Indian equity benchmarks ended
lower on Thursday with Sensex and Nifty settling below 58,800 and 17,550 mark
respectively, mainly dragged by telecom, realty and industrials stocks amid
weak global cues. Markets made gap-down opening and traded under pressure
throughout the day, as India's gross domestic product (GDP) rose 13.5%
year-on-year (y-o-y) in the April-June period. Though, it is the fastest annual
expansion in a year, it was lower than the predictions made by the Reserve Bank
of India (RBI; 16.2 per cent) and other market participants. Traders were
concerned as the data of the Department for Promotion of Industry and Internal
Trade (DPIIT) showed that Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) equity inflows into
India contracted by 6% to $16.59 billion during the April-June quarter this
fiscal. However, markets recovered much of their initial losses in morning
deals, taking support from Finance Secretary T V Somanathan's statement that
the government is confident that India's real gross domestic product (GDP)
growth will exceed 7 per cent in 2022-23 (FY23). This will make it the world's
fastest-growing major economy. But, key gauges failed to hold recovery and fell
sharply in late afternoon deals, as some pessimism remained among traders as
report stated that India's manufacturing activity improved again in August,
although S&P Global's Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) edged down to 56.2
from the eight-month high of 56.4 recorded in July. Market participants remained cautious as Moody's Investors
Service has lowered its gross domestic product (GDP) growth forecast for India
to 7.7 percent for the calendar year 2022 (CY22). The global credit rating
agency also lowered India's GDP forecast for CY23 to 5.2 percent from 5.4
percent. Adding more worries, the output of eight core infrastructure sectors contracted
to six-month low of 4.5 per cent in July 2022 against 9.9 per cent in the
year-ago period. The production growth of eight infrastructure sectors was 13.2
per cent in June 2022. Finally, the BSE Sensex fell 770.48 points or 1.29% to
58,766.59 and the CNX Nifty was down by 216.50 points or 1.22% to 17,542.80.
The US markets ended mostly higher
on Thursday as traders picked up stocks at reduced levels. Some support came in
as the Labor Department released a report unexpectedly showing a modest
decrease in first-time claims for US unemployment benefits in the week ended
August 27th. The report showed initial jobless claims edged down to 232,000, a
decrease of 5,000 from the previous week's revised level of 237,000. The dip
came as a surprise to participants, who had expected jobless claims to inch up
to 248,000 from the 243,000 originally reported for the previous week. However,
upside remained capped on lingering concerns about higher interest rates and
the impact on the global economy, which have weighed on the markets for the
past several sessions. Weakness also prevailed in the markets as the Commerce
Department released a report showing US construction spending fell by more than
expected in the month of July. The report showed construction spending dropped
0.4 percent to an annual rate of $1.777 trillion in July after falling by 0.5
percent to a revised rate of $1.784 trillion in June. Street had expected
construction spending to edge down by 0.1 percent compared to the 1.1 percent
slump originally reported for the previous month. On the sectoral front,
Considerable strength emerged among healthcare and pharmaceutical stocks, with
the Dow Jones US Health Care Index and the NYSE Arca Pharmaceutical Index both
climbing by 1.5 percent. Utilities and retail stocks also moved notably higher
as the day progressed, contributing to the recovery by the broader markets.
Crude oil futures ended lower on
Thursday, magnifying their previous session's losses, on rising concerns about
the outlook for energy demand due to worries about a recession and on reports
showing a surge in Covid-19 cases in China. Further, oil prices dropped on
worries that aggressive rate hikes by major central banks may lead to a global
economic slowdown and dent fuel demand. Besides, the dollar's sharp uptick on
rate hike concerns also hurt oil prices. The dollar index rose to a fresh
20-year high at $109.98 before paring some gains. Benchmark crude oil futures
for October delivery fell $2.94 or about 3.3 percent to settle at $86.61 a
barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude for November delivery
dropped $2.78 or 2.92 percent to settle at $92.36 a barrel on London's
Intercontinental Exchange.
Erasing initial gains, rupee
ended weaker against dollar on Thursday due to lower-than-expected gross
domestic product (GDP) data. Among macro-economic data, India's gross domestic
product (GDP) rose 13.5% year-on-year (y-o-y) in the April-June period. Though,
it is the fastest annual expansion in a year, it was lower than the predictions
made by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI; 16.2 per cent) and other market
participants. Traders were also worried as S&P Global's Purchasing
Managers' Index (PMI) edged down to 56.2 from the eight-month high of 56.4
recorded in July. Adding more worries, the output of eight core infrastructure
sectors contracted to six-month low of 4.5 per cent in July 2022 against 9.9
per cent in the year-ago period. On the global front, sterling fell against the
dollar on Thursday, adding to August losses that were its worst since late
2016, as storm clouds gather over the British economy. Finally, the rupee ended
at 79.56 (Provisional), weaker by 4 paisa from its previous close of 79.52 on
Tuesday.
The FIIs as per Thursday's data
were net buyers in equity segment, while net sellers in debt segment. In equity
segment, the gross buying was of Rs 16124.60 crore against gross selling of Rs 11864.93
crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 647.93 crore against
gross selling of Rs 656.91 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross
buying was of Rs 8.57 crore against gross selling of Rs 14.94 crore.
The US markets ended mostly in
green on Thursday with investor focus turning to a key report on the labor
market on Friday. Asian markets are trading mixed on Friday amid new China
lockdowns. Indian markets fell on Thursday on weaker-than-expected domestic
Q1FY23 GDP data along with marginal downtick in Manufacturing PMI for August,
worried market participants. Today, markets are likely to get flat-to-positive
start amid mixed cues from Asian peers. Some optimism will come as Nitin Gupta,
chairman of the Central Board of Direct Taxes (CBDT) said the Centre's direct
tax collection as on August 30 stood at Rs 4.8 trillion, which is 33 per cent
more than the Rs 3.6 trillion collected in the same period last year. Gupta
said if the trend continued, direct tax collection for FY23 could exceed the
Budget target of Rs 14.20 trillion. Some support will come as Reserve Bank data
showed that India's services exports increased by 20.2 per cent year-on-year to
$23.26 billion in July. Besides, India collected Rs 1.44 lakh crore in Goods
and Services Tax (GST) in August, registering an increase of 28 percent from
the mop-up a year back, the finance ministry said on September 1. However, when
compared to the money collected in July, the August GST mop-up was 4 percent
lower. There may be some cautiousness as chief economist at State Bank of India
revised downward the full-year growth forecast to a low 6.8 per cent from 7.5
per cent earlier for FY2023, citing the way below GDP numbers for the first
quarter. Traders may be concerned as the Consumer Pyramid Household Survey of
the Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy showed that the employment rate among
Indian youth (15-24 years) stood at 10.4% in 2021-22 compared to 10.9% in
2020-21. This is much lower when compared to the World Bank estimates of 23.2%
for 2020. Meanwhile, foreign institutional investors (FIIs) have net sold
shares worth Rs 2,290.31 crore on September 1, as per provisional data
available on the NSE. Power stocks will be in focus as the power ministry data
showed that India's power consumption grew marginally by nearly 2 per cent
year-on-year to 130.35 billion units (BU) in August 2022. Power consumption in
August last year was recorded at 127.88 BU, higher than 109.21 BU in the same
month of 2020. There will be some reaction in EV manufacturing companies stocks
credit rating agency, Icra said investments in cell manufacturing are expected
to exceed $9 billion by 2030 given the incremental demand from various
applications and future growth prospects expected post 2030. There will be some
buzz in sugar industry stocks with a private report that India is set to allow
sugar exports in two tranches for the next season beginning in October, as the
world's biggest producer of the sweetener tries to balance the interests of its
farmers and consumers. Auto stocks will be in limelight with a private report
that India's auto sector demonstrated healthy growth rising to record levels in
August year-on-year as shortage of semiconductors eased further helping
companies to step up production ahead of the crucial festive season that kicked
in with Ganesh Chaturthi on August 31.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
17,542.80
|
17,442.30
|
17,669.45
|
BSE
Sensex
|
58,766.59
|
58,422.85
|
59,210.07
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Tata Steel
|
524.54
|
106.60
|
105.75
|
107.60
|
Oil & Natural Gas Corporation
|
203.49
|
134.90
|
133.95
|
136.05
|
State Bank of India
|
166.70
|
534.25
|
524.04
|
542.69
|
ICICI Bank
|
158.77
|
875.45
|
863.74
|
886.44
|
NTPC
|
145.54
|
160.80
|
159.31
|
163.26
|
Reliance Industries has acquired the home-grown soft drink brand Campa from Delhi-based Pure Drinks Group. The deal is estimated to be around Rs 22 crore.
Power Grid Corporation of India has been declared as the successful bidder for System Strengthening Scheme for Eastern and North Eastern Regions on BOOT basis.
Cipla's wholly owned subsidiary in UK -- Cipla (EU) is all set to acquire an additional 13.10% stake in Cipla (Jiangsu) Pharmaceutical, a subsidiary of Cipla EU in China.
State Bank of India is planning to sell non-performing loan account of Anamika Conductors through e-bidding in late September to recover dues of Rs 102 crore.