Indian equity benchmarks
experienced heightened volatility on the last day of the monthly expiry and
ended marginally in green amid buying in Healthcare, Consumer Durables and
Realty counters. Markets made a slightly positive start as traders took some
support with Economic Affairs Secretary Ajay Seth's statement that Indian
economy is showing momentum and the growth rate in the second quarter
(July-September) is likely to be good. The economy grew at 7.8 per cent in the
first quarter (April-June) of the current financial year. Some support came as
provisional data from the National Stock Exchange showed that foreign institutional
investors net bought shares worth Rs 71.91 crore on November 29. However,
markets soon slipped into red terrain and oscillated in a narrow range for most
part of the session as traders remained on sidelines ahead of the Gross
Domestic Product (GDP) data for Q2 to be out later in the day for more cues.
There was some cautiousness in the markets as the exit polls of five state
elections to be out later in the day. But, markets erased all of their initial
losses in final hour of trade and closed with marginal gains as some optimism
remained among traders with National Sample Survey Office (NSSO) stating that
the unemployment rate for people aged 15 years and above in urban areas
declined to 6.6 per cent in the September quarter (Q2FY24) from 7.2 per cent a
year ago. The unemployment rate in the March quarter of the previous fiscal was
6.8 per cent, while it was 6.6 per cent in April-June. The rate was 7.2 per
cent in the third quarter of the previous fiscal. Some comfort also came with a
private report stating that Indian economy is likely to continue its strong
growth in the quarter to end of September, helped by a solid urban consumption
and government spending, outpacing a slowing global economy squeezed by
elevated interest rates and higher energy prices. Finally, the BSE Sensex rose
86.53 points or 0.13% to 66,988.44 and the CNX Nifty was up by 36.55 points or
0.18% to 20,133.15.
The US markets ended mostly
higher on Thursday, with Dow Jones Industrial Average settling gain of around
one and half percent. The surge by the Dow was due in large part to a spike by
shares of Salesforce (CRM), with the cloud software company soaring by 9.4
percent. Salesforce skyrocketed after the company reported better than expected
fiscal third quarter earnings and provided upbeat guidance. However, the
decrease by the Nasdaq came amid a rebound by treasury yields, as the yield on
the benchmark ten-year note bounced off its lowest levels in over two months.
The increase in treasury yields came even though the Commerce Department
released a report showing consumer price growth in the U.S. slowed in line with
economist estimates in the month of October. The report said the annual rate of
consumer price growth decelerated to 3.0 percent in October from 3.4 percent in
September. The slowdown matched expectations. Core consumer price growth also slowed
in line with estimates, slipping to 3.5 percent in October from 3.7 percent in
September. Core consumer prices exclude food and energy prices. The inflation
readings, which are said to be preferred by the Federal Reserve, were included
in the Commerce Department's report on personal income and spending during the
month. On the sectorial front, transportation stocks showed a significant move
to the upside on the day, with the Dow Jones Transportation Average climbing by
1.4 percent. Considerable strength was also visible among healthcare stocks, as
reflected by the 1.2 percent gain posted by the Dow Jones U.S. Health Care
Index.
Crude oil futures ended lower on
Thursday as the Energy Information Administration( EIA) data showed an increase
of 1.61 million barrels in crude oil inventories last week versus expectations
for a drop of 0.93 million barrels. Further, crude oil prices fell as traders
grew more convinced that OPEC+, a group composed of OPEC plus its oil-producing
allies, will not deliver on promised output cuts. OPEC+ released a statement
that did not formally endorse production cuts, but individual countries
announced voluntary reductions totaling 2.2 million barrels per day for the
first quarter of 2024, with Saudi Arabia, the linchpin and largest member,
leading the way. Benchmark crude oil futures for January delivery fell $1.90 or
about 2.4 percent to settle at $75.96 a barrel on the New York Mercantile
Exchange. Brent crude for January delivery lost $0.27 or about 0.17 percent to
settle at $82.83 a barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Rupee snapped a two-day rising
streak on Thursday amid strengthening American currency overseas and rising
crude oil prices. Traders were worried even after Economic Affairs Secretary
Ajay Seth said Indian economy is showing momentum and the growth rate in the
second quarter (July-September) is likely to be good. The economy grew at 7.8
per cent in the first quarter (April-June) of the current financial year. On
the global front, the dollar edged up from a three-month low on Thursday but
was still set to post its steepest monthly decline in a year as investors
ramped up bets that the Federal Reserve was done with rate hikes ahead of a
crucial inflation report later in the day. The euro dropped after
lower-than-forecast French consumer prices data, a day after data showed price
growth in Germany and Spain also slowed, suggesting downside risks to the euro
area figure released later in the day. Finally, the rupee ended at 83.38
(Provisional), weaker by 6 paise from its previous close of 83.32 on Wednesday.
The FIIs as per Thursday's data
were net buyers in both equity and debt segments. In equity segment, the gross
buying was of Rs 16945.48 crore against gross selling of Rs 12632.18 crore,
while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 1647.86 crore with gross
sales of Rs 1343.74 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross buying was
of Rs 4.13 crore against gross selling of Rs 12.29 crore.
The US markets ended mostly
higher on Thursday with Dow Jones Industrial Average settling higher around one
and half percent. Asian markets are trading lower in early deals on Friday even
as Wall Street mostly saw gains and ahead of private factory activity surveys
from across the region. Indian equity markets ended higher on Thursday amid
volatility on the November expiry day. Today, markets are likely to make
positive start on strong GDP data form India. Traders will get support as the
Indian economy grew 7.6 per cent during the July-September quarter of the
current financial year 2023-24, remaining the fastest-growing major economy.
India's GDP growth for the April-June quarter grew 7.8 per cent. Meanwhile,
Chief Economic Advisor V Anantha Nageswaran said that India's economic growth
momentum will continue in the October-December quarter and the economy is
poised to comfortably clock a 6.5 per cent growth rate for the full fiscal
underpinned by investment and consumer momentum. In addition, after GDP data
for the July-September quarter (Q2) were revealed, Prime Minister Narendra Modi
said that the growth numbers display the resilience and strength of the Indian
economy adding that the government is committed to ensuring fast-paced growth.
Further, support will also come as India's core sector output, that measures
production by eight industries, grew 12.1 per cent in October compared to the
same time last year. Besides, traders may also get encouragement as a labour
ministry said retail inflation for industrial workers eased to 4.45 per cent in
October from 4.72 per cent in September mainly due to lower prices of certain
food items. However, there may be some cautiousness in the markets as Reserve Bank
of India data showed that bank credit to industry decelerated to 5.4 per cent
in October compared to 13.5 per cent in the year-ago month.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
20,133.15
|
20,046.44
|
20,189.29
|
BSE
Sensex
|
66,988.44
|
66,709.23
|
67,168.77
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Power
Grid
|
603.54
|
209.50
|
207.56
|
212.11
|
Indusind
Bank
|
455.49
|
1468.00
|
1,445.36
|
1,495.31
|
Tata
Steel
|
401.65
|
127.90
|
126.65
|
129.00
|
HDFC
Bank
|
347.45
|
1,556.60
|
1,541.69
|
1,571.99
|
Axis
Bank
|
247.55
|
1070.70
|
1,057.14
|
1,082.59
|
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