Indian equity
benchmarks gave a thumbs up to the Union Budget on Tuesday, ending the session
on a positive note for the second straight session. Markets made gap-up
opening, as traders took encouragement with newly appointed Chief Economic
Advisor (CEA) V Anantha Nageswaran's statement that abatement of the COVID-19
pandemic would kick in virtuous cycle investment leading to job creation. He
also said the government has taken various steps to support lower income
categories. Markets gained traction in late morning session after Finance
Minister Nirmala Sitharaman unveiled a Budget that aims to boost growth amid
continued disruption from Covid-19 and rising inflation. Sitharaman unveiled a
bigger Rs 39.45 lakh crore Budget, with higher spending on highways to
affordable housing with a view to fire up the key engines of the economy to
sustain a world-beating recovery from the pandemic. Her Budget for the fiscal
year beginning April 2022 proposed a massive 35 per cent jump in capital
expenditure to Rs 7.5 lakh crore, coupled with the rationalisation of customs
duty, an extension of time for setting up new manufacturing companies and plans
for starting a digital currency and tax crypto assets. However, markets
witnessed a fair bit of volatility post the Budget speech. Traders turned
cautious after Indian manufacturing activity fell in the month of January, but
stayed above the 50 mark that separates growth from contraction. As per the
survey report, the Nikkei India Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI)
- a composite single-figure indicator of manufacturing performance - eased to
54.0 in January from 55.5 in December.
Some concern also came with the data released by the Controller General
of Accounts showed that the Centre's fiscal deficit rose to 50.4 percent of the
FY22 target in April-December 2021, with a huge increase seen in tax
collections as well as capital expenditure for the month of December 2021.
However, markets rebounded sharply to end higher, taking support from data
showing that GST collection in January crossed Rs 1.38 lakh crore in January, a
growth of 15 per cent over the year-ago period.
Some support also came with data showing that the growth of eight core
infrastructure industries grew 3.8 percent in December 2021 as against 0.4
percent contraction in same month last year, on better show by coal, cement and
refinery products. Finally, the BSE Sensex rose 848.40 points or 1.46% to
58,862.57 and the CNX Nifty was up by 237.00 points or 1.37% to 17,576.85.
The US markets ended higher for
third straight day on Tuesday as traders continued to pick up stocks at
relatively reduced levels following a disappointing January. January's sell-off
came as the Fed signaled its readiness to tighten monetary policy. Those moves
include raising interest rates multiple times this year, to tame inflation that
has shot up to the highest level in nearly four decades, and reducing its
balance sheet. A positive reaction to the latest earnings news also contributed
to the continued advance, with shares of UPS (UPS) soaring after the delivery
giant reported better than expected fourth quarter results, provided upbeat
guidance and raised its dividend. Energy giant ExxonMobil (XOM) also showed a
strong move to the upside after reporting fourth quarter earnings that beat
street estimates and announcing a new $10 billion share repurchase program. On
the economic data front, growth in US manufacturing activity continued to slow
in the month of January, the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) revealed in
a report. The ISM said its manufacturing PMI fell to 57.6 in January from a
revised 58.8 in December, although a reading above 50 still indicates growth in
the sector. The index decreased for the third straight month, slipping to its
lowest level in over a year. Street had expected the manufacturing PMI to drop
to 57.5 from the 58.7 originally reported for the previous month. Meanwhile,
the Commerce Department released a report showing US construction spending
increased by less than expected in the month of December. The Commerce
Department said construction spending inched up by 0.2 percent to an annual
rate of $1.640 trillion in December after climbing by 0.6 percent to a revised
rate of $1.637 trillion in November.
Crude oil futures ended
marginally higher on Tuesday with traders largely making cautious moves ahead
of the meeting of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its
allies, collectively known as OPEC+. OPEC+, which is scheduled to meet on
Wednesday, is expected to agree to stick to the plan of increasing production
by 400,000 barrels per day in March. However, there is some speculation that
the group might decide to increase production by more than the 400,000 barrels
per day. Meanwhile, US crude production rose 2% in November to 11.753 million
barrels per day, according to a monthly report from the US Energy Information
Administration. Benchmark crude oil futures for March delivery added $0.05 or
about 0.06 percent to settle at $88.20 a barrel on the New York Mercantile
Exchange. However, Brent crude for April delivery lost $0.10 or 0.11 percent to
settle at $89.16 a barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian rupee ended weaker against
dollar on Tuesday on the back of higher-than-expected borrowing in the next
financial year. Investors were cautious after Finance Minister Nirmala
Sitharaman said that the government will borrow about Rs 11.6 lakh crore from
the market in 2022-23 to meet its expenditure requirement. Further, the govt
said fiscal deficit in 2021-22 will be 6.9 per cent of GDP and 6.4 per cent in
2022-23, and this also weighed on sentiments. Traders were also worried as
Indian manufacturing activity fell in the month of January, but stayed above
the 50 mark that separates growth from contraction. As per the survey report,
the Nikkei India Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) - a composite
single-figure indicator of manufacturing performance - eased to 54.0 in January
from 55.5 in December. On the global front, sterling rose for a third straight
session to a week-high against the dollar on Tuesday as investors speculated
the Bank of England could go beyond announcing another interest rate hike this
week and set the path for further monetary tightening. Finally, the rupee ended
74.82, weaker by 17 paise from its previous close of 74.65 on Monday.
The FIIs as per Tuesday's data
were net sellers in both equity and debt segment. In equity segment, the gross
buying was of Rs 8311.82 crore against gross selling of Rs 10349.00 crore,
while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 206.01 crore against
gross selling of Rs 524.10 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross
buying was of Rs 9.54 crore against gross selling of Rs 20.24 crore.
The US markets ended higher on
Tuesday as Exxon's strong financial results sent the energy index to a
multi-year peak. Japan market is trading in green on Wednesday following
strength in Wall Street indices. Indian markets jumped around 1.5 percent on
February 1 as investors cheered the Finance Minister's Union Budget
announcements. Today, benchmarks are likely to start the session on a positive
note tracking firm global cues. Traders will be getting encouragement as Chief
Economic Adviser V Anantha Nageswaran expressed hope that India would become a
$5 trillion economy by FY26 or the next year on the back of 8-9 per cent
sustained growth. He added gross domestic product (GDP) in dollar terms has
already crossed $3 trillion. Some support will also come as provisional data of
the commerce ministry showed that the country's exports rose by 23.69 per cent
to $34.06 billion in January on healthy performance by engineering, petroleum
and gems and jewellery segments even as trade deficit widened to $17.94 billion
during the month. Traders may take note of report that Commerce and industry
minister Piyush Goyal said his ministry is in talks with the finance ministry
to allow firms in the special economic zones (SEZs) to sell goods in the
domestic market by paying just an equalisation levy. However, some cautiousness
may come as rating agency Moody's said the Union Budget lacks any tangible
measures to increase revenue generation even though the capital expenditure
plans have gone up significantly and the fiscal deficit estimate suggests that
the government is relying too much on strong growth to help drive fiscal
consolidation. Aviation industry stocks will be in focus as Jet fuel price rose
to record levels across the country following a steep 8.5 per cent hike
necessitated due to a spike in international oil prices. There will be some
reaction in power stocks as the power ministry data showed that India's power
consumption grew marginally at 2.6 per cent year-on-year in January to 112.67
billion units (BU), showing the impact of local restrictions imposed by states
amid the third wave of COVID-19. Power consumption in the entire January last
year was 109.76 BU, which was 4.4 per cent higher than 105.15 BU in January
2020.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
17,576.85
|
17,340.14
|
17,717.99
|
BSE
Sensex
|
58,862.57
|
58,056.08
|
59,350.62
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Tata Motors
|
480.30
|
504.50
|
493.41
|
515.16
|
ITC
|
432.07
|
227.90
|
221.76
|
231.41
|
State Bank of India
|
322.45
|
532.60
|
520.41
|
544.36
|
Indian Oil Corporation
|
230.85
|
121.75
|
118.84
|
125.34
|
ICICI Bank
|
200.31
|
811.30
|
796.11
|
819.66
|
IOC has reported 52.63% rise in its consolidated net profit at Rs 6,261.40 crore for Q3FY22 as compared to Rs 4,102.37 crore for Q3FY21.
Reliance Brands, part of India's largest private sector company Reliance Industries, has partnered with Rahul Mishra.
Sun Pharma has reported 11.14% rise in its consolidated net profit at Rs 2058.80 crore for Q3FY22 as compared to Rs 1852.48 crore for Q3FY21.
NTPC's subsidiary -- NTPC Vidyut Vyapar Nigam has acquired a five per cent equity stake in Power Exchange of India.