Indian equity
benchmarks continued to rise for a fourth straight session on Monday, led by
strength in power, utilities, auto and telecom stocks. Domestic indices made
positive start and stayed in green for whole day, amid strong inflows from
foreign investors. After nine consecutive months of relentless selling, foreign
investors have turned net buyers and invested nearly Rs 5,000 crore in Indian
equities in July on softening dollar index and good corporate earnings. Traders
also found some encouragement as retail inflation for industrial workers eased
to 6.16 per cent in June from 6.97 per cent in May this year due to lower
prices of certain food items and petrol. Some optimism also came with the
government data showed that the output of eight core infrastructure sectors
expanded by 12.7 per cent in June against 9.4 per cent in the year-ago period.
Key gauges added gains to trade at day's high points in late afternoon session,
as India's manufacturing sector activity gained momentum in July, hitting an
eight-month high driven by a significant uptick in business orders. The
seasonally adjusted S&P Global India Manufacturing Purchasing Managers
Index rose from 53.9 in June, to 56.4 in July, highlighting the strongest improvement
in the health of the sector in eight months. Sentiments remained upbeat after
finance ministry said that India collected Rs 1.49 lakh crore as Goods and
Services Tax (GST) in July, posting an increase of 28 percent from the same
month last year. Compared to the money collected in June, the July GST mop-up
was 3 percent higher. Meanwhile, the Controller General of Accounts (CGA) in
its latest data has showed that the central government's fiscal deficit touched
21.2 per cent of the annual target in the June quarter as against 18.2 per cent
in the year-ago period. Finally, the BSE Sensex rose 545.25 points or 0.95% to
58,115.50 and the CNX Nifty was up by 181.80 points or 1.06% to 17,340.05.
The US markets settled lower
after a choppy session on Monday. The mood in the market was quite cautious due
to worries about a possible recession after data showed weakening factory
activity in Asia and Europe. Data showing manufacturing activity in the US rose
at the weakest rate in nearly two years hurt as well. The S&P Global US
Manufacturing PMI was revised slightly lower to 52.2 in July of 2022 from a
preliminary of 52.3, pointing to the lowest factory growth since July of 2020.
The Institute for Supply Management said the ISM Manufacturing PMI edged lower
to 52.8 in July of 2022 from 53 in June, beating market forecasts for a reading
of 52. The reading pointed to a 26th straight month of rising factory activity
but the weakest rate since June of 2020. Data from the Commerce Department showed
construction spending in the US fell by 1.1 percent from the previous month to
a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1.76 trillion in June, compared to the
revised 0.1 percent increase in May and market expectations of a 0.1 percent
rise. On the sectoral front, shares of energy firms drifted down after oil
prices tumbled amid concerns about outlook for energy demand due to global
economic slowdown. Bank stocks were weak as well. However, fairly encouraging
corporate earnings updates helped limit market's downside. Stock specific
development, Boeing shares climbed more than 6 percent on reports that the
Federal Aviation Administration had approved the jet maker to restart deliveries
of its 787 Dreamliner.
Crude oil futures ended deeply in
red on Monday on concerns about outlook for energy demand after weak
manufacturing data from China and Europe. China's National Bureau of Statistics
said that the nation's factory activity contracted in July. The data said the
country's manufacturing PMI fell to 49 in the month from 50.2 a month earlier,
due to fresh Covid-19 outbreaks. Also, traders appeared reluctant to create
fresh long positions in the commodity ahead of this week's OPEC+ meeting, in
which the group is set to consider keeping output unchanged for September.
Benchmark crude oil futures for September delivery fell $4.73 or 4.8 percent to
settle at $93.89 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude for
October delivery dropped $3.94 or 3.8 percent to settle at $100.03 a barrel on
London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Rising for third straight
session, Indian rupee strengthened substantially against dollar on Monday,
owing to dollar sale by exporters and banks. Sentiments were upbeat as Indian
manufacturing activity surged to eight-month high in the month of July, with
marked gains in growth of new business and output. According to the report, the
seasonally adjusted S&P Global India Manufacturing Purchasing Managers
Index (PMI) rose to 56.4 in July from 53.9 in June. The upturn was broad-based
by sub-sector, and led by investment goods. Traders also remain energized as
output of eight core infrastructure sectors expanded by 12.7 per cent in June
2022 as against 9.4 per cent in the year-ago period, with all sectors except
crude oil registering an uptick in production. On the global front, dollar
declined to its lowest level in more than six weeks against the Japanese yen on
Monday as investors ramped up bets that aggressive Federal Reserve monetary
policy would tip the economy into a recession. Finally, the rupee ended at
79.08 (provisional), stronger by 16 paisa from its previous close of 79.24 on
Friday.
The FIIs as per Monday's data
were net buyers in equity, while net sellers in debt segment. In equity
segment, the gross buying was of Rs 8787.99 crore against gross selling of Rs
7317.82 crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 446.62
crore against gross selling of Rs 894.11 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment,
the gross buying was of Rs 4.86 crore against gross selling of Rs 12.84 crore.
The US markets ended lower on
Monday in a choppy first session of August trading as Wall Street struggled to
sustain July's momentum. Asian markets are mostly trading in red in early deals
on Tuesday following the negative cues from global markets overnight, with
weakness in technology, financial and energy-linked shares. Indian equity
markets ended higher on Monday, mirroring positive global cues. Today, markets
are likely to make negative start amid weak cues from global markets after weak
manufacturing data from China and Europe.
There may be cautiousness in the markets as private report stated that
the Reserve Bank of India will deliver two more rate increases with the first of
25-30 bps later this week, and then pause for data-prints on domestic inflation
and the US economy. The US economy is widely feared to be headed towards a
recession this year having already contracted by 0.9 per cent in the June
quarter and 1.6 per cent in the previous. If an economy contracts for three
consecutive quarters, then it is considered that economy is in recession.
However, some respite may come later in the day as finance minister Nirmala
Sitharaman said India's macroeconomic fundamentals are intact and there is no
risk of the economy entering into recession or stagflation. She said the
government is trying to keep inflation below 7%. There may be some action in
cement industry stocks as rating agency Icra said that cement companies are
expected to register a 7-8 per cent rise in their volumes in FY23 on strong
demand, but operating profit margin may decline due to elevated input costs. It
said the operating margins will be the lowest in the last seven years for the
cement industry. In FY23, the volume for the cement industry is expected to
grow by 7-8 per cent to around 388 million metric tonne. There will be some
buzz in telecom industry stocks as Communications Minister Ashwini Vaishnaw
said India's telecom industry is likely to see an investment of Rs 2-3 trillion
in the next two years as reforms by the government have removed uncertainty and
risks, and provided a stable investment regime.
Buoyed by record bids in the auction of 5G spectrum, Vaishnaw said he
expects investments to be infused into both fourth and fifth generation
technologies, for providing better voice quality and high-speed data.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
17,340.05
|
17,211.15
|
17,412.60
|
BSE
Sensex
|
58,115.50
|
57,713.69
|
58,344.00
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Tata Steel
|
1,253.65
|
108.25
|
105.79
|
111.09
|
Tata Motors
|
430.84
|
480.05
|
460.40
|
490.35
|
Oil and Natural Gas Corporation
|
205.92
|
138.20
|
134.60
|
140.40
|
ITC
|
158.89
|
307.80
|
304.34
|
310.04
|
Hindalco Industries
|
155.35
|
423.50
|
418.90
|
428.05
|
UPL has reported 34.18% rise in its consolidated net profit at Rs 1,005 crore for Q1FY23 as compared to Rs 749 crore for the same quarter in the previous year.
Coal India's coal production has increased by 11.1% to 47.3 million tonnes (MT) in July 2022 as against 42.6 MT in July 2021.
Infosys has opened its Sydney Living Lab, a high-tech co-creation space for digital innovation, part of a network of over 20 established globally, including Melbourne.
Dr. Reddy's Laboratories has received approval for proposal of sale of its investment in the Wholly-owned Subsidiary -- Imperial Credit, subject to applicable regulatory approvals.