Indian equity benchmarks started
the year 2022 on a firm note and gained over one and half percent on Monday.
After a strong uptick, the benchmarks moved from strength to strength, on the
back of healthy buying in the banking and financial pack even as investors
remained cautious over the spike in Omicron cases. Sentiments got a boost as
the Finance Ministry said GST revenue collected in December 2021 was over Rs
1.29 lakh crore, 13 per cent higher than the same month last year. The gross
GST revenue collected in the month of December 2021 is Rs 1,29,780 crore, of
which CGST is Rs 22,578 crore, SGST is Rs 28,658 crore, IGST is Rs 69,155 crore
and cess is Rs 9,389 crore. Sentiments also remained up-beat with private
report that India is likely to have one of the highest rates of growth in the
world as there are gradual moves towards normalization, even as stimulus and
support for vulnerable sectors continue. It further said sticking to the
announced consolidation path by the government in the upcoming budget will give
a good signal of control and predictability. Frontline equity indices extended
gains in second half of trading session, taking support from Crisil Ratings'
report that Non-banking financial companies (NBFCs) showed resilience in 2021
despite the coronavirus pandemic woes and are expected to witness continued
momentum in growth in 2022. Traders remained optimistic after data showing that
growth of eight core infrastructure industries grew 3.1 percent in November
2021 as against 1.1 percent contraction in same month last year. In October
2021, these core sectors' output had grown by 8.4 percent. However, traders
overlooked report that India's manufacturing activity lost some momentum in
December easing to a three month low after hitting a 10 month high in November,
amid fears that the rapidly spreading third wave of the Coronavirus (Covid-19)
pandemic may hit consumer sentiment and output. As per the survey report, the
Nikkei India Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) - a composite
single-figure indicator of manufacturing performance - eased to 55.5 in
December from November's ten-month high of 57.6. Finally, the BSE Sensex rose
929.40 points or 1.60% to 59,183.22 and the CNX Nifty was up by 271.65 points
or 1.57% to 17,625.70.
The US markets ended higher on
Monday on optimism the economy will stay on the recovery track despite the
surge in coronavirus cases in several parts of the globe. Among the significant
contributors to the market's surge were Apple Inc and Tesla Inc. (TSLA). Apple
Inc shares gained more than 2.5 percent, hitting an all-time high. It became
the first company to hit $3 trillion market capitalization. Shares of Tesla Inc
climbed 13.5 percent thanks to the company's quarterly deliveries beating
estimates. Tesla announced it delivered 308,600 vehicles in Q4, beating
estimates of 263,026. Meanwhile, Bank stocks moved higher as Treasury yields
advanced. Shares from, automobile, aviation and energy sectors also posted
impressive gains. Wells Fargo surged up 5.8 percent thanks to a rating upgrade
of the stock by Barclays. Goldman Sachs, Intel, Boeing, American Express, Visa
and JP Morgan Chase climbed 2 to 3.5 percent. Walgreens Boots Alliance, IBM,
Chevron and Walt Disney also closed with strong gains. On the economic data
front, a report from the Commerce Department showed US construction spending
increased 0.4 percent in November amid strong gains in single-family
homebuilding. However, outlays on public projects were weak. Street had
expected construction spending to climb 0.6 percent. Construction spending
increased 9.3% on a year-on-year basis in November. Spending on private
construction projects rose 0.6 percent in November. Outlays on residential
construction surged 0.9 percent.
Crude oil futures ended higher on
Monday amid hopes the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its
allies (OPEC+) will stick to their plan to raise monthly crude production by
the previously decided 400,000 barrels per day. OPEC+ is scheduled to meet on
Tuesday to determine production levels for February. Further, oil's uptick was
also due to reports that Libya, one of OPEC's more important oil drillers, will
likely lose about 200,000 barrels daily in output over the next week because of
a damaged pipeline. Benchmark crude oil futures for February delivery gained
$0.87 or 1.2 percent to settle at $76.08 a barrel on the New York Mercantile
Exchange. Brent crude for March delivery rose $1.20 or 1.50 percent to settle
at $78.98 a barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian rupee ended marginally
higher against dollar on Monday, on persistent selling of the American currency
by exporters. Traders remained positive as data showing that growth of eight
core infrastructure industries grew 3.1 percent in November 2021 as against 1.1
percent contraction in same month last year. However, upside remain capped as
India's manufacturing activity lost some momentum in December easing to a three
month low after hitting a 10 month high in November, amid fears that the
rapidly spreading third wave of the Coronavirus (Covid-19) pandemic may hit
consumer sentiment and output. As per the survey report, the Nikkei India
Manufacturing PMI eased to 55.5 in December from November's ten-month high of
57.6. On the global front, dollar ticked up against its major rivals as an
upbeat market mood on Monday lifted European equities and government bond
yields for the first day of trading of 2022. Finally, the rupee ended 74.28
(Provisional), stronger by 1 paise from its previous close of 74.29 on Friday.
The FIIs as per Monday's data
were net buyers in both equity and debt segments. In equity segment, the gross
buying was of Rs 4076.81 crore against gross selling of Rs 3442.42 crore, while
in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 234.63 crore with gross sales
of Rs 205.38 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross buying was of Rs
1.12 crore against gross selling of Rs 4.65 crore.
The US markets ended higher on
Monday with Apple becoming the first company to hit the $ 3 trillion market
capitalization mark. Asian markets are trading mostly in green on Tuesday
following overnight gains on Wall Street. Indian markets surged 1.6 percent
each on Monday led by broad-based gains except healthcare shares, which
succumbed to selling pressure. Today, the markets are likely to make
flat-to-positive start following gains in global markets. Traders will be
taking encouragement as the country's Trade Minister Piyush Goyal said India
expects to achieve its export target of $400 billion in the current fiscal year
that runs through March. He added India's exports in the April-December period
came to about $300 billion. December, 2021 also saw the highest ever level of
monthly outbound trade at $37 billion. Traders may take note of report that
India has sought an emergency meeting of the General Council of the World Trade
Organization (WTO) this month in Geneva to deliberate upon the world trade
body's proposed response package, including patent waiver proposal, to deal
with the pandemic amid rising coronavirus infections globally. Though, there
may be some cautiousness as data from the Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy
(CMIE) showed unemployment rate in the country touched a four-month high of
7.91 per cent in December 2021. It added the unemployment rate had stood at 7
per cent in November, the highest since August which was at 8.3 per cent.
Meanwhile, to push digital transactions in rural and semi-urban areas, the
Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has issued a framework allowing offline payments up
to Rs 200 per transaction, subject to an overall limit of Rs 2,000. There will
be some buzz in the insurance industry stocks as Regulator Irdai came out with
guidelines to ensure orderly development of the surety insurance business and
surety bonds market. Sugar industry stocks will be in focus as industry body
ISMA said Indian sugar mills are still waiting for global sugar prices to rise
to enter into further export deals. It added owing to fall in global prices of
raw sugar, not many export contracts happened in the last one month or so,
beyond the 38-40 lakh tonne of export contracts which have already been signed.
Also, sugar cooperatives body NFCSFL said the country's sugar production is
estimated to have risen by 4.75 per cent to 115.70 lakh tonne during the
October-December period of the 2021-22 season. There will be some reaction in
select banking stocks as an assessment by rating agency ICRA suggested that the
gross non-performing assets (GNPAs) of small finance banks (SFBs) is expected
to go up by 70-80 basis points (bps) by the end of the current financial year
(FY22) compared to FY21 levels.
Support and Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE
(Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE Nifty
|
17,625.70
|
17,457.11
|
17,720.46
|
BSE Sensex
|
59,183.22
|
58,570.99
|
59,530.93
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Tata
Motors
|
327.48
|
496.80
|
492.25
|
501.10
|
Coal
India
|
294.86
|
155.35
|
149.59
|
158.54
|
State
Bank of India
|
131.24
|
471.50
|
463.74
|
475.64
|
ICICI
Bank
|
96.53
|
765.50
|
750.34
|
773.34
|
NTPC
|
90.34
|
126.25
|
125.11
|
126.96
|
Coal India's coal production has increased by 3.3% to 60.2 million tonnes in December, 2021 as against 58.3 MT in December 2020.
Tata Motors has reported 24 percent rise in total sales to 66,307 units in December 2021 as compared to 53,430 units the same month last year.
NTPC is planning to acquire 5 per cent equity stake in Power Exchange of India (PXIL) that provides various electricity trading options.
Hero MotoCorp has reported highest-ever sales in global markets outside of India in any calendar year.