Indian equity benchmarks snapped
a two-day gaining streak to settle lower on Tuesday amid escalating tensions in
the Middle East. Besides, investors were cautious ahead of the US Federal
Reserve's interest rate decision. Markets made a slightly positive start, but
soon slipped into red and ultimately closed the day on a negative note due to
unabated foreign fund outflows. Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs)
offloaded equities worth Rs 1,761.86 crore on Monday, according to exchange
data. Traders took note of a private report that India and the UK don't expect
a free trade agreement to be announced until after state elections in the South
Asian nation are completed in December. There are still some differences around
whether taxation will be included in a proposed investment protection pact, as
well as the UK's demand that tariffs be cut on electric vehicle exports to
India. However, downside remained capped with sharp fall in crude oil prices
overnight. Some support also came with NITI Aayog CEO BVR Subrahmanyam's
statement that a vision document is being prepared for India to become a
developed economy of about $30 trillion by 2047. The vision document will
outline the institutional and structural changes/ reforms that will be needed
for the country to become a developed nation by 2047. Meanwhile, India has
called for starting formal negotiations by WTO members to reform the dispute
settlement body of the World Trade Organisation, as the present informal
deliberations are creating hindrance for several nations to participate in the
talks. The formal talks on the subject can help in arriving at some kind of
consensus by the 13th ministerial conference (MC), the highest decision making
body of the WTO, in Abu Dhabi in February 2024. Finally, the BSE Sensex fell
237.72 points or 0.37% to 63,874.93 and the CNX Nifty was down by 61.30 points
or 0.32% to 19,079.60.
The US markets ended higher on
Tuesday as traders seemed reluctant to make significant moves ahead of the
Federal Reserve's monetary policy announcement on Wednesday. While the Fed is
widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged, traders will pay close
attention to the accompanying statement for clues about the outlook for rates.
However, the early weakness on markets partly reflected a negative reaction to
a report from the Labor Department showing employment costs jumped by slightly
more than expected in the third quarter. The Labor Department said its
employment cost index shot up by 1.1 percent in the third quarter compared to
economist estimates for a 1.0 percent advance. On the sectoral front,
networking stocks showed a substantial rebound on the day, with the NYSE Arca
Networking Index surging by 2.7 percent after tumbling to its lowest closing
level in well over a year on Monday. Arista Networks (ANET) led the way back to
the upside after the cloud networking solutions company reported third quarter
results that beat expectations on both the top and bottom lines. Considerable
strength also emerged among commercial real estate stocks, resulting in a 1.8
percent jump by the Dow Jones U.S. Real Estate Index. Housing, banking and telecom
stock also turned in strong performances, while gold and airline stocks showed
notable moves to the downside.
Crude oil futures ended lower on
Tuesday as concerns about the outlook for energy demand weighed on the commodity.
Disappointing manufacturing activity from China raised concerns about the
outlook for fuel demand. Further, a stronger dollar and a report from U.S.
Energy Information Administration (EIA) that showed crude oil production in the
U.S. climbed to a record 13.05 million barrels per day in August hurt oil
prices. Benchmark crude oil futures for December delivery fell $1.29 or 1.6
percent to settle at $81.02 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent
crude for January delivery lost $1.33 or 1.4 percent to settle at $85.02 a
barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian rupee ended higher against
dollar on Tuesday amid decline in crude oil prices. Traders ignored foreign
fund outflows. Investors were widely expecting the Fed to keep rates unchanged
for the second consecutive time. Traders took a note of a private report that India
and the UK don't expect a free trade agreement to be announced until after
state elections in the South Asian nation are completed in December. There are
still some differences around whether taxation will be included in a proposed
investment protection pact, as well as the UK's demand that tariffs be cut on
electric vehicle exports to India. On the global front, yen weakened on Tuesday
after a small step by the Bank of Japan (BOJ) towards ending years of monetary
stimulus failed to appease some investors who had expected a bigger move. Finally,
the rupee ended at 83.25 (Provisional), higher by 1 paisa from its previous
close of 83.26 on Monday.
The FIIs as per Tuesday's data
were net sellers in equity segment, while they were net buyers in debt segment.
In equity segment, the gross buying was of Rs 6724.15 crore against gross
selling of Rs 8421.48 crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was
of Rs 346.71 crore with gross sales of Rs 280.31 crore. Besides, in the hybrid
segment, the gross buying was of Rs 5.64 crore against gross selling of Rs 2.91
crore.
The US markets ended higher on
Tuesday as Wall Street geared up for the Federal Reserve's latest policy
decision on interest rates after closing out a terrible month. Asian markets
are trading mostly in green on Wednesday with Japan's Nikkei rallying amid a
weakening yen, a day after the Bank of Japan tweaked its loose monetary policy.
Indian markets ended in red with marginal cut on Tuesday as investors'
sentiment remained sanguine amid aggressive bombing by Israel in Gaza region.
Today, start of November month is likely to be negative amid nervousness ahead
of the US Federal Reserve's meeting kept investors on the sidelines. Investors
will be eyeing manufacturing PMI data to be out later in the day for more
directional cues. Foreign fund outflows likely to dent sentiments. Foreign
institutional investors sold shares worth Rs 696.02 crore on October 31,
provisional data from the National Stock Exchange showed. Traders will be
concerned as the output of eight key infrastructure industries - known as the core
sector - slowed to a four-month low of 8.1 per cent in September, on the back
of a high base and a slowdown in seven constituent sectors. In September last
year, the core sector output had grown 8.3 per cent. The print for August 2023
was also revised slightly upwards to 12.5 per cent, from 12.1 per cent
estimated earlier. Besides, Central government's fiscal deficit touched 39.3
per cent of the full year target in the first half of the current financial
year, slightly higher than 37.3 per cent recorded in the year-ago period. Data
released by the Controller General of Accounts (CGA) showed that in actual
terms, the fiscal deficit or the gap between expenditure and revenue worked out
at Rs 7.02 lakh crore at the end of September 2023. However, some respite may
come later in the day as Shaktikanta Das, governor of the Reserve Bank of India
(RBI), said India's second-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) growth figure,
in all probability, will surprise everyone on the upside. Traders may take
encouragement with data released by the Controller General of Accounts (CGA)
showed that the Centre's tax collections continued to exhibit buoyancy with
gross-tax revenue (GTR), net of refunds, recording a sharp 16.3% year-on-year
growth in the first half of FY24. This compares with 10% growth budgeted for
the whole fiscal year. There will be some buzz in electric vehicle related
stocks as ICRA's research showed that electric vehicle penetration continues to
improve at a healthy pace, spurred by government support in the form of
subsidies, enhanced awareness, and increasing product launches. It expects
electric bus, two-wheeler and three-wheeler penetration to grow significantly
by FY25. Stocks of oil & gas, and aviation industry will be in focus as
India on October 31 hiked windfall tax on petroleum crude to Rs 9,800/ton from
Rs 9,050/ton with effect from November 1. The windfall tax on aviation turbine
fuel has been cut to nil from 1 rupee per litre and diesel reduced to Rs
2/litre from Rs 4/litre. There will be some reaction in sugar industry stocks
as Indian Sugar Mills Association (ISMA) said India's gross sugar production is
estimated to decline by 8% to 33.7 million tonne (MT) in the 2023-24 season
(October-September) compared to previous season. Meanwhile, Q2 earnings of Sun
Pharma, Tata Steel, Britannia, Godrej Consumer, Ambuja Cements, Hero Motorcorp,
Adani Wilmar, and IGL, among others will be on the radar.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
19,079.60
|
19,012.80
|
19,190.05
|
BSE
Sensex
|
63,874.93
|
63,640.86
|
64,280.65
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Tata
Steel
|
223.20
|
118.90
|
118.15
|
119.90
|
ICICI
Bank
|
172.11
|
916.30
|
909.94
|
926.84
|
HDFC
Bank
|
163.17
|
1475.00
|
1464.66
|
1494.66
|
State
Bank of India
|
130.40
|
565.95
|
562.90
|
569.25
|
Tata
Motors
|
113.96
|
629.50
|
623.86
|
638.56
|
L&T's Hydrocarbon Business has secured LoI for yet another Ultra-Mega Onshore project from a prestigious client in the Middle East further to the recent Ultra-Mega project award for a Gas Compression plant.
Gail (India) has reported 87.20% rise in its consolidated net profit at Rs 2442.18 crore for the Q2FY24 as compared to Rs 1304.61 crore for the same quarter in the previous year.
Power Grid Corporation of India has acquired Beawar Dausa Transmission for 'Transmission system for evacuation of power from REZ in Rajasthan (20GW) under Phase-III Part H', on BOOT basis from the Bid Process Coordinator - PFC Consulting.
Tata Motors has secured an arbitral award amounting to Rs 765.78 crore as compensation for their investment in the now-defunct Singur plant.