000. The
uptick in jobless claims matched street estimates. Meanwhile, the report said
the less volatile four-week moving average edged down to 228,250, a decrease of
5,500 from the previous week's unrevised average of 233,750. Besides, the
Institute for Supply Management released a report showing a modest slowdown in
the pace of growth in U.S. service sector activity in the month of July. The
ISM said its services PMI slipped to 52.7 in July from 53.9 in June, although a
reading above 50 still indicates growth. Street had expected the index to edge
down to 53.0. The modest decrease by the headline index partly reflected a
slowdown in the pace of growth in business activity, with the business activity
index falling to 57.1 in July from 59.2 in June. On the sectoral front, Despite
the lackluster performance by the broader markets, airline stocks showed a
substantial move to the downside, dragging the NYSE Arca Airline Index down by
3.2 percent to its lowest closing level in almost two months.
Crude oil futures ended higher on
Thursday after Saudi Arabia announced that it would extend its production cut
to next month. The move by Saudi Arabia to extend its voluntary oil output cut
of 1 million barrels per day for a third month triggered hectic short-covering
in the futures contract, and helped the commodity regain the ground it had lost
in the previous session. oil prices were also supported by comments from
Russia's Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak that Russia would cut oil
exports by 300,000 bpd in September. Benchmark crude oil futures for September
delivery rose $2.06 or about 2.6 percent to settle at $81.66 a barrel on the
New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude for October delivery surged $1.94 or
2.33 percent to settle at $85.14 a barrel on London's Intercontinental
Exchange.
Rupee settled lower against
dollar on Thursday amid weak domestic equities and a stronger greenback in the
overseas market. Sustained foreign fund outflows and firm crude oil prices
further dented sentiments. Traders were cautious amid a private report stating
that with inflation inching up, the Reserve Bank of India is likely to maintain
the status quo on key interest rates. The six-member Monetary Policy Committee,
headed by RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das, will hold the meeting from August 8 to
10. Investors ignored report stating that India's services sector expanded at
its fastest pace in over 13 years in the month of July, aided by substantial
improvement in international demand. As per the survey report, the seasonally
adjusted S&P Global India Services PMI Business Activity Index jumped at
62.3 in July from 58.5 in June. On the global front, the dollar scaled a
four-week peak against major peers on Thursday after upbeat labour market data
a day earlier, while sterling edged lower ahead of an expected rate hike from
the Bank of England. Finally, the rupee ended at 82.74 (Provisional), weaker by
7 paise from its previous close of 82.67 on Wednesday.
The FIIs as per Thursday's data
were net sellers in equity segment, while they were net buyers in debt segment.
In equity segment, the gross buying was of Rs 8521.59 crore against gross
selling of Rs 10023.43 crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was
of Rs 284.95 crore with gross sales of Rs 269.95 crore. Besides, in the hybrid
segment, the gross buying was of Rs 676.42 crore against gross selling of Rs
12.08 crore.
The US markets ended lower on
Thursday after a surge in Treasury yields and mixed economic readings. Asian
markets are trading mixed on Friday as rising bond yields continue to put
pressure on equities. Indian markets ended lower on Thursday amid a broad risk
aversion in global financial markets. Today, start of the session is likely to
be optimistic. Sentiments will get a boost with the finance ministry in a
report stated that growth momentum gathered in the January-March quarter will
be sustained in the April-June quarter of the current financial year amid the strengthening
of the current account balance. Some support will come as an S&P Global
report said India can become a $6.7 trillion economy by 2031, from $3.4
trillion currently, if the country clocks an average growth of 6.7 per cent for
7 years. It said but a global slowdown and lagged effect of a policy rate hike
by RBI could slow down growth to 6 per cent in the current fiscal. Traders may
take note of Chief Economic Advisor V Anantha Nageswaran said India needs to
focus on the manufacturing sector to achieve sustained growth of 7-7.5 per cent
until 2030. Besides, the Employees' Provident Fund Organisation received a
total contribution of Rs 64885.60 crore during 2022-23, the highest ever under
its Employees' Pension Scheme. However, upside may remain capped amid as a
cautious undertone may prevail ahead of the U.S. jobs report due later in the
day that could offer more clues on the Federal Reserve's rate-hike path.
Foreign fund outflows likely to dent domestic sentiments. Provisional data from
the National Stock Exchange (NSE) showed that foreign institutional investors
(FII) offloaded shares worth Rs 317.46 crore on August 3. Meanwhile, India
Inc's April-June quarter (Q1FY24) results for fiscal year 2023-24 will be
tracked by investors. Companies such as SBI, M&M, Britannia, Fortis
Healthcare, Delhivery and BHEL, are some of the notable names to report Q1
results on Friday, August 4.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
19,381.65
|
19,272.85
|
19,514.05
|
BSE
Sensex
|
65,240.68
|
64,862.24
|
65,719.98
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Tata Steel
|
346.24
|
118.60
|
117.51
|
119.66
|
ICICI Bank
|
309.95
|
966.50
|
956.70
|
979.65
|
NTPC
|
298.68
|
219.90
|
217.36
|
223.01
|
HDFC Bank
|
288.37
|
1632.60
|
1619.95
|
1648.30
|
State Bank of India
|
277.75
|
591.25
|
583.89
|
599.74
|
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